NYSE$GEF

Greif Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Greif reported a decrease in net income and sales due to lower volumes and prices, but demonstrated strong earnings and free cash flow performance through cost management and new business gains.

Greif's Q3 2023 results showed a decrease in net income and net sales compared to Q3 2022, primarily due to lower volumes and average selling prices. However, the company's cost management actions and strategic initiatives led to strong earnings, margin, and free cash flow performance.

  • Net income decreased to $90.3 million, or $1.55 per diluted Class A share, compared to $141.8 million, or $2.36 per diluted Class A share in the prior year.
  • Net sales decreased by $291.8 million, but gross profit decreased only $39.9 million due to cost management.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased by $24.5 million to $226.5 million.
  • The company acquired a 51% ownership interest in ColePak, LLC, a manufacturer of bulk and specialty partitions.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.33B

Previous: $1.62B-18.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.75

Previous: $2.35-25.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$141M

Previous: -$117M-20.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$50.5M

Previous: $25M-302.0%
Net Income

$90.3M

Previous: $142M-36.3%
Operating Income

$156M

Previous: $206M-24.4%
Gross Profit

$307M

Previous: $347M-11.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$158M

Previous: $128M+23.7%
Total Assets

$5.87B

Previous: $5.63B+4.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Greif · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.33B

Q3 2023-18%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 14 quarters(36%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Greif provided its fiscal year 2023 outlook for Adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $790 million to $820 million and Adjusted free cash flow to be in the range of $400 million to $430 million.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $790 million to $820 million.
  • Adjusted free cash flow guidance of $400 million to $430 million.
  • Focus on cost management.
  • Acquisition of ColePak.
  • Increased quarterly dividend.

Headwinds

  • Unclear macroeconomic picture.
  • Continued volume challenges.
  • Ongoing uncertainty in end-markets worldwide.
  • Potential for restructuring-related activities.
  • Potential for acquisition and integration related costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

30 / 65 earnings

Positive

+18.4%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-14.6%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+2.4%+4.6%-3.1%
Q1 2026-1.0%+5.0%-2.2%
Q4 2025+0.8%+4.6%+14.2%
Q2 2025+15.0%+16.6%+26.6%
Q1 2025-8.4%-9.5%-9.1%
Q4 2024-1.9%-4.3%-14.3%
Q3 2024-2.0%-1.1%-1.4%
Q2 2024-3.0%-4.2%-10.6%
Q1 2024+4.1%+2.1%+11.5%
Q4 2023-4.1%-9.4%-8.6%
Q3 2023-1.6%-1.5%-9.4%
Q2 2023+12.4%+15.6%+9.3%
Q1 2023-7.0%-8.3%-10.8%
Q4 2022-3.3%-2.6%-4.3%
Q3 2022-4.3%-1.8%-13.0%
Q2 2022+3.7%-2.9%-2.3%
Q1 2022+8.1%+4.9%+17.0%
Q4 2021+0.3%-5.4%-4.5%
Q3 2021+4.1%+8.0%+4.2%
Q2 2021+2.5%+2.2%-1.2%
Q1 2021+3.8%+9.8%+25.8%
Q4 2020-5.7%-8.6%+0.1%
Q3 2020-7.8%-5.2%-7.5%
Q2 2020+12.1%+22.6%+2.8%
Q1 2020-7.8%-5.0%-19.6%
Q4 2019+0.4%+3.7%+1.6%
Q3 2019+15.8%+11.3%+20.3%
Q2 2019-12.2%-10.3%-12.6%
Q1 2019-5.4%-2.7%-2.9%
Q4 2018-9.8%-10.6%-24.4%
Q3 2018+3.7%+0.3%-2.5%
Q2 2018-6.2%-4.3%-13.0%
Q1 2018-14.6%-13.7%-10.6%
Q4 2017+18.4%+14.7%+12.6%
Q3 2017+6.8%+3.5%+3.4%
Q2 2017-6.9%-8.0%-3.9%
Q1 2017-6.7%-2.9%-3.4%
Q4 2016+3.3%+4.6%-2.7%
Q3 2016+5.4%+7.2%+15.3%
Q2 2016+8.0%+5.5%+1.8%
Q1 2016-0.2%
Q4 2015+7.1%
Q3 2015+15.0%
Q2 2015+1.2%
Q1 2015-14.1%
Q4 2014-4.4%
Q3 2014-0.7%
Q2 2014-1.5%
Q1 2014-0.2%
Q4 2013-6.0%
Q3 2013-3.8%
Q2 2013+3.5%
Q1 2013+0.6%
Q4 2012-1.3%
Q3 2012+1.6%
Q2 2012-3.7%
Q1 2012-0.4%
Q4 2011-0.9%
Q3 2011-1.0%
Q2 2011+1.7%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+1.4%
Q3 2010-0.1%
Q2 2010+3.4%
Q1 2009+0.8%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro