NYSE$EMN

Eastman Chemical Co · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Eastman Chemical's financial performance was impacted by lower demand, customer destocking, and COVID-19 in China during the fourth quarter.

Eastman Chemical Company reported a challenging fourth quarter due to lower demand in key markets, customer inventory destocking, and limited benefit from lower raw material costs. Despite these challenges, the company demonstrated commercial excellence in pricing and made progress on its circular platform.

  • Primary demand slowed, destocking accelerated, and COVID-19 in China weakened demand.
  • Adjusted EPS was negatively impacted by foreign currency exchange rates and Winter Storm Elliott.
  • Commercial excellence was demonstrated by raising prices to offset ~$1.3 billion inflation.
  • Progress was made on the circular platform, remaining an exciting opportunity for Eastman.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.37B

Previous: $2.69B-11.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.89

Previous: $1.81-50.8%
Capital Expenditures

$203M

Previous: $240M-15.4%
Free Cash Flow

$254M

Previous: $190M+33.7%
Net Income

$2M

Previous: $378M-99.5%
Operating Income

$76M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$376M

Previous: $559M-32.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$493M

Previous: $459M+7.4%
Total Assets

$14.7B

Previous: $15.5B-5.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Eastman Chemical · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.37B

Q4 2022-11.9%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Eastman Chemical · $2.37B total across 4 segments · Q4 2022

  • Advanced Materials
    $736M-4.7%
  • Additives & Functional Products
    $705M-1.4%
  • Chemical Intermediates
    $615M-20.8%
  • Fibers
    $317M+33.2%

Forward guidance

Eastman expects a challenging period for the global economy in 2023, characterized by inventory destocking, soft end-market demand, and uncertainty. The company anticipates aggressive inventory destocking to predominantly conclude in the first quarter, with modest volume recovery in the back half of the year. Eastman projects to grow adjusted 2023 EPS by between 5 and 15 percent, excluding the approximately $0.75 pension headwind, and improve operating cash flow to approximately $1.4 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Aggressive inventory destocking to predominantly conclude in the first quarter
  • Expect modest volume recovery in the back half of the year
  • Taking actions to reduce costs by more than $200 million in 2023, net of inflation
  • Intend to maintain price discipline in specialty product lines to recover spreads
  • Expect significant improvement in Fibers earnings to more sustainable levels

Headwinds

  • Challenging period for the global economy
  • Significant inventory destocking
  • Soft end-market demand
  • Uncertainty about the full year
  • Pension and other post-employment benefits costs are expected to increase by approximately $110 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

33 / 72 earnings

Positive

+10.5%

Q3 2012

Best reaction

-8.1%

Q2 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.8%+3.6%+3.7%
Q4 2025+5.9%+13.8%+9.5%
Q3 2025+4.9%+5.8%+4.8%
Q1 2025-6.2%-4.7%-0.3%
Q4 2024+7.5%+9.8%+5.6%
Q3 2024-3.7%-3.9%-0.3%
Q2 2024+4.5%+7.1%+4.6%
Q1 2024-0.8%-2.0%+4.0%
Q4 2023-1.1%-1.1%+4.2%
Q3 2023+5.1%+8.3%+18.6%
Q2 2023-1.8%-2.6%-6.9%
Q1 2023+5.3%+0.5%+1.6%
Q4 2022-4.4%-2.9%-7.7%
Q3 2022+0.6%+4.1%+14.8%
Q2 2022+1.0%-1.9%+0.1%
Q1 2022-2.3%-0.2%+4.3%
Q4 2021-0.8%+0.6%+1.4%
Q3 2021-1.4%+3.6%+4.7%
Q2 2021-0.8%+0.1%+0.0%
Q1 2021+0.0%+5.0%+8.7%
Q4 2020-1.9%+1.7%+8.9%
Q3 2020+0.7%+5.4%+24.5%
Q2 2020-4.8%-2.1%+6.0%
Q1 2020-5.4%-5.3%+7.3%
Q4 2019+0.6%+3.2%-13.2%
Q3 2019+2.0%+4.5%+3.7%
Q2 2019-5.0%-6.2%-24.4%
Q1 2019-2.1%-3.7%-16.0%
Q4 2018-0.8%-0.9%+1.0%
Q3 2018+3.5%+4.6%+2.8%
Q2 2018-0.8%+1.9%-2.7%
Q1 2018-0.5%-2.9%+1.1%
Q4 2017+0.1%-0.2%+1.6%
Q3 2017+2.6%+0.2%+0.6%
Q2 2017-2.4%-1.6%-0.2%
Q1 2017-2.1%-1.9%-1.9%
Q4 2016-2.1%-2.4%+1.0%
Q3 2016+7.3%+7.5%+12.0%
Q2 2016-7.2%-8.8%-4.4%
Q1 2016-1.7%
Q4 2015-1.3%
Q3 2015-2.0%
Q2 2015+4.7%
Q1 2015+3.2%
Q4 2014+3.3%
Q3 2014+8.4%
Q2 2014-8.1%
Q1 2014-4.8%
Q4 2013+4.4%
Q3 2013-5.6%
Q2 2013+7.5%
Q1 2013-4.0%
Q4 2012+2.8%
Q3 2012+10.5%
Q2 2012+1.0%
Q1 2012-1.5%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q3 2011-0.9%
Q2 2011-4.7%
Q1 2011-3.3%
Q4 2010-0.6%
Q3 2010+1.4%
Q2 2010+0.3%
Q1 2010-5.2%
Q1 2009-5.2%
Q4 2009+0.7%
Q4 2007+0.7%
Q3 2008-2.2%
Q3 2009-2.2%
Q4 2008+4.4%
Q2 2009+4.4%
Q2 2008+4.4%

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