NYSE$FNV

Franco-Nevada Corp · Q3 2025 earnings

Q3 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Franco-Nevada record Q3 revenue $487.7M (+77% YoY) on gold prices, Cobre Panama deliveries and new royalties

Franco-Nevada reported record Q3 2025 revenue of $487.7 million, up 77% from $275.7 million a year ago, driven by record gold prices, Cobre Panama concentrate deliveries, and contributions from recently acquired precious-metal assets. The royalty company sold 138,772 GEOs (+26% YoY) including 11,208 GEOs from Cobre Panama. Net income reached a record $287.5 million ($1.49 per share, +89% YoY) and adjusted net income was $275.0 million ($1.43 per share). Adjusted EBITDA hit a record $427.3 million ($2.22 per share) and operating cash flow was $348.0 million (+63%). Management narrowed full-year GEO sales guidance toward the upper end of its prior range and noted the company is again debt-free after repaying its revolver following the Arthur Gold acquisition.

  • Record Q3 revenue $487.7M (+77% YoY); 138,772 GEOs sold (+26%)
  • Net income $287.5M ($1.49 EPS); adjusted net income $275.0M ($1.43 EPS)
  • Adjusted EBITDA $427.3M ($2.22/share); operating cash flow $348.0M
  • 85% of revenue from precious metals; Cobre Panama contributed 11,208 GEOs
  • Full-year GEO sales guidance narrowed toward upper end of prior range

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$488M

No prior period
EPS (adj)

$1.43

No prior period
GEOs sold

138.8K

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$427M

No prior period
Precious Metals Revenue Share

85.0%

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$348M

No prior period
Net Income

$288M

No prior period
Operating Income

$341M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$354M

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$237M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

FNV · Revenue · Quarterly

$488M

Q3 2025
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

FNV · $242M total across 8 segments · Q3 2023

  • Gold
    $140M
  • Oil
    $38.2M
  • Silver
    $23.4M
  • Iron Ore
    $12.8M
  • Gas
    $9.9M
  • PGM
    $9.7M
  • NGL
    $4.6M
  • Other Mining Assets
    $3.2M

Forward guidance

Management narrowed 2025 GEO sales guidance toward the upper end of the prior 385,000–420,000 range, with precious-metal GEOs trending toward ~312,000 and total GEOs toward ~377,000.

Tailwinds

  • Record gold prices and six new gold royalty acquisitions over 18 months boost long-term growth
  • Debt-free balance sheet after revolver repayment following Arthur Gold deal

Headwinds

  • Cobre Panama concentrate sales are non-recurring as stockpiles are drawn down
  • Higher receivables partially offset strong operating cash flow

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2025

Historical avgQ3 2025

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

30 / 53 earnings

Positive

+8.7%

Q2 2015

Best reaction

-9.2%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+1.2%-7.5%-12.9%
Q3 2025-1.6%+2.3%+8.0%
Q2 2025+2.5%+3.4%+15.8%
Q1 2025+0.2%-7.2%-1.8%
Q2 2024-5.6%-1.7%+0.9%
Q4 2023+0.0%+5.1%+8.8%
Q3 2023-2.0%-3.8%-11.5%
Q2 2023+0.7%+3.0%+1.2%
Q1 2023+1.8%+3.1%-3.0%
Q4 2022-0.1%+5.6%+14.1%
Q3 2022+5.6%+11.6%+12.5%
Q2 2022-0.8%+0.4%-4.4%
Q1 2022-0.3%-7.0%-5.6%
Q4 2021-0.9%-5.2%+2.8%
Q3 2021-0.1%+1.2%-6.3%
Q2 2021+1.4%+0.4%-7.3%
Q1 2021+2.9%+4.4%+7.2%
Q4 2020+6.3%+9.8%+21.0%
Q3 2020+6.2%+0.9%-7.5%
Q2 2020-4.0%-6.3%-10.6%
Q1 2020-0.8%-3.2%-11.6%
Q4 2019-9.2%-26.1%-11.6%
Q3 2019+2.4%+3.6%+3.1%
Q2 2019+5.0%+4.3%+6.9%
Q1 2019+2.6%+6.6%+8.9%
Q4 2018-2.0%+0.4%-5.9%
Q3 2018+0.5%-0.4%+8.8%
Q2 2018+1.4%-0.1%-14.3%
Q1 2018-0.2%-2.3%-5.1%
Q4 2017-5.2%-3.8%-5.0%
Q3 2017+4.9%+5.5%-1.8%
Q2 2017+3.8%+7.0%+16.7%
Q1 2017+2.8%+5.4%+10.6%
Q4 2016-0.9%+1.3%+5.4%
Q3 2016-3.3%-15.1%-15.7%
Q2 2016+2.8%+0.9%-1.4%
Q1 2016+0.7%
Q4 2015+6.0%
Q3 2015+1.5%
Q2 2015+8.7%
Q1 2015-0.9%
Q4 2014-2.4%
Q3 2013+0.6%
Q2 2013+5.5%
Q1 2013+1.8%
Q2 2012-1.3%
Q2 2011-1.3%
Q4 2011-1.3%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+3.7%
Q3 2010+0.6%
Q2 2010-3.7%
Q1 2010+1.8%

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