NYSE$EPR

EPR Properties · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported solid results with a strategic shift towards experiential real estate and announced increased monthly dividend and introduced guidance for 2020.

EPR Properties reported a strong fourth quarter, highlighted by the sale of its public charter school portfolio and a strategic refocus on experiential real estate. The company announced increased monthly dividend. Investment spending for the quarter totaled $110.0 million with $104.7 million spent on experiential investments.

  • Experiential focus announced in November in conjunction with sale of public charter school portfolio
  • Solid fourth quarter caps off another highly productive year
  • Guidance introduced for 2020; Significant capital redeployment anticipated
  • Monthly dividend increase for common shares announced

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$170M

Previous: $166M+2.3%
EPS (adj)

$1.26

Previous: $1.39-9.4%
AFFO per diluted share

$1.26

Previous: $1.39-9.4%
Net Income

$36.3M

Previous: $48M-24.4%
Gross Profit

$154M

Previous: $158M-2.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$529M

Previous: $5.87M+8904.8%
Total Assets

$6.58B

Previous: $6.13B+7.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.35M

Previous: $3.82M-12.3%

Revenue & EPS history

EPR · Revenue · Quarterly

$170M

Q4 2019+2.3%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 7 of 16 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

EPR · $170M total across 3 segments · Q4 2019

  • Rental revenue
    $155M+15.9%
  • Other income
    $8.39M+1827.8%
  • Mortgage and financing income
    $7.2M-57.7%

Forward guidance

The Company is introducing its 2020 guidance for FFOAA per diluted common share of $5.19 to $5.39, the midpoint of which represents approximately 4% growth over 2019 excluding termination and prepayment fees that related primarily to the Company's public charter school portfolio sold in 2019.

Tailwinds

  • FFOAA per diluted common share $5.19to$5.39
  • Investment spending $1,600to$1,800
  • The 2020 guidance for FFOAA per diluted share is based on a FFO per diluted common share range of $5.17 to $5.37 adjusted for transaction costs and deferred income tax expense.
  • FFO per diluted common share for 2020 is based on a net income available to common shareholders per diluted common share range of $2.92 to $3.12 less estimated gain on sale of real estate of $0.03 and the impact of Series C and Series E dilution of $0.06, plus estimated real estate depreciation of $2.31 and allocated share of joint venture depreciation of $0.03 (in accordance with the NAREIT definition of FFO).
  • The Company expects to close this investment in the second quarter of 2020.

Headwinds

  • Net income available to common shareholders per diluted common share $2.92to$3.12
  • Disposition proceeds $50to$100
  • there can be no assurances that definitive agreements will be entered into or that the investment will be consummated in the time presently expected, if at all.
  • Forward-looking statements necessarily are dependent on assumptions, data or methods that may be incorrect or imprecise.
  • The availability and terms of any such financing will depend upon market and other conditions.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

30 / 68 earnings

Positive

+7.8%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-7.8%

Q4 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.7%+3.3%+1.7%
Q4 2025+4.2%+2.6%-16.5%
Q3 2025-5.9%-5.0%+0.3%
Q1 2025+2.4%+1.0%+9.6%
Q4 2024+1.6%+3.2%+0.8%
Q3 2024-3.1%-3.3%-3.1%
Q2 2024-1.0%-4.8%+3.8%
Q1 2024+3.7%+2.7%+1.1%
Q4 2023-1.0%+1.2%+2.3%
Q3 2023-1.3%-0.1%+9.9%
Q2 2023-4.4%-3.0%-0.4%
Q1 2023+2.4%+2.4%+2.3%
Q4 2022+1.2%-1.4%-15.2%
Q3 2022-2.0%+0.1%+6.3%
Q2 2022-1.1%-2.5%-19.2%
Q1 2022+1.4%-3.3%-3.8%
Q4 2021+4.2%+6.7%+12.4%
Q3 2021-1.1%-1.7%-15.1%
Q2 2021-2.3%-4.3%-5.0%
Q1 2021+0.4%-0.2%+8.3%
Q4 2020-3.9%+1.2%+1.4%
Q3 2020-2.1%+31.4%+32.9%
Q2 2020-0.4%+9.7%+13.7%
Q1 2020-5.0%-1.3%+59.4%
Q4 2019-3.8%-13.2%-60.8%
Q3 2019-1.0%-1.0%-8.6%
Q2 2019-0.6%-2.1%+4.8%
Q1 2019+0.2%+0.6%-0.5%
Q4 2018-1.0%-2.9%+3.3%
Q3 2018+3.6%+2.0%+6.7%
Q2 2018+1.1%+4.6%+6.7%
Q1 2018+3.6%+4.3%+8.3%
Q4 2017-7.8%-3.9%-4.0%
Q3 2017-3.1%-1.8%-4.8%
Q2 2017+0.5%-0.8%+1.0%
Q1 2017-3.3%-3.3%-2.3%
Q4 2016-1.3%-2.6%-5.4%
Q3 2016-2.8%-1.1%-1.7%
Q2 2016-0.8%-1.7%-3.2%
Q1 2016+1.1%
Q4 2015+3.2%
Q3 2015+1.4%
Q2 2015-1.8%
Q1 2015-0.9%
Q4 2014-3.1%
Q3 2014-1.7%
Q2 2014-3.2%
Q1 2014-1.0%
Q4 2011+2.2%
Q4 2013+2.3%
Q3 2013+0.9%
Q2 2013+0.9%
Q1 2013-1.0%
Q4 2012+3.1%
Q3 2012+2.9%
Q2 2012+7.8%
Q1 2012+1.7%
Q3 2011+1.2%
Q2 2011-5.9%
Q1 2010-1.1%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q4 2008-5.4%
Q4 2010-5.4%
Q3 2009+5.5%
Q3 2010+5.5%
Q2 2009-1.6%
Q2 2010-1.6%
Q4 2009-1.6%

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