NYSE$LBRT

Liberty Energy Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Achieved record earnings per share and expanded return of capital strategy.

Liberty Energy Inc. reported a 3% sequential increase in revenue to $1.2 billion and net income of $153 million, or $0.82 fully diluted earnings per share, for the fourth quarter of 2022. The company also increased its share repurchase authorization to $500 million and declared a cash dividend of $0.05 per share.

  • Revenue of $1.2 billion, a 3% sequential increase.
  • Net income of $153 million, or $0.82 fully diluted earnings per share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $295 million, a 7% sequential increase.
  • Increased share repurchase authorization to $500 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.23B

Previous: $684M+79.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.82

Previous: -$0.31+364.5%
Adjusted EBITDA

$295M

Previous: $21M+1307.0%
Net Income

$153M

Previous: -$57M+368.4%
Operating Income

$198M

Previous: -$63.4M+412.9%
Gross Profit

$247M

Previous: -$23.3M+1160.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$43.7M

Previous: $20M+118.4%
Total Assets

$2.58B

Previous: $2.04B+26.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.98M

Previous: $4.86M+23.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Liberty Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.23B

Q4 2022+79.2%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Liberty Energy anticipates a robust multi-year outlook for North American hydrocarbon activity, underpinned by disciplined customer investments and healthy drilling returns, particularly in oil. They expect rising free cash flow and strong returns to shareholders in the coming years, driven by their competitive advantages and strong demand for their services.

Tailwinds

  • The frac market is currently tight in all the shale basins.
  • The fundamental outlook for North American hydrocarbons is the healthiest Liberty has seen in our 12-year history.
  • E&P customers continue to see attractive drilling returns, particularly in oil, even as breakeven prices have increased from the pandemic lows.
  • Majors are redirecting capital spending to North America.
  • Liberty is creating opportunity through ingenuity and innovation not just in frac fleet technologies, but also in wet sand handling equipment, logistics software and systems to optimize supply chains, predictive software generating operational efficiencies, and so much more.

Headwinds

  • We do expect to see some industry pullback in response to gas prices.
  • Markets are preparing for the most widely anticipated recession in nearly 50 years.
  • Oil supply growth remains challenged as the release of U.S. strategic petroleum reserves subsides.
  • The impact of the Russian oil products export embargo hits next month.
  • Reduced investment across the Russian industry gradually impacts production.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+3.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.0%

Avg return

30 days after

68%

23 / 34 earnings

Positive

+47.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-13.2%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.6%+12.3%+8.2%
Q4 2025+15.6%+19.4%+28.9%
Q3 2025+29.1%+27.2%+33.3%
Q2 2025-2.4%-5.2%-4.9%
Q1 2025+5.7%+5.1%+7.1%
Q4 2024-7.1%-11.4%-16.4%
Q3 2024-7.6%-11.5%-14.6%
Q2 2024+1.6%-2.8%-6.1%
Q1 2024+2.4%+2.5%+9.7%
Q4 2023+11.1%+12.9%+18.6%
Q3 2023+7.2%+5.6%+0.9%
Q2 2023-0.7%+0.8%+3.8%
Q1 2023+2.5%+6.2%-0.9%
Q4 2022+3.9%+6.0%+4.9%
Q3 2022+1.2%+5.8%+9.3%
Q2 2022+14.5%+17.8%+31.2%
Q1 2022+1.3%-6.0%-14.1%
Q4 2021-8.2%-2.2%+21.3%
Q3 2021-12.0%-16.5%-35.5%
Q2 2021-7.1%-13.1%-13.8%
Q1 2021+12.2%+7.6%+37.7%
Q4 2020-1.5%-12.2%+6.2%
Q3 2020-13.2%-12.8%+35.9%
Q2 2020-3.9%-15.8%-1.0%
Q1 2020+47.3%+30.0%+64.5%
Q4 2019-2.6%-2.7%-41.8%
Q3 2019+1.4%+6.2%-3.2%
Q2 2019+8.8%+1.6%-17.4%
Q1 2019+3.9%+8.1%-13.6%
Q4 2018+0.6%-4.3%-8.7%
Q3 2018+11.8%+16.9%+2.9%
Q2 2018+1.0%-0.4%+0.2%
Q1 2018+1.3%+2.8%-1.2%
Q4 2017+0.2%-3.7%+3.3%
Q3 2017
Q2 2017
Q1 2017
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015

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