NYSE$HOV

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Hovnanian reported increased total revenues and pretax income year-over-year.

Hovnanian Enterprises reported a 30.3% increase in total revenues, reaching $628.1 million, and a significant improvement in pretax income to $16.2 million compared to a loss of $7.1 million in the same quarter of the prior year. The company also saw a 47% year-over-year improvement in consolidated contracts. These results reflect a strong recovery in home demand and effective management strategies in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.

  • Total revenues increased by 30.3% to $628.1 million compared to the prior year.
  • Pretax income improved by $23 million year-over-year, reaching $16.2 million.
  • Consolidated contracts increased by 47% year-over-year.
  • EBITDA increased 88% to $66.5 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$628M

Previous: $482M+30.3%
EPS (adj)

$2.16

Previous: -$1.27+270.1%
Total SG&A

$9.50

No prior period
EBITDA

$66.5M

No prior period
Contracts per community

19

No prior period
Cancellation rate

18.0%

No prior period
Total liquidity

$334M

No prior period
Homebuilding gross margin %

13.6%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$2.65M

Previous: -$3.14M+15.6%
Free Cash Flow

$190M

Previous: -$261M+172.8%
Net Income

$15.4M

Previous: -$7.6M+302.1%
Operating Income

$625M

Previous: $480M+30.2%
Gross Profit

$628M

Previous: $482M+30.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$13.2M

No prior period
Total Assets

$1.81B

Previous: $1.8B+0.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Hovnanian · Revenue · Quarterly

$628M

Q3 2020+30.3%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 14 quarters(86%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Hovnanian · $640M total across 3 segments · Q3 2020

  • Sale of homes
    $607M
  • Land sales and other
    $21.6M
  • Financial services
    $11.6M

Forward guidance

Hovnanian anticipates meaningful improvements in revenues, EBITDA, and profitability during fiscal year 2021, assuming no material changes in market conditions. The company has pivoted to increasing home prices in virtually all markets since June, which is expected to offset potential cost increases and improve gross margins. The company controls virtually all the lots needed to meet the growth in deliveries expected next year.

Tailwinds

  • Expects meaningful improvements in revenues during fiscal 2021.
  • Anticipates improvements in EBITDA during fiscal 2021.
  • Projects improvements in profitability during fiscal 2021.
  • Home price increases should offset potential cost increases.
  • Controls virtually all lots needed for expected delivery growth next year.

Headwinds

  • Broader economic uncertainties related to the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Potential cost increases in the future.
  • Discounts adversely impacted gross margin in Q3 2020.
  • Depends on no material changes in market conditions to achieve improvements.
  • The overall demand for new homes continues to be robust due to historically low mortgage rates, a nationwide low supply of existing homes and a strong consumer desire for more indoor and outdoor space.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

32 / 67 earnings

Positive

+53.3%

Q3 2019

Best reaction

-23.5%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+16.6%+13.6%+34.4%
Q1 2026+3.1%-1.6%-13.1%
Q4 2025-23.5%-25.6%-27.0%
Q3 2025-11.9%-5.3%-3.4%
Q2 2025-12.6%-17.2%-16.7%
Q1 2025-12.4%-16.3%-12.5%
Q4 2024-10.5%-11.8%-31.7%
Q3 2024+10.0%+6.6%+3.5%
Q2 2024-16.3%-17.5%-16.0%
Q1 2024-12.6%-11.4%-11.1%
Q4 2023+19.6%+40.6%+49.6%
Q3 2023+18.4%+24.9%+1.3%
Q2 2023-9.3%-4.7%+5.7%
Q1 2023-1.5%+3.6%-3.8%
Q4 2022-11.9%-6.0%-7.0%
Q3 2022+2.7%-2.7%-11.0%
Q2 2022+10.5%+16.2%-9.7%
Q1 2022-4.4%-12.3%-38.5%
Q4 2021+22.6%+9.3%+4.5%
Q3 2021+10.1%+7.5%-12.2%
Q2 2021-19.3%-21.0%-26.2%
Q1 2021+48.9%+34.4%+97.5%
Q4 2020-8.2%-13.0%-16.7%
Q3 2020-14.7%-16.3%+4.8%
Q2 2020+48.7%+59.3%+26.6%
Q1 2020-13.0%-36.6%-75.9%
Q4 2019+25.6%+29.0%-2.4%
Q3 2019+53.3%+84.7%+126.9%
Q2 2019-15.2%-15.7%-18.0%
Q1 2019+7.8%+1.7%-11.5%
Q4 2018+6.4%+0.0%-29.1%
Q3 2018+3.2%+10.4%+0.0%
Q2 2018-3.0%+0.0%-13.4%
Q1 2018-6.6%-5.3%-18.0%
Q4 2017+4.9%+7.5%-4.1%
Q3 2017-7.0%-6.5%+21.0%
Q2 2017-9.6%-9.2%+11.6%
Q1 2017-9.9%-7.9%-9.5%
Q4 2016+2.5%+9.8%+11.5%
Q3 2016-15.2%-16.2%-16.2%
Q2 2016-14.0%-8.3%-11.4%
Q1 2016-16.5%
Q4 2015+7.6%
Q3 2015+2.6%
Q2 2015-8.5%
Q1 2015-0.6%
Q4 2014+10.0%
Q3 2014+1.9%
Q2 2014-2.8%
Q1 2014-14.0%
Q4 2013+7.6%
Q3 2013+0.8%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013-2.3%
Q4 2012-3.5%
Q3 2012-1.9%
Q2 2012+22.4%
Q1 2011+16.3%
Q1 2012+16.3%
Q4 2011+9.2%
Q2 2011+9.2%
Q4 2009+9.2%
Q3 2010-12.2%
Q4 2010-12.2%
Q3 2011-12.2%
Q2 2010-13.1%
Q1 2010+2.4%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro