NYSE$MKC

McCormick & Co Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

McCormick's Q4 2022 earnings were impacted by a challenging global environment, including high cost inflation, supply chain issues, and COVID-related disruptions in China, resulting in a sales decline of 2% but a constant currency sales increase of 2%.

McCormick's Q4 2022 sales declined by 2% compared to the previous year, but increased by 2% in constant currency. Earnings per share (EPS) was $0.69, and adjusted EPS was $0.73. The company faced challenges including high cost inflation, supply chain disruptions, and COVID-related issues in China, which impacted sales and operating income.

  • Reported sales declined 2%, but constant currency sales grew 2%, within the implied fiscal year 2022 guidance range.
  • COVID-related disruptions in China unfavorably impacted sales growth by approximately 2%.
  • Consumer segment saw strength in consumption trends, particularly in the U.S. where fourth quarter total branded consumption grew 6%.
  • Flavor Solutions segment experienced outstanding sales growth with continued momentum across all regions.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.7B

Previous: $1.73B-2.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.73

Previous: $0.84-13.1%
Capital Expenditures

$95.2M

Previous: $88.1M+8.1%
Free Cash Flow

$306M

Previous: $367M-16.6%
Net Income

$186M

Previous: $197M-5.9%
Operating Income

$264M

Previous: $276M-4.3%
Gross Profit

$624M

Previous: $703M-11.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$334M

Previous: $352M-5.0%
Total Assets

$13.1B

Previous: $12.9B+1.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$11.2M

Previous: $12.4M-9.7%

Revenue & EPS history

McCormick · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.7B

Q4 2022-2%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

McCormick · $1.7B total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • Consumer
    $1.04B-7.6%
  • Flavor Solutions
    $658M+8.4%

Forward guidance

McCormick expects to grow sales by 5% to 7% in 2023, driven primarily by pricing actions and cost savings to offset inflationary pressures. Operating income is expected to grow by 10% to 12%.

Tailwinds

  • Strong underlying business performance driven by sales growth
  • Favorable impact to operating income from Global Operating Effectiveness Program
  • Lapping of the negative impact of COVID-related disruptions in China in 2022
  • Sales growth driven by pricing actions
  • Continued growth through brand strength, marketing, new products, and customer engagement

Headwinds

  • Partially offset by the Kitchen Basics divestiture
  • Expected increase in employee incentive compensation expenses
  • Earnings per share growth tempered by higher interest expense
  • Higher projected effective tax rate compared to 2022
  • Approximately $50 million of special charges in 2023 related to previous organizational and streamlining actions

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

32 / 68 earnings

Positive

+9.6%

Q1 2023

Best reaction

-12.7%

Q4 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026
Q1 2026+0.9%-3.7%
Q4 2025-7.1%-4.7%+2.9%
Q3 2025-3.9%-2.4%-6.2%
Q2 2025-1.7%-0.8%-2.5%
Q1 2025-0.1%+1.4%-6.6%
Q4 2024+2.1%+4.7%+9.4%
Q3 2024-0.3%-2.1%-4.9%
Q2 2024+4.8%+3.8%+12.0%
Q1 2024+8.7%+9.8%+8.0%
Q4 2023+5.0%+5.3%+3.5%
Q3 2023-8.4%-13.6%-13.2%
Q2 2023-5.0%-4.0%-2.2%
Q1 2023+9.6%+12.4%+18.0%
Q4 2022-4.5%-3.7%-3.8%
Q3 2022+0.2%+3.5%+7.8%
Q2 2022-4.1%-4.8%+0.6%
Q1 2022-0.4%+4.4%+6.3%
Q4 2021+6.8%+9.3%+4.6%
Q3 2021-3.6%-4.3%-4.1%
Q2 2021+0.3%-0.3%-4.7%
Q1 2021-1.1%-1.0%+0.5%
Q4 2020-4.8%-4.9%-10.4%
Q3 2020-0.6%-1.2%-5.8%
Q2 2020+2.3%+4.1%+12.3%
Q1 2020-3.2%+2.6%+9.6%
Q4 2019-3.1%-5.4%-13.0%
Q3 2019+5.4%+8.1%+2.8%
Q2 2019+2.9%+4.9%+7.9%
Q1 2019+2.4%+4.7%+4.9%
Q4 2018-12.7%-12.8%-2.3%
Q3 2018+1.4%+2.7%+6.5%
Q2 2018+9.6%+8.9%+11.1%
Q1 2018-1.0%-0.5%-0.1%
Q4 2017+7.4%+7.9%+6.1%
Q3 2017+6.4%+1.7%+3.0%
Q2 2017-1.5%-1.7%-3.5%
Q1 2017-3.3%-3.8%-1.3%
Q4 2016+1.6%+1.5%+5.6%
Q3 2016-0.5%-1.6%-2.0%
Q2 2016+3.1%+4.2%-0.4%
Q1 2016+2.5%
Q4 2015+7.0%
Q3 2015-3.1%
Q2 2015-1.2%
Q1 2015+3.8%
Q4 2014-0.4%
Q3 2014+4.4%
Q2 2014+0.5%
Q1 2014+5.3%
Q4 2013-7.0%
Q3 2013-3.9%
Q2 2013-2.3%
Q1 2013-1.5%
Q4 2012-7.1%
Q3 2012-1.4%
Q2 2012+2.9%
Q1 2012+2.3%
Q4 2010-0.9%
Q4 2011-0.9%
Q3 2011+1.1%
Q2 2011+0.1%
Q2 2010+0.1%
Q1 2010+0.2%
Q1 2011+0.2%
Q4 2008-0.5%
Q3 2010-1.1%
Q4 2009-1.1%
Q3 2009-1.1%

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