NYSE$ETN

Eaton Corp PLC · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Eaton's Q4 2020 performance was stronger than expected, with adjusted EPS of $1.28 and sales of $4.7 billion.

Eaton Corporation reported a stronger than expected fourth quarter with organic sales down 5 percent and adjusted earnings per share of $1.28. The company generated strong cash flow, with operating cash flow totaling $943 million and free cash flow totaling $845 million.

  • Earnings per share were $1.18 for the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • Adjusted earnings per share were $1.28 for the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • Sales in the fourth quarter of 2020 were $4.7 billion.
  • Full year free cash flow totaled $2.6 billion, at the top of guidance range.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.69B

Previous: $5.24B-10.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.28

Previous: $1.37-6.6%
Segment margins

17.4%

Previous: 16.4%+6.1%
Capital Expenditures

$98M

Previous: $146M-32.9%
Free Cash Flow

$845M

Previous: $791M+6.8%
Net Income

$476M

Previous: $453M+5.1%
Operating Income

$553M

Previous: $857M-35.5%
Gross Profit

$1.51B

Previous: $1.68B-10.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$438M

Previous: $370M+18.4%
Total Assets

$31.8B

Previous: $32.8B-3.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Eaton · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.69B

Q4 2020-10.5%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Eaton · $4.2B total across 5 segments · Q4 2020

  • Electrical Americas
    $1.7B
  • Electrical Global
    $1.25B
  • Vehicle
    $620M-6.6%
  • Aerospace
    $542M+5.9%
  • eMobility
    $85M+13.3%

Forward guidance

Eaton expects organic revenues to grow between 4 percent and 6 percent versus 2020, with growth in all segments. For full year 2021, we expect adjusted earnings per share to be between $5.40 and $5.80.

Tailwinds

  • Expect organic revenues to grow between 4% and 6% versus 2020
  • Anticipate segment margins between 17.6% and 18.0%
  • Adjusted earnings per share to be between $5.40 and $5.80 for full year 2021
  • Expect growth in all segments
  • Expect sequential growth trend to continue well into 2021 in vehicle markets

Headwinds

  • The divestitures of Hydraulics and Lighting businesses are expected to reduce sales by 8%
  • Downturn in commercial aviation impacted aerospace segment sales
  • Organic sales were down 5 percent
  • The twelve-month rolling average of orders in the fourth quarter was down 6 percent, driven by declines in oil and gas and industrial markets in Electrical Global segment
  • Backlog at the end of December was down 14 percent compared to December 2019 in Aerospace segment

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

62%

40 / 65 earnings

Positive

+10.9%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-8.9%

Q2 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%-5.2%-1.3%
Q4 2025+0.6%+4.0%-1.3%
Q3 2025-2.3%-3.3%-12.3%
Q2 2025-7.4%-5.7%-9.5%
Q1 2025-0.8%+0.2%+6.1%
Q4 2024-0.2%-3.6%-10.3%
Q3 2024-2.3%-1.6%+9.5%
Q2 2024-8.0%-8.9%+0.7%
Q1 2024-4.4%-1.8%+2.4%
Q4 2023+9.8%+10.2%+19.4%
Q3 2023+8.6%+8.6%+15.1%
Q2 2023+6.6%+5.2%+12.2%
Q1 2023+2.1%+1.3%+6.1%
Q4 2022+1.7%+6.0%+3.5%
Q3 2022+0.4%+5.7%+8.9%
Q2 2022+0.8%+0.8%-5.9%
Q1 2022+2.3%+0.5%-3.9%
Q4 2021-4.3%+0.0%-4.5%
Q3 2021+3.1%+4.2%+1.4%
Q2 2021+3.4%+4.1%+7.4%
Q1 2021+0.8%+2.2%+1.4%
Q4 2020-1.6%+0.3%+10.6%
Q3 2020-1.3%+2.4%+8.7%
Q2 2020+1.2%+1.6%+10.9%
Q1 2020-4.3%-5.8%-1.0%
Q4 2019+7.2%-2.4%-0.3%
Q3 2019+1.2%+1.6%+6.6%
Q2 2019+1.4%-2.2%-1.8%
Q1 2019-2.5%-1.4%-9.7%
Q4 2018+4.9%+5.9%+10.1%
Q3 2018+0.9%+3.1%+7.0%
Q2 2018+3.1%+2.1%+3.7%
Q1 2018-2.9%-0.2%+2.1%
Q4 2017+1.3%-1.5%-5.1%
Q3 2017+2.9%-1.4%-1.8%
Q2 2017-5.3%-4.8%-8.3%
Q1 2017+0.3%+1.0%+2.6%
Q4 2016-1.5%-1.5%+0.9%
Q3 2016-4.5%-4.7%+6.1%
Q2 2016+0.5%+2.4%+4.7%
Q1 2016+0.4%
Q4 2015+10.9%
Q3 2015+4.4%
Q2 2015-0.7%
Q1 2015+0.2%
Q4 2014+6.3%
Q3 2014+3.1%
Q2 2014-8.9%
Q1 2014-2.5%
Q4 2013-1.7%
Q3 2013+3.0%
Q2 2013-5.1%
Q1 2012+4.4%
Q1 2013+4.7%
Q4 2010+1.6%
Q4 2011+1.6%
Q4 2012+5.4%
Q3 2012+9.9%
Q2 2012+5.0%
Q3 2011-7.2%
Q2 2011+5.0%
Q1 2011+2.0%
Q3 2010-0.2%
Q2 2010-2.2%
Q1 2010-0.5%

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