NYSE$HSBC

HSBC-ADR · Q4 2026 earnings

Q4 2026 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

HSBC Holdings reported Q1 2026 profit after tax of $7.4B on $18.6B revenue, with diluted EPS of $0.40.

For the quarter ended 31 March 2026, HSBC reported profit before tax of $9.4B (down $0.1B year over year) on revenue of $18.6B (up 6%). Profit after tax was $7.4B and diluted EPS was $0.40 versus $0.39 a year ago; basic EPS excluding material notable items was $0.44. Annualised RoTE was 17.3% (18.7% excluding notable items). Higher expected credit losses and operating expenses were partly offset by strong Wealth fee income and banking NII growth. The board declared a first interim dividend of $0.10 per share.

  • Revenue of $18.6B (+6% YoY) and profit after tax of $7.4B; diluted EPS $0.40 with $0.44 basic EPS excluding material notable items.
  • Annualised RoTE 17.3% (18.7% excluding notable items); CET1 ratio 14.0%, down 0.9 ppt from 31 December 2025 after the Hang Seng privatisation and dividends.
  • ECL of $1.3B rose $0.4B YoY, including a $0.4B UK fraud-related charge and $0.3B of additional allowances for heightened macro uncertainty after the Middle East conflict.
  • Banking NII increased $0.7B to $11.3B; Hong Kong revenue $4.0B and CIB revenue $7.8B led segment revenue, with Wealth driving fee growth across IWPB and Hong Kong.
  • Completed privatisation of Hang Seng Bank in January 2026; organisational simplification has actioned ~$1.4B of the $1.5B annualised cost-save target ahead of schedule.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$18.6B

No prior period
EPS (adj)

$0.44

No prior period
RoTE (annualised)

17.3%

No prior period
CET1 ratio

14.0%

No prior period
Net interest margin

1.6%

No prior period
Banking NII

$11.3B

No prior period
Net Income

$7.39B

No prior period
Operating Income

$9.38B

No prior period
Total Assets

$3.3T

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

HSBC · Revenue · Quarterly

$18.6B

Q4 2026
Beat estimate in 2 of 3 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

HSBC · $18.8B total across 4 segments · Q4 2026

  • Corporate and Institutional Banking
    $7.79B
  • Hong Kong
    $4.02B
  • International Wealth and Premier Banking
    $3.75B
  • UK
    $3.25B

Forward guidance

Management retained February 2026 targets including RoTE of 17% or better through 2028 (excluding notable items), while updating 2026 banking NII guidance to around $46B (from at least $45B) and ECL as a percentage of average gross loans to around 45bps (from ~40bps). The group continues to target ~1% growth in target-basis operating expenses versus 2025 and intends to manage CET1 within 14.0–14.5%, with buybacks subject to quarterly review.

Tailwinds

  • Banking NII guidance raised to around $46B for 2026 on an improved rate outlook.
  • RoTE target of 17% or better maintained for 2026–2028 excluding notable items.
  • First interim 2026 dividend of $0.10 per share declared; simplification cost saves tracking ahead of plan.
  • Wealth net new money of $39B in 1Q26 ($34B in Asia) with strong fee momentum.

Headwinds

  • ECL charge guidance increased to ~45bps of average gross loans for 2026 amid heightened macro uncertainty.
  • Integrated downside stress scenarios could reduce PBT by a mid-to-high single-digit percentage and push RoTE below 17% in 2026 if unmitigated.
  • CET1 at 14.0% may temporarily fall below the 14.0–14.5% target range in January 2026 before normalising.
  • Notable items in 1Q26 included $0.3B Malta held-for-sale loss and $0.2B FX reserve recycling on the UK life sale.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2026

Historical avgQ4 2026

+41.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

19 / 38 earnings

Positive

+1558.1%

Q1 2023

Best reaction

-6.6%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+7.1%+0.0%+2.7%
Q3 2025+4.3%+4.3%+5.0%
Q2 2025-5.5%-5.0%-0.9%
Q1 2025-0.2%+0.3%+5.1%
Q4 2024-0.3%-2.1%+1.7%
Q3 2024+2.0%+2.2%+3.3%
Q1 2024+4.4%+5.4%+5.0%
Q3 2023-1.4%+2.0%+3.6%
Q2 2023-1.5%-2.4%-10.7%
Q1 2023+1558.1%+6.6%+4.4%
Q4 2022+2.5%+1.8%-10.3%
Q3 2022-6.6%-3.7%+9.4%
Q2 2022+4.0%+4.5%-1.8%
Q1 2022-3.1%-4.2%+1.9%
Q4 2021+0.2%-1.5%-7.4%
Q3 2021+2.8%+0.2%-1.4%
Q2 2021+0.2%+3.0%-3.3%
Q1 2021+4.9%+6.4%+9.0%
Q4 2020+1.0%+0.5%-2.7%
Q3 2020-0.1%+1.2%+29.0%
Q2 2020-1.6%-5.8%-5.4%
Q1 2020+2.9%-2.1%-8.6%
Q4 2019-5.6%-3.9%-24.6%
Q3 2019-4.8%-3.7%-4.8%
Q2 2019-2.8%-4.0%-6.7%
Q1 2019-0.8%-1.4%-6.2%
Q4 2018-3.1%-4.9%-4.0%
Q3 2018+5.3%+8.5%+11.9%
Q2 2018+0.0%-1.7%-7.2%
Q1 2018-1.5%-0.6%-2.1%
Q4 2017-1.7%-4.8%-10.8%
Q2 2017+2.9%-1.7%+1.2%
Q3 2017-1.9%-1.7%+1.2%
Q4 2016-4.6%+1.5%+2.3%
Q1 2017+2.1%+3.1%+5.2%
Q3 2016+4.2%+5.9%+16.0%
Q2 2016+7.1%+4.3%+7.0%
Q1 2016-3.5%
Q3 2015
Q4 2015

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