NYSE$NBR

Nabors Industries Ltd · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Nabors reported stronger than expected results driven by North American market activity and improved margins in Lower 48, International rig markets, and Drilling Solutions.

Nabors Industries Ltd. reported Q4 2020 operating revenues of $443 million. The net loss from continuing operations attributable to Nabors common shareholders for the quarter was $112 million, or $16.46 per share. Adjusted EBITDA was $108 million. The company successfully completed exchanges of its outstanding notes during the fourth quarter, which materially improved the Company’s leverage and its debt maturity profile.

  • Fourth quarter results were stronger than expected, benefitting from activity increases in North American markets.
  • Margins were better than projected in Lower 48 and International rig markets, as well as in Drilling Solutions.
  • Completed exchanges of outstanding notes, materially improved leverage and debt maturity profile.
  • Realized a significant reduction in net debt to just under $2.5 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$443M

Previous: $714M-37.9%
EPS (adj)

-$24.11

Previous: -$12.00-100.9%
Capital Expenditures

$42.4M

Previous: $428M-90.1%
Free Cash Flow

$66M

Previous: $232M-71.6%
Net Income

-$112M

Previous: -$267M+58.1%
Operating Income

-$112M

Previous: -$186M+39.8%
Gross Profit

-$39.5M

Previous: $52.2M-175.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$320M

Previous: $436M-26.6%
Total Assets

$5.5B

Previous: $6.76B-18.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.47M

Previous: $5.17M-13.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Nabors · Revenue · Quarterly

$443M

Q4 2020-37.9%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Nabors · $138M total across 4 segments · Q4 2020

  • International Drilling
    $64.5M
  • U.S. Drilling
    $62.2M
  • Drilling Solutions
    $10.3M
  • Rig Technologies
    $500K

Forward guidance

The company expects consolidated adjusted EBITDA to decrease modestly in the first quarter, reflecting the absence of the fourth quarter’s early termination revenue.

Tailwinds

  • Lower 48 industry activity has improved significantly.
  • Pricing should react positively as the year progresses and we continue to increase utilization for high specification rigs.
  • We have turned the corner on International activity and are starting to benefit from increased rig count in Saudi Arabia and from the removal of COVID dayrates.
  • First quarter average Lower 48 rig count is expected to increase by approximately two to three rigs over the fourth quarter average.
  • First quarter drilling margins are expected to approach $8,500, reflecting the continued migration of the fleet’s pricing to current market rates.

Headwinds

  • Sequentially, Nabors expects daily margins in the first quarter to decline by $500 to $1,000, due primarily to the absence of early termination revenue in the fourth quarter.
  • First quarter adjusted EBITDA for Rig Technologies to remain roughly in line with the fourth quarter results.
  • First quarter Drilling Solutions’ segment adjusted EBITDA will be in line with the fourth quarter.
  • First quarter, for the U.S. Offshore and Alaska operations, the Company expects adjusted EBITDA approximately in line with the fourth quarter.
  • We expect a further reduction in average rig count for the Eastern Hemisphere following the contract terminations we experienced in the fourth quarter.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

40 / 72 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-17.0%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+11.4%+10.5%-1.7%
Q4 2025-9.9%+1.5%+8.1%
Q3 2025+10.2%+14.3%+5.7%
Q1 2025-7.0%-8.8%-10.6%
Q4 2024-7.1%-13.9%-18.6%
Q3 2024-5.9%+1.4%+1.2%
Q2 2024+9.3%+24.3%-8.0%
Q1 2024-5.5%-3.2%-9.5%
Q4 2023+4.9%+3.4%+10.8%
Q3 2023-7.2%-13.4%-18.7%
Q2 2023+2.0%+1.1%-8.8%
Q1 2023-3.5%-11.1%-14.5%
Q4 2022+10.3%+1.5%-20.1%
Q3 2022+26.4%+27.6%+17.9%
Q2 2022-17.0%-11.4%-4.9%
Q1 2022+1.4%-5.5%+7.5%
Q4 2021+3.7%+11.0%+42.2%
Q3 2021-8.7%-16.6%-28.3%
Q2 2021-1.0%-3.8%-17.6%
Q1 2021+6.6%+4.4%+12.9%
Q4 2020+18.1%+24.3%+8.0%
Q3 2020+11.6%+6.3%+89.2%
Q2 2020-1.2%-3.2%-11.9%
Q1 2020-5.3%+7.5%+230.8%
Q4 2019+1.3%-21.1%-79.7%
Q3 2019+10.5%+13.5%+20.5%
Q2 2019+23.6%+19.1%-19.5%
Q1 2019+2.5%+5.4%-35.0%
Q4 2018+5.8%+14.7%+12.1%
Q3 2018+1.8%+11.5%-28.1%
Q2 2018+4.6%+10.2%+3.3%
Q1 2018-0.7%-0.9%-1.8%
Q4 2017-6.5%-2.5%+1.0%
Q3 2017-0.3%-13.7%-9.3%
Q2 2017-0.8%-6.3%-12.1%
Q1 2017-10.4%-13.8%-25.7%
Q4 2016-2.1%-2.5%-19.6%
Q3 2016-5.9%-8.4%+11.5%
Q2 2016+5.3%+7.5%+15.0%
Q1 2016-13.7%
Q4 2015+19.9%
Q3 2015+0.6%
Q2 2015-2.8%
Q1 2015+1.1%
Q4 2014-1.6%
Q3 2014+1.8%
Q2 2014+2.2%
Q1 2014+1.8%
Q4 2013+16.9%
Q3 2013-4.2%
Q2 2013-1.0%
Q1 2013-2.0%
Q4 2012-5.7%
Q3 2012-3.7%
Q2 2012+7.8%
Q1 2012+0.6%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q3 2011-4.1%
Q2 2011-5.1%
Q4 2010+1.0%
Q1 2009+1.0%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q3 2010+1.3%
Q2 2010-3.6%
Q1 2010+2.8%
Q4 2007+1.5%
Q4 2009+1.5%
Q3 2009-6.1%
Q3 2008-6.1%
Q2 2009+7.9%
Q2 2008+7.9%
Q4 2008+7.9%

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