NYSE$EPM

Evolution Petroleum Corporation · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong financial results driven by recent acquisitions and increased oil production.

Evolution Petroleum reported a net income of $0.3 million and revenue of $23.0 million for Q3 2024. The company's production increased by 14% compared to the prior quarter, driven by the SCOOP/STACK acquisitions and the Chaveroo oilfield development.

  • Closed SCOOP/STACK acquisitions in February, adding ~1,550 BOEPD on a pro forma basis.
  • SCOOP/STACK acquisitions added ~300 gross undeveloped locations, with 19 DUC's completed by quarter-end.
  • Chaveroo oilfield initial three wells achieved peak production rates between approximately 300 and 375 gross BOEPD per well.
  • Company achieved highest ever oil production of ~2,200 barrels of oil per day for the current quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$23M

Previous: $36.9M-37.5%
EPS

$0.01

Previous: $0.42-97.6%
Net Production

638.0K

No prior period
Avg Oil Price

$73.06

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$43.8M

Previous: -$31K-141151.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$43.5M

Previous: $13.9M-412.4%
Net Income

$289K

Previous: $14M-97.9%
Operating Income

$2.08M

Previous: $17.6M-88.2%
Gross Profit

$10.4M

Previous: $23.3M-55.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.07M

Previous: $18.4M-83.3%
Total Assets

$167M

Previous: $138M+21.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$549K

Previous: $453K+21.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Evolution Petroleum · Revenue · Quarterly

$23M

Q3 2024-37.5%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 14 quarters(36%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Evolution Petroleum · $20.6M total across 3 segments · Q1 2024

  • Crude Oil
    $12.6M-16.8%
  • Natural Gas
    $5.55M-72.0%
  • Natural Gas Liquids
    $2.43M-49.2%

Forward guidance

The company expects capital expenditures to be in the range of $10.0 million to $12.0 million for fiscal year 2024, excluding acquisitions, and believes it can fund near-term capital spending from cash flows, working capital, and borrowings.

Tailwinds

  • Continued dividend payout of $0.12 per share.
  • Organic growth complementing producing assets.
  • Strategic approach driving success and growth.
  • Disciplined and strategic approach will continue to drive success.
  • Positioned for sustained growth in the future.

Headwinds

  • Winter storms impacted oil production.
  • Repeated downtime from rental turbine failures impacting NGL production.
  • CO2 purchase pipeline was taken offline for preventative maintenance.
  • Lower realized natural gas prices.
  • Low marginal wells remained shut-in.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.7%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

33 / 64 earnings

Positive

+15.9%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-22.0%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-8.6%-2.3%-13.2%
Q2 2026+5.5%+9.2%+17.3%
Q1 2026-4.6%-11.3%-10.9%
Q3 2025+2.7%-0.4%+11.9%
Q2 2025-1.3%-0.9%-6.4%
Q1 2025+3.2%+5.2%+2.0%
Q4 2024+14.9%+14.9%+18.3%
Q3 2024+1.8%+0.2%-3.1%
Q2 2024+2.5%+6.6%+13.2%
Q1 2024-7.0%-7.5%-3.7%
Q4 2023-22.0%-20.6%-29.0%
Q3 2023+9.9%+8.7%+31.3%
Q2 2023+3.8%+8.6%+9.0%
Q1 2023-10.2%-5.6%-19.4%
Q4 2022+15.9%+15.0%+13.6%
Q3 2022+0.5%-1.3%+12.5%
Q2 2022+8.6%+24.3%+32.0%
Q1 2022-3.4%-5.5%-15.3%
Q4 2021-0.2%+3.2%+30.7%
Q3 2021-3.9%-4.7%+26.6%
Q2 2021+2.9%+0.0%+25.0%
Q1 2021-1.8%+8.2%+35.6%
Q4 2020-0.4%-5.3%-17.0%
Q3 2020-12.6%-8.7%-3.5%
Q2 2020-2.4%-6.7%-9.1%
Q1 2020+0.2%-0.2%-8.4%
Q4 2019+2.4%-5.1%-12.7%
Q3 2019+1.4%-1.0%-9.9%
Q2 2019-1.7%+0.8%-5.8%
Q1 2019+1.4%-4.1%-16.6%
Q4 2018-0.5%+3.6%+12.8%
Q3 2018-0.5%-3.3%+6.0%
Q2 2018+7.4%+11.5%+10.1%
Q1 2018+5.0%+4.3%-2.9%
Q4 2017+0.0%-1.4%+2.2%
Q3 2017+1.4%+9.7%+2.8%
Q2 2017-6.8%-1.9%+0.6%
Q1 2017+6.2%+15.9%+29.0%
Q4 2016+6.4%+3.6%+27.8%
Q3 2016-2.3%
Q2 2016+6.5%
Q1 2016-3.6%
Q4 2015+8.7%
Q3 2015-4.3%
Q2 2015-9.5%
Q1 2015-1.0%
Q4 2014+1.5%
Q3 2014-5.1%
Q2 2014-2.1%
Q1 2014+3.5%
Q4 2013+2.3%
Q3 2013+1.6%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013+0.2%
Q4 2012+2.0%
Q4 2010+2.0%
Q3 2012+3.3%
Q2 2012-3.2%
Q2 2011-3.2%
Q1 2011-4.7%
Q4 2011-4.7%
Q1 2012-4.7%
Q3 2011+1.6%
Q3 2010-3.9%

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