NYSE$FSS

Federal Signal Corporation · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Federal Signal reported record fourth quarter 2025 results with strong revenue growth, higher operating income, and improved adjusted EPS.

Federal Signal delivered record Q4 2025 performance with 27% revenue growth, 19% operating income expansion, and strong order momentum driving backlog above $1 billion. Adjusted EPS rose 33% year-over-year, supported by operating leverage and margin expansion in both segments.

  • Net sales increased 27% year-over-year to 597100000 driven by organic growth and acquisitions.
  • Operating income rose 19% to 83500000, with adjusted EBITDA margin expanding to 20.0%.
  • Orders grew 45% to 647000000, lifting backlog to 1042400000.
  • Adjusted EPS increased 33% to 1.16, reflecting strong operating leverage.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$597M

Previous: $472M+26.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.16

Previous: $0.87+33.3%
Backlog

$1.04B

Previous: $997M+4.5%
Operating Margin

14.0%

Previous: 14.9%-6.0%
Total Orders

$647M

Previous: $446M+45.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$119M

Previous: $89.3M+33.7%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

20.0%

Previous: 18.9%+5.8%
Operating Cash Flow

$97M

Previous: $90M+7.8%
Net Income

$60.8M

Previous: $50M+21.6%
Operating Income

$83.5M

Previous: $70.1M+19.1%
Gross Profit

$169M

Previous: $133M+27.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$63.7M

Previous: $91M-30.0%
Total Assets

$2.39B

Previous: $1.77B+35.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Federal Signal · Revenue · Quarterly

$597M

Q4 2025+26.5%vs Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Federal Signal · $597M total across 2 segments · Q4 2025

  • Environmental Solutions
    $504M+27.3%
  • Safety & Security Systems
    $93M+22.5%

Forward guidance

For 2026, the company expects continued record performance with higher net sales and adjusted EPS despite acquisition-related amortization headwinds.

Tailwinds

  • Projected 2026 net sales between 2550000000 and 2650000000.
  • Adjusted EPS guidance of 4.50 to 4.80.
  • Strong end-market demand remains intact.
  • Active M&A pipeline supports inorganic growth.
  • Improved financial flexibility following new credit facility.

Headwinds

  • 0.16 per share headwind from higher acquisition-related amortization and tax normalization.
  • Potential integration risks from recent acquisitions.
  • Exposure to macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty.
  • Sensitivity to raw material and supply chain conditions.
  • Interest expense exposure from higher debt levels.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.9%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+20.7%

Q4 2011

Best reaction

-24.9%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+8.7%+5.1%-4.7%
Q4 2025+1.9%+2.2%-9.0%
Q3 2025-10.5%-12.4%-12.1%
Q2 2025+17.8%+18.8%+17.3%
Q1 2025+7.6%+15.5%+24.3%
Q4 2024-11.9%-11.7%-17.2%
Q3 2024-3.5%-0.2%+14.9%
Q2 2024+5.0%+4.5%-0.6%
Q1 2024-5.7%-3.7%+2.4%
Q4 2023+0.2%-1.6%+3.4%
Q3 2023+11.2%+10.5%+21.1%
Q2 2023-0.9%-0.1%-5.6%
Q1 2023+3.4%+1.7%+5.5%
Q4 2022+6.9%+4.7%+2.7%
Q3 2022-0.1%+2.7%+6.6%
Q2 2022+7.4%+10.4%+8.3%
Q1 2022+1.8%-0.6%+4.5%
Q4 2021-4.2%-3.5%-6.5%
Q3 2021+2.6%+4.5%-4.7%
Q2 2021+1.7%-0.2%+4.1%
Q1 2021+0.4%+3.3%+2.3%
Q4 2020-4.5%-1.3%+1.7%
Q3 2020-1.3%+2.4%+10.4%
Q2 2020+5.6%+6.1%+9.9%
Q1 2020-8.6%-9.1%-1.1%
Q4 2019-5.8%-0.5%-13.4%
Q3 2019-3.8%-4.1%-3.1%
Q2 2019+8.1%+1.7%+2.9%
Q1 2019-3.6%-6.7%-16.2%
Q4 2018+7.0%+8.4%+13.3%
Q3 2018+8.0%+1.0%-2.5%
Q2 2018+7.4%+5.7%+11.2%
Q1 2018+5.7%+4.5%+9.2%
Q4 2017+7.8%+11.9%+12.3%
Q3 2017+4.7%+0.5%-0.6%
Q2 2017+0.2%-1.2%-1.2%
Q1 2017+8.4%+10.1%+11.0%
Q4 2016+0.2%-2.0%-10.6%
Q3 2016-0.3%+0.2%+30.5%
Q2 2016-5.5%-8.6%-5.8%
Q1 2016-8.1%
Q4 2015-24.9%
Q3 2015+7.6%
Q2 2015+5.8%
Q1 2015-7.8%
Q4 2014-5.8%
Q3 2014+11.5%
Q2 2014+6.8%
Q1 2014-4.2%
Q4 2013+11.1%
Q3 2013+4.0%
Q2 2013+9.8%
Q1 2013-1.5%
Q4 2012-3.2%
Q3 2012+3.3%
Q2 2012+9.9%
Q1 2012+6.1%
Q4 2011+20.7%
Q3 2011-10.4%
Q2 2011-5.8%
Q1 2011-1.5%
Q4 2010+3.8%
Q3 2010+13.9%
Q2 2010-12.5%
Q1 2010-21.1%

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