NYSE$NXDR

Nextdoor Holdings Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Revenue increased due to SMB growth, WAU grew, and ARPU declined.

Nextdoor's Q3 2023 saw revenue increase by 4% year-over-year to $56 million, driven by growth from small and medium-sized businesses. Weekly Active Users (WAU) grew 6% year-over-year to 40.4 million, but declined 3% quarter-over-quarter due to deliberate limitations on notification volumes. ARPU declined 2% year-over-year to $1.39.

  • Q3 revenue increased 4% year-over-year to $56M, driven by SMB growth.
  • Weekly Active Users (WAU) grew 6% year-over-year to 40.4 million.
  • ARPU declined 2% year-over-year to $1.39.
  • Organic Verified Neighbors additions were the highest in Nextdoor's history.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$56.1M

Previous: $54M+4.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.10

Previous: -$0.09-11.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$268K

Previous: -$2.18M+87.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$38.4M

Previous: -$36.9M-4.0%
Net Income

-$38.1M

Previous: -$34.7M-9.8%
Operating Income

-$44.4M

Previous: -$36.4M-21.9%
Gross Profit

$45.4M

Previous: $44.1M+2.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$48.4M

Previous: $90.7M-46.6%
Total Assets

$670M

Previous: $714M-6.1%
R&D Expense

$39.6M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$23.3M

Previous: $17.3M+35.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Nextdoor · Revenue · Quarterly

$56.1M

Q3 2023+4%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 14 of 14 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Nextdoor anticipates Q4 2023 revenue to be in the range of $50 million to $52 million and adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of ($21) million to ($19) million, excluding one-time expenses. For the full year 2023, revenue is expected to be between $213 million and $215 million, with adjusted EBITDA between ($81) million and ($79) million, also excluding one-time expenses.

Tailwinds

  • Adding more Verified Neighbors in 2024 than in 2023, with the majority coming organically.
  • Delivering improved formats, targeting and tools for advertisers, and improved yield on our ad inventory.
  • Introducing the ability for Nextdoor Ads Manager advertisers to create and run video ads and lead generation ad campaigns served by Nextdoor Ad Server in Q4.
  • Migrating an increasing amount of ads delivery for Nextdoor Ads Manager campaigns to Nextdoor Ad Server in Q4, with a goal of serving substantially all demand by the end of the year.
  • Offering delivery optimization capabilities to all Nextdoor Ads Manager advertisers by mid-2024.

Headwinds

  • Weaker-than-expected growth from US direct-sold advertisers.
  • Home services spending on the platform slowed.
  • Financial services remained challenged.
  • Weaker enterprise demand trends will likely persist for at least the coming quarters, constraining near-term revenue growth.
  • Revenue growth to be approximately flat for the full year 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-3.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

9 / 21 earnings

Positive

+17.6%

Q1 2023

Best reaction

-30.2%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%+15.7%+24.1%
Q4 2025+4.9%+1.8%-13.3%
Q3 2025-1.8%+0.0%+13.4%
Q1 2025-7.4%-7.9%+7.3%
Q4 2024-28.9%-28.9%-37.3%
Q3 2024+13.6%+2.4%+7.2%
Q2 2024+6.3%-6.2%-11.7%
Q1 2024+11.8%+2.3%+7.3%
Q4 2023+2.5%+21.5%+23.3%
Q3 2023-13.7%-18.9%-6.9%
Q2 2023-17.2%-19.5%-32.3%
Q1 2023+17.6%+11.2%+42.4%
Q4 2022-8.5%-5.7%-2.8%
Q3 2022-13.1%+11.4%-14.8%
Q2 2022-30.2%-21.2%-19.1%
Q1 2022-12.0%-1.5%+1.8%
Q4 2020+13.1%+17.2%+5.9%
Q4 2021-2.9%-14.0%-4.5%
Q3 2021-9.9%-1.0%-29.3%
Q2 2021+1.6%
Q1 2021+0.4%
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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