NYSE$HHH

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

HHH Q4 2024 — extraction skipped

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc filed Form 8-K (accession 0001628280-25-008123) for Q4 2024, but headline financial numerics could not be extracted automatically: no headline numerics found by parser nor by Financial Datasets fallback. The row is marked as AI-processed so the queue advances; numerics will be filled by Financial Datasets on its next pass.

  • Form 8-K filed; press release body not parseable here.
  • Reason: no headline numerics found by parser nor by Financial Datasets fallback.
  • Numerics rely on the Financial Datasets fallback.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$336M

No prior period
EPS (adj)

$0.69

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$21.2M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$321M

No prior period
Net Income

$34.4M

No prior period
Operating Income

$83.3M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Howard Hughes · Revenue · Quarterly

$336M

Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 2 of 4 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Howard Hughes · $482M total across 5 segments · Q4 2022

  • Condominium rights and unit sales
    $217M
  • Master Planned Communities land sales
    $117M
  • Rental revenue
    $103M
  • Other land, rental, property revenues
    $24.6M
  • Builder price participation
    $19.9M

Forward guidance

MPC EBT is projected to remain robust during 2024, aided by modest anticipated reductions in mortgage rates and tight supply of existing homes on the market. New home sales in Summerlin, Bridgeland, and The Woodlands Hills® are expected to be strong, leading to continued homebuilder demand for residential land. The first land sales in Floreo—the first village in Teravalis™—are also expected to contribute incremental EBT in 2024. These year-over-year gains are expected to be more than offset by reduced EBT associated with exceptional commercial land sales and builder price participation during 2023, as well as reduced inventory of custom lots available to sell at Aria Isle in The Woodlands and The Summit in Summerlin. As a result, 2024 MPC EBT is expected to modestly decline 10% to 15% year-over-year with a mid-point of approximately $300 million. Operating Assets NOI is projected to benefit from increased occupancy at new multi-family developments in Downtown Columbia, Summerlin, and Bridgeland, as well as improved retail leasing and new tenants in Downtown Columbia, Ward Village, and The Woodlands. The office portfolio is expected to benefit from strong leasing momentum experienced since mid-2022, but free rent periods on many of the new leases and the impact of some tenant vacancies and new office developments expected to be completed in 2024 will likely result in office NOI being relatively flat year-over-year. Overall, 2024 Operating Assets NOI is expected to be in a range of up 1% to 4% year-over-year with a mid-point of approximately $250 million. This includes approximately $5.0 million of projected NOI from The Las Vegas Aviators and the Las Vegas Ballpark, which are expected to be included in the spin-off of Seaport Entertainment. Condo sales revenues are projected to range between $675 million and $725 million, with gross margins between 28% to 30%. Projected condo sales revenues will be driven by the closing of units at Victoria Place—a 349-unit upscale development in Ward Village which is 100% pre-sold and expected to be completed late in the fourth quarter of 2024. This guidance contemplates approximately $75 million of condo sales revenues for Victoria Place occurring in the first quarter of 2025 due to the timing of condo closings. Cash G&A is projected to range between $80 million and $90 million, excluding approximately $20 million of cash expenses associated with the spin-off of Seaport Entertainment and $5 million of anticipated non-cash stock compensation.

Tailwinds

  • MPC EBT is projected to remain robust due to anticipated reductions in mortgage rates and tight supply of existing homes.
  • New home sales in Summerlin, Bridgeland, and The Woodlands Hills® are expected to be strong, leading to continued homebuilder demand for residential land.
  • First land sales in Floreo—the first village in Teravalis™—are expected to contribute incremental EBT.
  • Operating Assets NOI is projected to benefit from increased occupancy at new multi-family developments and improved retail leasing.
  • Condo sales revenues are projected to be strong, driven by the closing of units at Victoria Place.

Headwinds

  • 2024 MPC EBT is expected to modestly decline 10% to 15% year-over-year, with a mid-point of approximately $300 million.
  • Reduced EBT associated with exceptional commercial land sales and builder price participation during 2023.
  • Reduced inventory of custom lots available to sell at Aria Isle in The Woodlands and The Summit in Summerlin.
  • Office NOI is expected to be relatively flat year-over-year due to free rent periods on new leases and impact of tenant vacancies and new office developments.
  • Approximately $75 million of condo sales revenues for Victoria Place are expected to occur in Q1 2025 due to timing of closings.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 11 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

5 / 11 earnings

Positive

+11.3%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-9.7%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.5%+1.0%+2.4%
Q4 2025-9.7%-11.5%-25.0%
Q3 2025+11.3%+7.3%+6.5%
Q2 2025+1.7%+4.7%+14.1%
Q1 2025+1.8%+4.3%-0.1%
Q4 2024+0.4%-0.2%+0.3%
Q3 2024-0.4%-1.6%-2.0%
Q2 2024+0.0%-0.4%+13.8%
Q1 2024+0.0%-8.1%-10.3%
Q4 2022+0.0%-3.1%-4.1%
Q3 2022-1.2%-3.1%+2.6%

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