NYSE$MHO

M/I Homes Inc. · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

M/I Homes reported record revenue and net income for Q4 2022, driven by an increase in homes delivered and average home closing price.

M/I Homes announced record fourth-quarter results, with revenue reaching $1.2 billion, a 16% increase year-over-year, and net income rising to $130.4 million, or $4.65 per diluted share. The company's performance was driven by a 3% increase in homes delivered, reaching an all-time quarterly record of 2,384, and an increase in average home closing price. However, new contracts decreased by 44% compared to the previous year.

  • Homes delivered increased 3% to 2,384, an all-time quarterly record.
  • Revenue increased 16% to an all-time quarterly record of $1.2 billion.
  • Pre-tax income increased 16% to $164.2 million, a fourth-quarter record.
  • Net income increased 15% to $130.4 million ($4.65 per diluted share).

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.22B

Previous: $1.05B+15.7%
EPS (adj)

$5.15

Previous: $3.83+34.5%
Total net new contracts

985

Previous: 1.7K-43.5%
Total homes delivered

2.4K

Previous: 2.3K+2.9%
Total backlog units

3.1K

Previous: 4.8K-35.1%
Total backlog sales value

$1.7B

Previous: $2.37B-28.3%
Avg. sales price in backlog

$541K

Previous: $490K+10.4%
Avg. active communities

187

Previous: 176+6.3%
Capital Expenditures

$5.46M

Previous: $22.7M-76.0%
Free Cash Flow

$193M

Previous: -$5.22M+3790.0%
Net Income

$130M

Previous: $113M+15.0%
Operating Income

$164M

Previous: $140M+17.4%
Gross Profit

$275M

Previous: $244M+12.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$312M

Previous: $236M+31.8%
Total Assets

$3.71B

Previous: $3.24B+14.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.17M

Previous: $2.36M-7.9%

Revenue & EPS history

M/I Homes · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.22B

Q4 2022+15.7%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

M/I Homes · $1.04B total across 3 segments · Q2 2022

  • Housing revenue
    $1.02B+9.2%
  • Financial services
    $19.4M-32.3%
  • Land revenue
    $3.37M

Forward guidance

M/I Homes acknowledges the impact of rising interest rates on demand but remains confident in the long-term outlook due to favorable demographics and undersupply of homes.

Tailwinds

  • Strength of the balance sheet
  • Low debt levels
  • Diverse product offerings
  • Well-located communities
  • Favorable homebuyer demographics

Headwinds

  • Rapid rise in interest rates
  • Material impact on demand
  • Challenging current conditions
  • Cancellation rate of 30% in 2022's fourth quarter compared to 10% for the prior year's fourth quarter.
  • New contracts for 2022’s fourth quarter decreased 44% to 985 from 1,744 new contracts in 2021’s fourth quarter.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.4%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

33 / 66 earnings

Positive

+14.8%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-13.9%

Q4 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.6%+4.1%+0.7%
Q4 2025+2.8%+3.9%+10.5%
Q3 2025-5.9%-8.5%-6.9%
Q2 2025-1.3%-1.1%+6.5%
Q1 2025-3.6%-3.8%-2.7%
Q4 2024-5.0%-10.7%-13.4%
Q3 2024-1.2%+1.6%+7.5%
Q2 2024+0.1%-7.7%-5.1%
Q1 2024+0.7%+1.5%+4.5%
Q4 2023-4.6%-8.6%-2.9%
Q3 2023+5.1%+4.7%+35.8%
Q2 2023+3.7%+6.6%-3.7%
Q1 2023+2.7%+2.5%+9.0%
Q4 2022+5.7%+2.0%+0.5%
Q3 2022-1.5%-2.3%+3.8%
Q2 2022+3.2%+1.2%-1.1%
Q1 2022-0.3%+3.2%+4.7%
Q4 2021-1.3%-5.6%-2.5%
Q3 2021-6.3%-4.4%-5.5%
Q2 2021+10.5%+10.2%+12.2%
Q1 2021+13.0%+14.6%+14.3%
Q4 2020+0.6%+5.8%-0.5%
Q3 2020+1.2%+2.3%+8.9%
Q2 2020+10.0%+7.6%+12.0%
Q1 2020+9.3%+8.8%+43.7%
Q4 2019-2.0%-3.3%-16.8%
Q3 2019+13.1%+9.6%+7.6%
Q2 2019+14.8%+21.0%+24.7%
Q1 2019-1.7%-1.9%+0.3%
Q4 2018+9.6%+6.0%-0.1%
Q3 2018+4.0%+3.6%+9.0%
Q2 2018+0.1%-2.1%+0.2%
Q1 2018-1.5%-5.1%-11.0%
Q4 2017-1.5%-1.5%-7.8%
Q3 2017+7.5%+12.8%+23.1%
Q2 2017-3.2%-4.4%-9.6%
Q1 2017+9.6%+9.1%+13.3%
Q4 2016-5.0%-6.4%-2.5%
Q3 2016-3.4%-4.7%+5.1%
Q2 2016+11.1%+9.2%+11.9%
Q1 2016+0.0%
Q4 2015-0.6%
Q3 2015-6.4%
Q2 2015-3.6%
Q1 2015-0.6%
Q4 2014-1.7%
Q3 2014+1.2%
Q2 2014-6.1%
Q1 2014+3.5%
Q4 2013-2.8%
Q3 2013+8.0%
Q2 2013-5.8%
Q1 2013+7.7%
Q4 2012-13.9%
Q3 2012-4.3%
Q2 2012+4.9%
Q1 2011-2.9%
Q1 2012+11.0%
Q4 2009-1.7%
Q2 2011-1.7%
Q4 2011-1.7%
Q3 2011+2.8%
Q3 2010+2.8%
Q2 2010-3.5%
Q4 2010-3.5%
Q1 2010+6.8%

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