NYSE$MATV

Mativ Holdings Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong demand in AMS, offset by escalating input cost inflation and supply chain challenges

SWM International reported a 37.3% increase in total sales to $383.6 million, but a 1% decrease on an organic basis. GAAP operating profit was $23.0 million, down $14.0 million, while adjusted operating profit was $40.0 million, down $12.7 million. GAAP EPS was $0.38, down from $0.78, and adjusted EPS was $0.82, down from $1.16. Management expects full year 2021 adjusted EPS to finish below the previously provided guidance range.

  • Total sales were $383.6 million, up 37.3%, but down 1% on organic basis
  • GAAP operating profit was $23.0 million, or 6.0% of sales, down $14.0 million; Adjusted operating profit was $40.0 million, or 10.4% of sales, down $12.7 million
  • GAAP EPS was $0.38, down from $0.78; Adjusted EPS was $0.82, down from $1.16
  • Management now expects full year 2021 Adjusted EPS to finish below the $3.75 to $4.05 guidance range provided in May, with fourth quarter Adjusted EPS expected to be down approximately 20% versus prior year quarter

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$384M

Previous: $279M+37.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.38

Previous: $0.78-51.3%
Adjusted EBITDA

$52.8M

Previous: $64.2M-17.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$23.8M

Previous: -$20.7M-15.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$11.6M

Previous: $3.8M-405.3%
Net Income

$12.2M

Previous: $24.5M-50.2%
Operating Income

$23M

Previous: $37M-37.8%
Gross Profit

$85.2M

Previous: $80.2M+6.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$73.6M

Previous: $66.3M+11.0%
Total Assets

$2.42B

Previous: $1.59B+52.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.7M

Previous: $1.4M+21.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Mativ · Revenue · Quarterly

$384M

Q3 2021+37.3%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Given performance to-date and the expectation that fourth quarter results will reflect continued impacts from inflationary and supply chain pressures, the Company projects full year Adjusted EPS will be below the previously provided range of $3.75 to $4.05 (provided in May 2021). The Company anticipates fourth quarter Adjusted EPS could be down approximately 20% versus the prior year fourth quarter, with key variables including input costs, raw material availability, and non-operating items such as tax rate and joint venture results. The Company further indicated that it expects strong operating profit growth in 2022 as raw material prices and supply chain conditions normalize.

Tailwinds

  • Expects strong operating profit growth in 2022
  • Raw material prices are expected to normalize
  • Supply chain conditions are expected to normalize

Headwinds

  • Full year Adjusted EPS will be below the previously provided range of $3.75 to $4.05
  • Fourth quarter Adjusted EPS could be down approximately 20% versus the prior year fourth quarter
  • Continued impacts from inflationary pressures
  • Continued impacts from supply chain pressures
  • Key variables including input costs, raw material availability, and non-operating items such as tax rate and joint venture results

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 65 earnings

Positive

+39.0%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-17.8%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.5%-7.8%-20.3%
Q4 2025-8.0%-25.0%-43.2%
Q3 2025+22.3%+24.8%+14.7%
Q1 2025+8.8%+26.8%+22.7%
Q4 2024-17.8%-23.3%-33.0%
Q3 2024-14.8%-16.3%-24.7%
Q2 2024+26.6%+21.1%+23.4%
Q1 2024+1.9%-6.1%-7.3%
Q4 2023+39.0%+35.0%+44.6%
Q3 2023+2.9%-3.2%-7.0%
Q2 2023-0.4%-0.9%-13.5%
Q1 2023+3.7%+3.0%+2.6%
Q1 2022+3.7%+3.0%+2.6%
Q4 2022+11.3%+3.6%-19.6%
Q3 2022-12.7%-19.5%-15.5%
Q2 2022+15.1%+19.4%+24.9%
Q4 2021-3.2%+3.4%+0.1%
Q3 2021-12.8%-7.2%-21.5%
Q2 2021-1.6%-3.1%-4.6%
Q1 2021-1.2%+0.0%-7.1%
Q4 2020+1.2%+1.1%+4.9%
Q3 2020-2.4%+0.4%-2.9%
Q2 2020+2.9%+7.3%-5.3%
Q1 2020+1.5%-3.0%+20.0%
Q4 2019+1.8%+0.4%-19.2%
Q3 2019+9.1%+10.3%+9.9%
Q2 2019+4.9%+1.5%+4.0%
Q1 2019+1.3%-1.5%-8.1%
Q4 2018-0.7%-1.6%+0.4%
Q3 2018-0.7%-3.8%-15.4%
Q2 2018+6.4%+1.3%-1.9%
Q1 2018-1.9%+0.5%-0.3%
Q4 2017-0.4%+0.3%-0.2%
Q3 2017+8.1%+4.1%+6.9%
Q2 2017+3.8%-0.5%-2.1%
Q1 2017-2.8%-2.9%+3.0%
Q4 2016-0.0%+2.3%-1.4%
Q3 2016+5.2%+7.2%+16.0%
Q2 2016+4.6%+3.2%+7.3%
Q1 2016+0.7%
Q4 2015-1.2%
Q3 2015+1.5%
Q2 2015-4.9%
Q4 2014-3.5%
Q1 2015-0.2%
Q3 2014+1.7%
Q2 2014+2.0%
Q1 2014+1.9%
Q4 2013-1.2%
Q3 2013-16.4%
Q2 2013+0.7%
Q1 2013-0.3%
Q4 2012+0.2%
Q3 2012+1.9%
Q2 2012-8.0%
Q1 2012+0.8%
Q4 2009-0.4%
Q4 2011-0.4%
Q3 2010+2.2%
Q3 2011+2.2%
Q2 2011+2.6%
Q4 2010+2.6%
Q2 2010-0.8%
Q1 2011-0.8%
Q1 2010-0.8%

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