NYSE$NOC

Northrop Grumman Corp · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Northrop Grumman's financial performance was solid, with strong program execution and operational excellence, despite labor and supply chain challenges.

Northrop Grumman reported a decrease in sales by 4% to $8.7 billion, but organic sales increased by 3%. Net earnings increased by 8% to $1.1 billion, or $6.63 per diluted share. The company raised its full year earnings guidance and continues to expect strong organic sales growth.

  • Sales decreased 4 percent to $8.7 billion; organic sales increased 3 percent.
  • EPS increased 13 percent to $6.63.
  • Segment operating margin rate was strong at 11.9 percent.
  • 2021 transaction-adjusted EPS guidance increased by $0.80 to a range of $25.20 to $25.60.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$8.72B

Previous: $9.08B-4.0%
EPS (adj)

$6.63

Previous: $5.89+12.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$682M

Previous: -$828M+17.6%
Free Cash Flow

$381M

Previous: $158M+141.1%
Net Income

$1.06B

Previous: $986M+7.8%
Operating Income

$1.04B

Previous: $985M+5.9%
Gross Profit

$8.72B

Previous: $9.08B-4.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$4.06B

Previous: $5B-18.8%
Total Assets

$42.3B

Previous: $44.8B-5.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$31M

Previous: $25M+24.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Northrop Grumman · Revenue · Quarterly

$8.72B

Q3 2021-4%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Northrop Grumman · $9.25B total across 4 segments · Q3 2021

  • Aeronautics Systems
    $2.73B-6.5%
  • Space Systems
    $2.68B+22.0%
  • Mission Systems
    $2.44B-4.5%
  • Defense Systems
    $1.41B-24.2%

Forward guidance

Northrop Grumman updated its 2021 financial guidance to reflect year-to-date operating performance and the divestiture of its IT services business.

Tailwinds

  • Sales are expected to be approximately $36 billion.
  • Segment operating margin is expected to be between 11.7% and 11.9%.
  • Total net FAS/CAS pension adjustment is expected to be approximately $1.6 billion.
  • Transaction-adjusted EPS is projected to be in the range of $25.20 to $25.60.
  • Adjusted free cash flow is anticipated to be between $2.2 billion and $2.5 billion.

Headwinds

  • The company's ability to achieve guidance or meet expectations can be affected by disruptions to operations, supply chain challenges, effects on the labor market, vaccine mandates and other evolving government requirements.
  • Additional liabilities, disruptions in the financial markets and inflation, and impacts on programs or payments relating to the global COVID-19 pandemic, today and as it may evolve, can affect the company’s ability to achieve guidance or meet expectations.
  • Government budget, appropriations and procurement priorities and processes can impact customers, programs and financial results.
  • The timing of appropriations and the occurrence of an extended continuing resolution and/or prolonged government shutdown, as well as a breach of the debt ceiling, extraordinary measures taken in connection with a breach, changes in support for our programs, or changes in federal corporate tax laws and regulations, can impact the company's ability to achieve guidance or meet expectations.
  • The guidance reflects the divestiture of its IT services business.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

43 / 73 earnings

Positive

+9.5%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-12.7%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-6.0%-12.5%-16.4%
Q4 2025+2.7%+4.7%+7.6%
Q3 2025-0.4%+0.6%-5.8%
Q2 2025+0.3%+0.7%-1.1%
Q1 2025-12.7%-10.9%-11.0%
Q4 2024+0.4%+0.2%-4.1%
Q3 2024+0.6%-2.4%-3.8%
Q2 2024+8.6%+10.1%+15.2%
Q1 2024+1.2%+2.2%-1.7%
Q4 2023-5.6%-4.4%-0.6%
Q3 2023-2.1%-2.4%-2.4%
Q2 2023-1.6%-2.0%-6.0%
Q1 2023+2.7%-0.1%-2.4%
Q4 2022-5.5%-3.3%+1.6%
Q3 2022+3.2%+0.9%-0.6%
Q2 2022+7.4%+7.9%+8.8%
Q1 2022-0.1%+2.6%+7.0%
Q4 2021-5.7%-8.1%+1.6%
Q3 2021-8.0%-9.0%-8.8%
Q2 2021+0.8%+1.2%+1.3%
Q1 2021+4.7%+8.8%+8.1%
Q4 2020-1.9%+2.7%-0.2%
Q3 2020+0.0%-2.0%-0.6%
Q2 2020+3.1%+3.1%+9.4%
Q1 2020-4.0%-6.4%-2.7%
Q4 2019-2.1%-5.4%-14.1%
Q3 2019-2.3%-1.7%-1.1%
Q2 2019+9.5%+9.7%+11.6%
Q1 2019-4.6%-2.3%+6.7%
Q4 2018-2.8%-0.8%+2.2%
Q3 2018-11.2%-15.7%-12.3%
Q2 2018-6.6%-6.7%-5.7%
Q1 2018-2.2%-5.7%-2.8%
Q4 2017+7.1%+8.3%+12.1%
Q3 2017+1.3%+0.8%+3.0%
Q2 2017-1.2%-0.3%+2.0%
Q1 2017+0.1%-1.5%+3.6%
Q4 2016-0.4%-0.8%+6.2%
Q3 2016+2.7%+4.3%+13.2%
Q2 2016-0.5%-0.8%-2.9%
Q1 2016+1.0%
Q4 2015+3.9%
Q3 2015+5.2%
Q2 2015+7.4%
Q1 2015-4.0%
Q4 2014+3.1%
Q3 2014+2.4%
Q2 2014+1.1%
Q1 2014-0.5%
Q4 2013+3.1%
Q3 2013+5.9%
Q2 2013+1.9%
Q1 2013+4.2%
Q4 2012-2.6%
Q3 2012-0.9%
Q2 2012+1.0%
Q1 2012+1.1%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2011+1.9%
Q4 2010+1.9%
Q2 2011-7.2%
Q1 2011+1.2%
Q3 2010+1.4%
Q2 2010+0.4%
Q1 2009+3.3%
Q1 2010+0.8%
Q4 2007+1.0%
Q4 2009+1.0%
Q3 2008+0.4%
Q3 2009+0.4%
Q2 2009-6.9%
Q2 2008-6.9%
Q4 2008-6.9%

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