NYSE$EPM

Evolution Petroleum Corporation · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a 67% increase in total revenues and declared a quarterly common stock dividend.

Evolution Petroleum announced its fiscal first quarter results, highlighted by a 67% increase in total revenues to $5.6 million compared to the prior quarter. The company generated operational cash flows exceeding the quarterly dividend and maintained a debt-free balance sheet with $19.8 million in cash. A non-cash impairment of $9.6 million was recorded due to decreased oil prices.

  • Paid 28th consecutive quarterly cash dividend and declared the next dividend payment of $0.025 per share.
  • Total revenues increased by 67% to $5.6 million compared to the prior quarter.
  • Generated operational cash flows in excess of quarterly dividend and ended the quarter with $19.8 million in cash, remaining debt-free.
  • Denbury Resources emerged from Chapter 11 bankruptcy.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.6M

Previous: $9.15M-38.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.01

Previous: $0.08-87.5%
Net Production

1.8K

Previous: 1.9K-3.6%
Avg Oil Price

$36.93

Previous: $59.32-37.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$7.14M

Previous: $2.27M-414.3%
Net Income

-$7.14M

Previous: $2.79M-355.5%
Operating Income

-$9.43M

Previous: $3.27M-388.0%
Gross Profit

-$9.43M

Previous: $4.64M-303.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$19.8M

Previous: $31.4M-36.9%
Total Assets

$82M

Previous: $94.7M-13.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$300K

Previous: $332K-9.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Evolution Petroleum · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.6M

Q1 2021-38.9%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Evolution Petroleum · $5.6M total across 3 segments · Q1 2021

  • Crude Oil
    $5.38M
  • Natural Gas Liquids
    $216K
  • Natural Gas
    $189

Forward guidance

The Company expects near-term volatility in crude oil prices and is prepared for potentially depressed prices. They anticipate Phase V development and conformance work during 2021, and they completed their annual fall redetermination and extended their credit facility.

Tailwinds

  • Expects to perform conformance workover projects in both Delhi and Hamilton Dome fields.
  • Plans for Delhi Phase V development expenditures of approximately $1.9 million to be incurred in 2021.
  • Completed annual fall redetermination and extended the credit facility an additional three years.
  • Denbury has access to capital, liquidity and the financial flexibility to begin Phase V development and other conformance work during 2021.
  • Maintaining and ultimately growing the common stock dividend remains a Company priority.

Headwinds

  • Expects the price of crude oil to experience some near-term volatility.
  • Cannot predict the duration of the volatility nor the current supply-demand imbalance.
  • Must be prepared for crude oil prices to remain depressed for an extended period.
  • The redetermination of the borrowing base resulted in a decrease from $27 million to $23 million.
  • Availability is subject to, and currently limited by, the Company's financial covenants.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.7%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

33 / 64 earnings

Positive

+15.9%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-22.0%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-8.6%-2.3%-13.2%
Q2 2026+5.5%+9.2%+17.3%
Q1 2026-4.6%-11.3%-10.9%
Q3 2025+2.7%-0.4%+11.9%
Q2 2025-1.3%-0.9%-6.4%
Q1 2025+3.2%+5.2%+2.0%
Q4 2024+14.9%+14.9%+18.3%
Q3 2024+1.8%+0.2%-3.1%
Q2 2024+2.5%+6.6%+13.2%
Q1 2024-7.0%-7.5%-3.7%
Q4 2023-22.0%-20.6%-29.0%
Q3 2023+9.9%+8.7%+31.3%
Q2 2023+3.8%+8.6%+9.0%
Q1 2023-10.2%-5.6%-19.4%
Q4 2022+15.9%+15.0%+13.6%
Q3 2022+0.5%-1.3%+12.5%
Q2 2022+8.6%+24.3%+32.0%
Q1 2022-3.4%-5.5%-15.3%
Q4 2021-0.2%+3.2%+30.7%
Q3 2021-3.9%-4.7%+26.6%
Q2 2021+2.9%+0.0%+25.0%
Q1 2021-1.8%+8.2%+35.6%
Q4 2020-0.4%-5.3%-17.0%
Q3 2020-12.6%-8.7%-3.5%
Q2 2020-2.4%-6.7%-9.1%
Q1 2020+0.2%-0.2%-8.4%
Q4 2019+2.4%-5.1%-12.7%
Q3 2019+1.4%-1.0%-9.9%
Q2 2019-1.7%+0.8%-5.8%
Q1 2019+1.4%-4.1%-16.6%
Q4 2018-0.5%+3.6%+12.8%
Q3 2018-0.5%-3.3%+6.0%
Q2 2018+7.4%+11.5%+10.1%
Q1 2018+5.0%+4.3%-2.9%
Q4 2017+0.0%-1.4%+2.2%
Q3 2017+1.4%+9.7%+2.8%
Q2 2017-6.8%-1.9%+0.6%
Q1 2017+6.2%+15.9%+29.0%
Q4 2016+6.4%+3.6%+27.8%
Q3 2016-2.3%
Q2 2016+6.5%
Q1 2016-3.6%
Q4 2015+8.7%
Q3 2015-4.3%
Q2 2015-9.5%
Q1 2015-1.0%
Q4 2014+1.5%
Q3 2014-5.1%
Q2 2014-2.1%
Q1 2014+3.5%
Q4 2013+2.3%
Q3 2013+1.6%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013+0.2%
Q4 2012+2.0%
Q4 2010+2.0%
Q3 2012+3.3%
Q2 2012-3.2%
Q2 2011-3.2%
Q1 2011-4.7%
Q4 2011-4.7%
Q1 2012-4.7%
Q3 2011+1.6%
Q3 2010-3.9%

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