NYSE$OPAD

Offerpad Solutions Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Offerpad reported a decrease in net loss and adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2024, alongside a reduction in total operating expenses and growth in Renovate closed projects.

Offerpad reported a net loss of $17.3 million for Q4 2024, with revenue at $174.3 million. For the full year 2024, the net loss improved by 47% to $62.2 million, and total operating expenses decreased by 32% to $118.2 million. Renovate closed projects grew by 49% year-over-year, surpassing $18 million in revenue.

  • Q4 2024 revenue was $174.3 million, exceeding the midpoint of guidance.
  • Full year 2024 net loss improved by 47% or $55 million compared to the prior year.
  • Total operating expenses for FY 2024 decreased by $56.4 million or 32% to $118.2 million.
  • Renovate closed projects grew to 1,096, surpassing $18 million in revenue for FY 2024, a 49% increase year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$174M

Previous: $240M-27.5%
EPS (adj)

-$0.63

Previous: -$0.56-12.5%
Homes Acquired

384

Previous: 678-43.4%
Homes Sold

503

Previous: 712-29.4%
Gross Profit per Home Sold

$21.1K

Previous: $23.4K-9.8%
Contribution Profit per Home

$5.5K

Previous: $10.2K-46.1%
Adjusted EBITDA

-$11.5M

Previous: -$7.1M-61.7%
Gross Margin

6.1%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$4.16M

Previous: -$2.61M-59.7%
Net Income

-$17.3M

Previous: -$15.4M-12.2%
Operating Income

-$13.7M

Previous: -$11.3M-21.5%
Gross Profit

$10.6M

Previous: $16.7M-36.6%
R&D Expense

$840K

Previous: $1.24M-32.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Offerpad · Revenue · Quarterly

$174M

Q4 2024-27.5%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Offerpad · $2.81M total across 1 segment · Q1 2023

  • Renovate
    $2.81M

Forward guidance

For Q1 2025, Offerpad expects homes sold to be between 450 and 500, revenue between $150 million and $170 million, and Adjusted EBITDA to be slightly better.

Tailwinds

  • Expected homes sold between 450 and 500 for Q1 2025.
  • Anticipated revenue between $150 million and $170 million for Q1 2025.
  • Adjusted EBITDA expected to be 'Slightly Better' for Q1 2025.
  • Focus on increasing acquisition activity in 2025.
  • Commitment to maintaining cost discipline and positioning for long-term stability and growth.

Headwinds

  • No specific numerical target for 'Slightly Better' Adjusted EBITDA, indicating potential variability.
  • Revenue guidance range of $20 million, suggesting some uncertainty.
  • Homes sold guidance range of 50, indicating potential variability.
  • No specific guidance on net income or EPS for Q1 2025.
  • The company is unable to provide a quantitative reconciliation of forecasted Adjusted EBITDA to forecasted net income (loss) due to unreasonable efforts.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-5.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-5.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+34.7%

Avg return

30 days after

25%

6 / 24 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-26.1%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.4%-17.0%+859.2%
Q4 2025-6.8%-3.7%-17.3%
Q3 2025-26.1%-21.7%-13.9%
Q1 2025-9.4%+1.9%+4.9%
Q4 2024-3.6%-10.0%-18.2%
Q3 2024+1.3%+17.0%+56.7%
Q2 2024-16.8%-22.5%-7.2%
Q1 2024-8.9%-3.6%-35.1%
Q4 2023-6.5%-6.9%-9.1%
Q3 2023+1.8%+3.5%+28.2%
Q2 2023-4.9%-14.0%+5.8%
Q1 2023-4.7%+15.9%+27.9%
Q4 2022-9.8%-18.2%-26.6%
Q3 2022-26.0%-29.4%-32.2%
Q2 2022-17.7%-20.5%-36.4%
Q1 2022+2.5%-11.0%-6.8%
Q2 2021-11.4%-12.5%+1.8%
Q4 2019-11.4%-12.5%+1.8%
Q1 2020-11.4%-12.5%+1.8%
Q4 2021+26.4%+32.9%+45.9%
Q3 2021+2.3%+11.0%+5.5%
Q1 2021+0.0%+0.0%+0.3%
Q4 2020+0.0%+0.0%-1.3%
Q2 2020+0.0%+0.0%-1.3%
Q3 2020

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