NYSE$NLY

Annaly Capital Management Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced its financial results, demonstrating strong underlying performance and proactive portfolio management, enabling book value growth despite a rapid sell-off in rates.

Annaly Capital Management reported a strong start to the year with GAAP net income of $1.23 per average common share. The company also announced an agreement to sell its Commercial Real Estate business for $2.33 billion to focus on its core residential mortgage finance business.

  • GAAP net income of $1.23 per average common share for the quarter, up from $0.60 in the prior quarter
  • Core earnings (excluding PAA) of $0.29 per average common share for the quarter
  • Economic return and tangible economic return of 2.8% and 3.6%, respectively, for the first quarter
  • Book value per common share of $8.95, up $0.03 quarter-over-quarter

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$698M

Previous: $763M-8.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.16

Previous: $0.84+38.1%
Net Interest Margin

3.4%

Previous: 0.2%+1783.3%
Yield on Assets

3.8%

Previous: 1.9%+96.9%
GAAP Cost of Liabilities

0.4%

Previous: 1.9%-77.4%
Net Interest Spread

3.3%

Previous: 0.1%+6580.0%
Experienced CPR

23.9%

Previous: 13.6%+75.7%
Long-Term CPR

11.8%

Previous: 17.7%-33.3%
Economic Leverage Ratio

6.1

Previous: 6.8-10.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$746K

Previous: -$1.16M+35.6%
Free Cash Flow

$1.75B

Previous: -$3.64B+148.1%
Net Income

$1.75B

Previous: -$3.64B+148.1%
Operating Income

$499M

Previous: $684M-27.0%
Gross Profit

$698M

Previous: $763M-8.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.12B

Previous: $2.82B-60.2%
Total Assets

$85.4B

Previous: $96.9B-11.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Annaly · Revenue · Quarterly

$698M

Q1 2021-8.6%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 5 of 16 quarters(31%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Annaly · $76B total across 3 segments · Q3 2020

  • Agency MBS
    $74.9B
  • Non-Agency MBS
    $718M
  • CRT Securities
    $412M

Forward guidance

Annaly is well-positioned to create value for shareholders throughout the remainder of the year, with relatively low leverage and substantial liquidity.

Tailwinds

  • Constructive on the outlook for Agency MBS given ongoing support from the Federal Reserve.
  • Robust demand from banks and other investors.
  • Sustained low financing costs
  • A moderating prepay environment.
  • Credit assets should benefit from the strengthening economy.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

33 / 73 earnings

Positive

+5.9%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-6.7%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.6%-0.7%-3.1%
Q4 2025-1.1%-5.9%-4.2%
Q3 2025-1.9%-1.1%+3.2%
Q2 2025+0.0%+0.4%+5.6%
Q1 2025-0.9%-3.0%-3.3%
Q4 2024+3.6%+3.7%+11.1%
Q3 2024+0.3%-2.3%+0.9%
Q2 2024-3.3%-1.7%-1.5%
Q1 2024+0.3%+2.4%+4.5%
Q4 2023-0.5%+0.9%+3.9%
Q3 2023-3.8%-3.8%+12.0%
Q2 2023-2.5%-2.4%-4.2%
Q1 2023+4.0%+1.8%-2.8%
Q4 2022-6.7%-6.0%-21.1%
Q3 2022+2.4%+4.9%+22.5%
Q2 2022+5.9%+7.6%+2.3%
Q1 2022+4.6%+2.8%+4.9%
Q4 2021-0.9%-5.1%-6.5%
Q3 2021-1.4%-0.8%-3.9%
Q2 2021+1.8%-0.6%+3.2%
Q1 2021+1.0%+2.2%+4.0%
Q4 2020-1.2%-0.9%+2.1%
Q3 2020-0.1%+1.8%+14.8%
Q2 2020+2.5%+2.6%+2.2%
Q1 2020-0.2%-2.2%-1.6%
Q4 2019+3.4%+4.3%-30.9%
Q3 2019+0.4%+1.3%+4.4%
Q2 2019-2.9%-4.7%-14.2%
Q1 2019-3.3%-4.9%-12.7%
Q4 2018-1.8%-2.5%-1.2%
Q3 2018-0.6%-0.9%+1.3%
Q2 2018-1.2%-2.0%-0.9%
Q1 2018-1.3%+1.2%+1.0%
Q4 2017+1.8%+2.2%+1.6%
Q3 2017-1.5%-3.7%+3.0%
Q2 2017+0.6%+0.2%+3.1%
Q1 2017-1.9%-2.1%+2.9%
Q4 2016+3.3%+3.4%+5.2%
Q3 2016-0.2%+0.3%-2.7%
Q2 2016+0.8%+1.3%-0.4%
Q1 2016+3.1%
Q4 2015+1.2%
Q3 2015-3.5%
Q2 2015+1.3%
Q1 2015+0.2%
Q4 2014-0.7%
Q3 2014-0.6%
Q2 2014+1.7%
Q1 2014-1.0%
Q4 2013+3.5%
Q3 2013-4.0%
Q2 2013+4.5%
Q1 2013-2.8%
Q4 2012-0.9%
Q3 2012-3.8%
Q2 2012-1.2%
Q1 2012+1.3%
Q4 2011-0.5%
Q3 2011-0.7%
Q2 2011+1.9%
Q1 2011-0.5%
Q4 2010+1.2%
Q3 2010-0.7%
Q2 2010+2.1%
Q1 2009-2.5%
Q1 2010+1.4%
Q4 2007+2.5%
Q4 2009+2.5%
Q3 2008+1.3%
Q3 2009+1.3%
Q4 2008-0.8%
Q2 2008-0.8%
Q2 2009-0.8%

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