NYSE$LNG

Cheniere Energy Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a net loss and decreased revenues due to accelerated recognition of revenues in prior periods related to elections by long-term SPA customers.

Cheniere Energy reported a net loss of $463 million for the third quarter of 2020, compared to a net loss of $318 million for the comparable 2019 period. Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA was $477 million, compared to $694 million for the comparable 2019 period.

  • Net loss increased primarily due to decreased total margins and increased loss on modification or extinguishment of debt.
  • Total margins decreased primarily due to the accelerated recognition of revenues in prior periods related to elections by long-term SPA customers.
  • Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA decreased primarily due to the accelerated recognition of revenues in prior periods related to elections by long-term SPA customers.
  • Reconfirmed full year 2020 financial guidance and provided robust financial guidance for full year 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.46B

Previous: $2.17B-32.7%
EPS (adj)

-$1.84

Previous: -$1.14-61.4%
LNG Cargoes Exported

55

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$1.44B

Previous: -$2.59B+44.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.9B

Previous: -$2.91B+34.6%
Net Income

-$463M

Previous: -$318M-45.6%
Operating Income

$72M

Previous: $307M-76.5%
Gross Profit

$1.14B

Previous: $1.86B-38.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.09B

Previous: $2.54B-17.6%
Total Assets

$35.9B

Previous: $34.7B+3.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$27M

Previous: $33M-18.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Cheniere · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.46B

Q3 2020-32.7%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cheniere · $1.44B total across 2 segments · Q3 2020

  • LNG Revenues
    $1.37B
  • Regasification Revenues
    $67M

Forward guidance

Cheniere reconfirmed its full year 2020 financial guidance and provided robust financial guidance for full year 2021. They also raised their run rate Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA 2020: $3.8 - $4.1 billion
  • Distributable Cash Flow 2020: $1.0 - $1.3 billion
  • Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA 2021: $3.9 - $4.2 billion
  • Distributable Cash Flow 2021: $1.2 - $1.5 billion
  • Revised Run Rate Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA: $5.3 - $5.7 billion

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

35 / 60 earnings

Positive

+12.6%

Q4 2011

Best reaction

-23.5%

Q2 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.0%-10.7%-11.5%
Q4 2025+5.3%+11.5%+34.5%
Q3 2025+0.3%-2.1%-1.3%
Q2 2025-1.6%-4.0%-1.6%
Q1 2025-0.7%-2.5%+1.8%
Q4 2024+3.7%-1.3%+3.7%
Q3 2024+3.1%+5.9%+23.1%
Q2 2024+3.1%+2.4%+1.7%
Q1 2024-2.4%-2.2%-1.8%
Q4 2023-4.1%-6.9%-2.9%
Q3 2023+2.9%+0.2%+7.7%
Q2 2023+2.6%+2.5%+5.2%
Q1 2023-6.2%-3.1%-7.0%
Q4 2022+6.7%+6.4%-0.4%
Q3 2022-3.8%-2.9%-2.2%
Q2 2022+0.9%+2.5%+11.7%
Q1 2022+1.7%-4.4%+1.1%
Q4 2021+8.7%+8.7%+25.5%
Q3 2021+2.1%+1.2%-2.0%
Q2 2021-0.9%+2.6%+5.2%
Q1 2021+2.8%+4.9%+10.7%
Q4 2020-1.7%-1.8%+6.6%
Q3 2020+4.6%+8.9%+20.8%
Q2 2020+2.2%+2.7%-0.3%
Q1 2020-5.3%-7.8%-2.9%
Q4 2019-7.0%-1.2%-33.1%
Q3 2019+1.4%-0.8%-1.6%
Q2 2019+2.2%-0.4%+1.6%
Q1 2019+6.3%+5.1%+5.9%
Q4 2018+1.4%-1.0%+2.5%
Q3 2018+1.1%-3.4%-2.3%
Q2 2018+4.0%+5.1%+9.0%
Q1 2018+6.0%+5.8%+11.9%
Q4 2017-3.1%-3.0%-10.4%
Q3 2017-0.2%-1.2%+1.0%
Q2 2017-0.3%-1.3%-0.4%
Q1 2017+2.5%+0.7%+6.7%
Q4 2016-1.9%-2.9%-5.9%
Q3 2016+1.8%+4.1%+14.0%
Q2 2016-2.2%+0.1%+6.8%
Q4 2015+3.6%
Q3 2015-5.3%
Q2 2015+1.3%
Q1 2015+3.1%
Q4 2014-1.6%
Q3 2014+0.7%
Q2 2014-4.4%
Q1 2014+0.8%
Q4 2013+2.9%
Q3 2013+5.4%
Q2 2013-0.5%
Q1 2013+4.0%
Q2 2012-0.4%
Q4 2011+12.6%
Q3 2010-4.7%
Q3 2011-4.7%
Q2 2011-23.5%
Q2 2010-23.5%
Q1 2011+1.7%
Q1 2010+12.0%

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