NYSE$MLI

Mueller Industries Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported best fourth quarter of operating and net income in the Company’s history.

Mueller Industries reported a decrease in net sales but an increase in operating income, net income, and diluted EPS for the fourth quarter of 2022 compared to the fourth quarter of 2021. The company's performance was driven by strategic actions to improve gross margins and expand into higher value-added content, offsetting the impact of lower copper prices and reduced unit volumes.

  • Operating income increased by 10.6% to $190.4 million.
  • Net sales decreased by 8.2% to $877.6 million.
  • Net income increased by 10.6% to $138.9 million.
  • Diluted EPS increased by 11.3% to $2.46.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$878M

Previous: $956M-8.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.23

Previous: $1.11+10.8%
Net Income

$139M

Previous: $126M+10.6%
Operating Income

$190M

Previous: $172M+10.6%
Gross Profit

$257M

Previous: $230M+11.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$461M

Previous: $87.9M+424.3%
Total Assets

$2.24B

Previous: $1.73B+29.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.55M

Previous: $2.59M+113.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Mueller Industries · Revenue · Quarterly

$878M

Q4 2022-8.2%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 14 quarters(57%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Mueller Industries anticipates some decline in U.S. residential building markets compared to 2022, but believes household formations will remain underserved by the housing supply, resulting in healthy demand levels. The company maintains continued backlogs in other critical markets including commercial construction, refrigeration, HVAC and transportation. Internationally, market conditions may be bottoming out, positioning businesses for a rebound.

Tailwinds

  • Household formations will remain underserved by the housing supply.
  • Demand levels should remain at healthy levels relative to industry capacity.
  • Continued backlogs in critical markets including commercial construction.
  • Continued backlogs in critical markets including refrigeration.
  • Continued backlogs in critical markets including HVAC and transportation.

Headwinds

  • Anticipate some decline in U.S. residential building markets as compared with 2022.
  • Economic activity as a whole began to temper during the second half of 2022 amidst rising interest rates.
  • Economic activity as a whole began to temper during the second half of 2022 amidst inflationary pressures.
  • Economic activity as a whole began to temper during the second half of 2022 amidst global instability.
  • Destocking of inventories and normalization of supply chains exerted downward impacts.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+2.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.1%

Avg return

30 days after

71%

49 / 69 earnings

Positive

+15.8%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-12.5%

Q4 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+11.3%+12.5%+10.4%
Q4 2025-11.2%-15.3%-16.0%
Q3 2025+4.1%+2.7%+4.2%
Q2 2025+3.1%+1.8%+9.9%
Q1 2025+2.6%+0.4%+6.0%
Q4 2024-2.2%+2.9%+1.9%
Q3 2024+12.4%+13.6%+27.2%
Q2 2024+2.0%+9.0%+7.4%
Q1 2024+8.3%+7.1%+8.8%
Q4 2023+1.5%+2.7%+7.4%
Q3 2023+6.4%+7.8%+16.4%
Q2 2023-10.9%-11.4%-17.2%
Q1 2023+1.5%+3.7%+10.1%
Q4 2022+6.9%+4.6%+7.4%
Q3 2022+3.5%+3.2%+12.8%
Q2 2022+15.8%+14.5%+28.1%
Q1 2022+13.7%+9.3%+0.7%
Q4 2021+6.0%+6.8%+11.5%
Q3 2021+7.9%+13.0%+39.1%
Q2 2021+10.3%+9.5%+12.3%
Q1 2021+0.8%+1.5%+3.0%
Q4 2020+1.0%+4.9%+14.2%
Q3 2020+2.2%+4.2%+12.5%
Q2 2020+5.3%+4.2%+12.5%
Q1 2020+1.4%-0.3%+4.4%
Q4 2019+14.0%+11.4%-7.3%
Q3 2019+5.1%+5.6%+5.0%
Q2 2019+9.4%+11.6%-4.6%
Q1 2019-7.6%-5.6%-11.9%
Q4 2018+15.2%+17.0%+19.4%
Q3 2018-4.7%-2.5%-5.6%
Q2 2018+10.0%+9.5%+12.9%
Q1 2018+0.1%+0.8%+9.1%
Q4 2017-12.5%-14.7%-13.3%
Q3 2017+0.8%-1.4%+2.5%
Q2 2017+2.0%+2.9%-4.1%
Q1 2017-4.2%-6.2%-16.4%
Q4 2016+4.3%+7.3%-3.3%
Q3 2016-3.4%-4.6%+22.3%
Q2 2016+1.4%+0.6%+2.9%
Q1 2016+2.7%
Q4 2015+0.0%
Q3 2015+1.8%
Q2 2015-4.1%
Q1 2015-2.7%
Q4 2014+6.0%
Q3 2014+5.9%
Q2 2014+3.6%
Q1 2014-3.9%
Q4 2013-2.7%
Q3 2013-0.4%
Q2 2013+3.6%
Q1 2013+1.5%
Q4 2012+2.1%
Q3 2012-5.4%
Q2 2012-0.6%
Q1 2012+2.7%
Q4 2011-0.9%
Q3 2011+9.1%
Q2 2011-2.7%
Q1 2011+0.3%
Q1 2010+0.3%
Q2 2010+0.3%
Q4 2010-2.4%
Q4 2008-2.4%
Q3 2010+1.2%
Q3 2009+1.2%
Q2 2009+2.8%
Q4 2009+2.8%

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