NYSE$NOC

Northrop Grumman Corp · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Northrop Grumman reported a sales increase of 6% to $10.6 billion, but recorded a net loss of $535 million due to a pre-tax charge associated with the B-21 program. The company's total backlog rose to a record $84.2 billion.

Northrop Grumman's Q4 2023 sales increased by 6% to $10.6 billion, driven by strong demand across its sectors. However, the company reported a net loss of $535 million, or $3.54 per diluted share, due to a $1.56 billion pre-tax charge related to the B-21 program. Despite the net loss, the total backlog reached a record $84.2 billion.

  • Q4 sales increased 6 percent to $10.6 billion.
  • The company recorded a $1.56 billion pre-tax charge for the B-21 program.
  • Net loss totaled $535 million, or $3.54 per diluted share.
  • Total backlog rose to a record $84.2 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$10.6B

Previous: $10B+6.0%
EPS (adj)

$6.27

Previous: $7.50-16.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$803M

Previous: $632M-227.1%
Net Income

-$535M

Previous: $2.08B-125.7%
Operating Income

-$393M

Previous: $906M-143.4%
Gross Profit

$485M

Previous: $1.82B-73.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$23M

Previous: $27M-14.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Northrop Grumman · Revenue · Quarterly

$10.6B

Q4 2023+6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Northrop Grumman · $10.3B total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Space Systems
    $3.51B+10.8%
  • Aeronautics Systems
    $2.77B+9.0%
  • Mission Systems
    $2.63B+7.0%
  • Defense Systems
    $1.42B+5.7%

Forward guidance

Northrop Grumman introduced strong 2024 sales and margin guidance inline with prior outlook. The company reaffirms 2024 and 2025 free cash flow outlook and projects solid growth in 2026.

Tailwinds

  • Sales between $40.8 billion and $41.2 billion.
  • Segment operating income between $4.475 billion and $4.550 billion.
  • Total net FAS/CAS pension adjustment of approximately $700 million.
  • MTM-adjusted EPS between $24.45 and $24.85.
  • Free cash flow between $2.250 billion and $2.650 billion.

Headwinds

  • Interest expense of approximately $660 million.
  • Effective tax rate of approximately 17%.
  • Capital expenditures of approximately $1.8 billion.
  • Unallocated corporate expense for Intangible asset amortization & PP&E step-up depreciation of ~$100 million
  • Other unallocated corporate expense items of ~$190 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

43 / 73 earnings

Positive

+9.5%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-12.7%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-6.0%-12.5%-16.4%
Q4 2025+2.7%+4.7%+7.6%
Q3 2025-0.4%+0.6%-5.8%
Q2 2025+0.3%+0.7%-1.1%
Q1 2025-12.7%-10.9%-11.0%
Q4 2024+0.4%+0.2%-4.1%
Q3 2024+0.6%-2.4%-3.8%
Q2 2024+8.6%+10.1%+15.2%
Q1 2024+1.2%+2.2%-1.7%
Q4 2023-5.6%-4.4%-0.6%
Q3 2023-2.1%-2.4%-2.4%
Q2 2023-1.6%-2.0%-6.0%
Q1 2023+2.7%-0.1%-2.4%
Q4 2022-5.5%-3.3%+1.6%
Q3 2022+3.2%+0.9%-0.6%
Q2 2022+7.4%+7.9%+8.8%
Q1 2022-0.1%+2.6%+7.0%
Q4 2021-5.7%-8.1%+1.6%
Q3 2021-8.0%-9.0%-8.8%
Q2 2021+0.8%+1.2%+1.3%
Q1 2021+4.7%+8.8%+8.1%
Q4 2020-1.9%+2.7%-0.2%
Q3 2020+0.0%-2.0%-0.6%
Q2 2020+3.1%+3.1%+9.4%
Q1 2020-4.0%-6.4%-2.7%
Q4 2019-2.1%-5.4%-14.1%
Q3 2019-2.3%-1.7%-1.1%
Q2 2019+9.5%+9.7%+11.6%
Q1 2019-4.6%-2.3%+6.7%
Q4 2018-2.8%-0.8%+2.2%
Q3 2018-11.2%-15.7%-12.3%
Q2 2018-6.6%-6.7%-5.7%
Q1 2018-2.2%-5.7%-2.8%
Q4 2017+7.1%+8.3%+12.1%
Q3 2017+1.3%+0.8%+3.0%
Q2 2017-1.2%-0.3%+2.0%
Q1 2017+0.1%-1.5%+3.6%
Q4 2016-0.4%-0.8%+6.2%
Q3 2016+2.7%+4.3%+13.2%
Q2 2016-0.5%-0.8%-2.9%
Q1 2016+1.0%
Q4 2015+3.9%
Q3 2015+5.2%
Q2 2015+7.4%
Q1 2015-4.0%
Q4 2014+3.1%
Q3 2014+2.4%
Q2 2014+1.1%
Q1 2014-0.5%
Q4 2013+3.1%
Q3 2013+5.9%
Q2 2013+1.9%
Q1 2013+4.2%
Q4 2012-2.6%
Q3 2012-0.9%
Q2 2012+1.0%
Q1 2012+1.1%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2011+1.9%
Q4 2010+1.9%
Q2 2011-7.2%
Q1 2011+1.2%
Q3 2010+1.4%
Q2 2010+0.4%
Q1 2009+3.3%
Q1 2010+0.8%
Q4 2007+1.0%
Q4 2009+1.0%
Q3 2008+0.4%
Q3 2009+0.4%
Q2 2009-6.9%
Q2 2008-6.9%
Q4 2008-6.9%

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