NYSE$NVR

NVR Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

NVR's financial performance improved significantly, with substantial growth in net income, revenue, and earnings per share compared to the previous year.

NVR, Inc. reported a strong first quarter with a 42% increase in net income to $248.8 million and a 29% increase in consolidated revenues to $2.04 billion. The homebuilding segment saw a 26% increase in revenue, while the mortgage banking segment experienced a remarkable 411% increase in income before tax.

  • Net income increased by 42% to $248.8 million, or $63.21 per diluted share.
  • Consolidated revenues rose by 29% to $2.04 billion.
  • Homebuilding revenue increased by 26% to $1.96 billion, with a gross profit margin of 19.7%.
  • Mortgage banking income before tax increased by 411% to $58.6 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.04B

Previous: $1.58B+29.0%
EPS (adj)

$63.21

Previous: $44.96+40.6%
New Orders

6.3K

No prior period
Settlements

5.1K

No prior period
Loan Closings

$1.41B

Previous: $1.13B+24.8%
Capture Rate

89.0%

Previous: 91.0%-2.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.1M

Previous: -$3.51M+11.6%
Free Cash Flow

$246M

Previous: $172M+42.7%
Net Income

$249M

Previous: $176M+41.6%
Operating Income

$2.03B

Previous: $1.57B+29.2%
Gross Profit

$2.04B

Previous: $1.58B+29.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.81B

Previous: $1.12B+151.7%
Total Assets

$5.82B

Previous: $3.89B+49.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$14.5M

Previous: $7.49M+93.2%

Revenue & EPS history

NVR · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.04B

Q1 2021+29%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

NVR · $62.9M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Mortgage Banking
    $62.9M+49.0%

Forward guidance

Although current demand for new homes is strong, there remains uncertainty regarding the extent and timing of disruption to our business that may result from COVID-19 and related governmental actions. There is also uncertainty as to the effects of economic relief efforts on the U.S. economy, unemployment, consumer confidence, demand for our homes and the mortgage market, including lending standards and secondary mortgage markets.

Tailwinds

  • Residential construction has been deemed an essential business in each of the markets we operate.
  • Current demand for new homes is strong.
  • Operating in accordance with the guidelines issued by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention as well as state and local health department guidelines.
  • Net income and diluted earnings per share for the first quarter ended March 31, 2021 increased 42% and 41%, respectively, when compared to 2020 first quarter net income of $175.7 million, or $44.96 per diluted share.
  • Consolidated revenues for the first quarter of 2021 totaled $2.04 billion, which increased 29% from $1.58 billion in the first quarter of 2020.

Headwinds

  • Uncertainty regarding the extent and timing of disruption to our business that may result from COVID-19 and related governmental actions.
  • Uncertainty as to the effects of economic relief efforts on the U.S. economy, unemployment, consumer confidence, demand for our homes and the mortgage market, including lending standards and secondary mortgage markets.
  • Unable to predict the extent to which this will impact our operational and financial performance including the impact of future developments such as the duration and spread of COVID-19, corresponding governmental actions, and the impact of such on our employees, customers and trade partners.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on all facets of our business.
  • Increase in the effective tax rate quarter over quarter is primarily attributable to recognizing a lower income tax benefit related to excess tax benefits from stock option exercises in the first quarter of 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

32 / 69 earnings

Positive

+11.9%

Q4 2016

Best reaction

-8.8%

Q2 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.5%-6.5%-13.1%
Q4 2025+1.6%+2.9%+0.2%
Q3 2025-1.3%-4.5%-5.2%
Q2 2025-1.2%-0.6%+1.4%
Q1 2025+1.1%+0.9%+1.2%
Q4 2024-3.8%-4.4%-14.3%
Q3 2024-2.5%-3.4%-7.3%
Q2 2024-2.7%-0.5%+4.0%
Q1 2024-0.1%-2.0%-5.3%
Q4 2023-0.4%+3.0%+7.3%
Q3 2023-2.3%-2.2%+13.0%
Q2 2023+2.4%+1.8%-2.6%
Q1 2023-4.8%-2.1%-5.6%
Q4 2022+6.7%+5.2%+3.9%
Q3 2022+3.4%+5.6%+11.2%
Q2 2022-2.1%-1.6%-2.2%
Q1 2022+0.2%+0.5%-0.1%
Q4 2021+3.1%-1.0%-7.5%
Q3 2021-3.5%-3.6%+3.3%
Q2 2021+2.3%+2.7%+5.3%
Q1 2021-1.6%+0.5%-5.1%
Q4 2020-2.0%-0.6%-0.8%
Q3 2020-0.2%-1.1%-0.8%
Q2 2020+10.5%+16.0%+25.2%
Q1 2020-0.0%+11.1%+10.1%
Q4 2019-1.2%-3.3%-5.1%
Q3 2019+1.1%-0.1%-4.9%
Q2 2019-0.3%-3.6%-0.2%
Q1 2019+4.2%+1.0%+5.3%
Q4 2018+1.6%+5.1%+6.3%
Q3 2018-3.6%-3.4%+6.7%
Q2 2018-8.8%-12.1%-17.2%
Q1 2018+0.6%+0.9%-2.5%
Q4 2017-8.4%-10.6%-16.4%
Q3 2017+11.1%+10.5%+12.4%
Q2 2017+8.9%+9.5%+9.7%
Q1 2017-3.0%-3.5%+7.8%
Q4 2016+11.9%+10.4%+13.4%
Q3 2016-2.4%-3.8%-1.3%
Q2 2016-1.3%-1.7%-4.0%
Q1 2016-2.9%
Q4 2015+3.9%
Q3 2015+4.7%
Q2 2015+3.8%
Q1 2015+2.1%
Q4 2014-3.0%
Q3 2014+7.5%
Q2 2014+7.8%
Q1 2014-6.4%
Q4 2013+10.3%
Q3 2013-2.4%
Q2 2013-0.3%
Q1 2013-0.3%
Q4 2012+5.4%
Q3 2012+3.3%
Q2 2012+5.0%
Q1 2012+1.6%
Q4 2011-1.7%
Q3 2011-1.1%
Q2 2011-5.2%
Q1 2010-0.1%
Q1 2011-1.0%
Q4 2008+1.9%
Q4 2010+1.9%
Q3 2009+2.9%
Q3 2010+2.9%
Q2 2009-0.5%
Q2 2010-0.5%
Q4 2009-0.5%

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