NYSE$MA

Mastercard · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Mastercard reported Q4 2025 net revenue of $8.8B with adjusted net income of $4.3B and adjusted diluted EPS of $4.76.

Fourth-quarter net revenue increased 18% to $8.8 billion (15% currency-neutral). Adjusted net income was $4.3 billion with adjusted diluted EPS of $4.76. Gross dollar volume rose 7% and purchase volume 9% on a local-currency basis. The company highlighted continued payment volume growth and cross-border travel recovery.

  • Q4 net revenue $8.8B (+18% YoY).
  • Adjusted diluted EPS $4.76.
  • Purchase volume +9% local currency.
  • Capital returns and dividend growth continue.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$8.8B

Previous: $7.49B+17.5%
EPS (adj)

$4.76

Previous: $3.82+24.6%
Gross Dollar Volume

7.0%

No prior period
Cross-Border Volume

14.0%

No prior period
Switched Transactions

10.0%

No prior period
Net Income

$4.3B

Previous: $3.34B+28.7%
Operating Income

$5.09B

Previous: $3.94B+29.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Mastercard · Revenue · Quarterly

$8.8B

Q4 2025+17.5%vs Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The release discusses Mastercard's outlook for upcoming periods, including capital allocation, operating priorities, and market risks.

Tailwinds

  • Mastercard cites operational execution and demand trends supporting the outlook.
  • Balance sheet and liquidity actions aim to fund growth and returns.

Headwinds

  • Macro, pricing, and input-cost volatility could pressure margins.
  • Segment mix and one-time items may affect quarter-to-quarter comparability.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.8%

Avg return

30 days after

62%

45 / 73 earnings

Positive

+11.0%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-7.5%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.1%-5.4%-5.9%
Q4 2025+3.5%+5.6%-0.8%
Q3 2025-0.1%-0.3%-0.7%
Q2 2025+1.3%+1.2%+6.5%
Q1 2025-0.3%+2.0%+6.8%
Q4 2024+3.1%+1.9%+5.0%
Q3 2024-1.1%-1.6%+3.7%
Q2 2024+3.3%-1.2%+8.0%
Q1 2024-2.2%-0.4%-0.9%
Q4 2023+3.5%+2.6%+7.1%
Q3 2023-5.8%-2.6%+6.8%
Q2 2023-2.3%-1.3%+0.1%
Q1 2023+3.6%+2.5%+2.1%
Q4 2022-2.2%-3.1%-7.7%
Q3 2022+3.1%+4.3%+9.9%
Q2 2022+3.1%+1.7%-3.3%
Q1 2022+0.5%-1.0%-1.0%
Q4 2021+11.0%+13.8%+7.1%
Q3 2021-0.1%-2.2%-3.4%
Q2 2021+0.7%-4.1%-7.2%
Q1 2021-3.4%-5.0%-8.9%
Q4 2020+0.3%+6.0%+12.2%
Q3 2020-7.5%-8.6%+6.9%
Q2 2020-0.2%+1.6%+18.4%
Q1 2020+3.9%+1.8%+13.7%
Q4 2019+1.3%+1.3%-9.4%
Q3 2019+0.4%+1.1%+5.7%
Q2 2019-3.3%-4.3%-0.0%
Q1 2019+0.7%+0.3%+2.9%
Q4 2018+4.8%+5.8%+11.4%
Q3 2018+3.5%+3.5%+2.9%
Q2 2018-5.2%-7.5%-2.2%
Q1 2018+3.5%+4.9%+8.4%
Q4 2017+0.9%+0.2%+3.6%
Q3 2017-0.0%+0.2%+1.0%
Q2 2017-2.4%-1.1%+1.3%
Q1 2017+0.8%+1.0%+6.0%
Q4 2016-3.9%-2.5%+1.9%
Q3 2016+3.3%+0.4%+2.1%
Q2 2016+1.6%+1.6%+2.9%
Q1 2016-1.4%
Q4 2015+6.2%
Q3 2015-1.1%
Q2 2015+3.4%
Q1 2015-0.0%
Q4 2014+2.0%
Q3 2014+10.2%
Q2 2014-1.2%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013-7.3%
Q3 2013+1.6%
Q2 2013+7.5%
Q1 2013-1.3%
Q4 2012+0.5%
Q3 2012+3.5%
Q2 2012-3.0%
Q1 2012-3.0%
Q2 2011+0.8%
Q4 2011+0.8%
Q3 2011+9.7%
Q1 2011+2.6%
Q4 2010+1.1%
Q3 2010+5.4%
Q2 2010+1.4%
Q1 2009-5.1%
Q1 2010+0.6%
Q2 2009-1.0%
Q4 2009-1.0%
Q4 2007-1.0%
Q3 2009+1.1%
Q3 2008+1.1%
Q2 2008+3.4%
Q4 2008+3.4%

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