NYSE$LNG

Cheniere Energy Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced financial results for fourth quarter and full year 2020 and raised full year 2021 guidance.

Cheniere reported a net loss of $194 million for Q4 2020, impacted by non-cash changes in fair value of commodity derivatives. However, the company's Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA increased by 7% to $1.05 billion, and it is raising its full year 2021 Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow guidance based on strong execution and improved market conditions.

  • Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA of $1.05 billion for fourth quarter 2020.
  • Distributable Cash Flow of approximately $330 million for fourth quarter 2020.
  • Net loss of $194 million, or $0.77 per share, for fourth quarter 2020, negatively impacted by non-cash changes in fair value of commodity derivatives.
  • Entered into mid-term LNG sales agreements during fourth quarter 2020 for portfolio volumes aggregating over four million tonnes of LNG with multiple counterparties.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.79B

Previous: $3.01B-7.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.77

Previous: $1.41-154.6%
LNG Cargoes Exported

130

Previous: 130+0.0%
Capital Expenditures

$402M

Previous: $469M-14.3%
Free Cash Flow

$98M

Previous: $272M-64.0%
Net Income

-$194M

Previous: $1.15B-116.8%
Operating Income

$276M

Previous: $1.02B-72.8%
Gross Profit

$4.65B

Previous: $4.33B+7.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.63B

Previous: $2.47B-34.2%
Total Assets

$35.7B

Previous: $35.5B+0.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$26M

Previous: $37M-29.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Cheniere · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.79B

Q4 2020-7.3%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cheniere · $2.79B total across 3 segments · Q4 2020

  • LNG Revenues
    $2.69B-6.4%
  • Regasification Revenues
    $67M+0.0%
  • Other Revenues
    $32M-53.6%

Forward guidance

Cheniere is raising its full year 2021 Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $4.1 - $4.4 billion and full year 2021 Distributable Cash Flow guidance to $1.4 - $1.7 billion based on strong execution and improved market conditions.

Tailwinds

  • Strong execution
  • Improved market conditions
  • In the final stages of commissioning Train 3 at Corpus Christi
  • Global LNG market has strengthened significantly
  • Confident in ability to deliver reliable financial results

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

35 / 60 earnings

Positive

+12.6%

Q4 2011

Best reaction

-23.5%

Q2 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.0%-10.7%-11.5%
Q4 2025+5.3%+11.5%+34.5%
Q3 2025+0.3%-2.1%-1.3%
Q2 2025-1.6%-4.0%-1.6%
Q1 2025-0.7%-2.5%+1.8%
Q4 2024+3.7%-1.3%+3.7%
Q3 2024+3.1%+5.9%+23.1%
Q2 2024+3.1%+2.4%+1.7%
Q1 2024-2.4%-2.2%-1.8%
Q4 2023-4.1%-6.9%-2.9%
Q3 2023+2.9%+0.2%+7.7%
Q2 2023+2.6%+2.5%+5.2%
Q1 2023-6.2%-3.1%-7.0%
Q4 2022+6.7%+6.4%-0.4%
Q3 2022-3.8%-2.9%-2.2%
Q2 2022+0.9%+2.5%+11.7%
Q1 2022+1.7%-4.4%+1.1%
Q4 2021+8.7%+8.7%+25.5%
Q3 2021+2.1%+1.2%-2.0%
Q2 2021-0.9%+2.6%+5.2%
Q1 2021+2.8%+4.9%+10.7%
Q4 2020-1.7%-1.8%+6.6%
Q3 2020+4.6%+8.9%+20.8%
Q2 2020+2.2%+2.7%-0.3%
Q1 2020-5.3%-7.8%-2.9%
Q4 2019-7.0%-1.2%-33.1%
Q3 2019+1.4%-0.8%-1.6%
Q2 2019+2.2%-0.4%+1.6%
Q1 2019+6.3%+5.1%+5.9%
Q4 2018+1.4%-1.0%+2.5%
Q3 2018+1.1%-3.4%-2.3%
Q2 2018+4.0%+5.1%+9.0%
Q1 2018+6.0%+5.8%+11.9%
Q4 2017-3.1%-3.0%-10.4%
Q3 2017-0.2%-1.2%+1.0%
Q2 2017-0.3%-1.3%-0.4%
Q1 2017+2.5%+0.7%+6.7%
Q4 2016-1.9%-2.9%-5.9%
Q3 2016+1.8%+4.1%+14.0%
Q2 2016-2.2%+0.1%+6.8%
Q4 2015+3.6%
Q3 2015-5.3%
Q2 2015+1.3%
Q1 2015+3.1%
Q4 2014-1.6%
Q3 2014+0.7%
Q2 2014-4.4%
Q1 2014+0.8%
Q4 2013+2.9%
Q3 2013+5.4%
Q2 2013-0.5%
Q1 2013+4.0%
Q2 2012-0.4%
Q4 2011+12.6%
Q3 2010-4.7%
Q3 2011-4.7%
Q2 2011-23.5%
Q2 2010-23.5%
Q1 2011+1.7%
Q1 2010+12.0%

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