NYSE$DVN

Devon Energy Corp · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Devon Energy reported strong Q4 2019 results driven by increased oil production and capital efficiency.

Devon Energy reported fourth-quarter 2019 results, with oil production increasing 28% year over year and exceeding guidance. The company's operating cash flow was $579 million and free cash flow was $171 million. A net loss of $642 million was reported, but core earnings were $0.33 per diluted share after adjustments.

  • Fourth-quarter oil production increased 28 percent year over year, exceeding guidance.
  • Upstream capital expenditures were 6 percent below midpoint due to efficiencies.
  • Operating cash flow expanded year over year to $579 million.
  • Free cash flow generation accelerated to $171 million in the fourth quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.59B

Previous: $3.71B-57.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.36

Previous: $0.10+260.0%
Total Production (Boe/d)

340.0K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$1.47B

Previous: $20M-7455.0%
Free Cash Flow

$171M

No prior period
Net Income

-$642M

Previous: $1.15B-155.9%
Gross Profit

$218M

Previous: $2.73B-92.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.8B

Previous: $2.41B-25.4%
Total Assets

$13.7B

Previous: $19.6B-29.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$23M

Previous: $34M-32.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Devon Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.59B

Q4 2019-57.1%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Devon Energy is raising its full-year 2020 oil growth rate to a range of 7.5 percent to 9 percent compared to 2019 and lowering the top end of its upstream capital guidance by $50 million to a range of $1.7 billion to $1.85 billion in 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Exceptionally strong well performance in the Delaware Basin.
  • Raising full-year 2020 oil growth rate to range of 7.5% to 9%.
  • Lowering the top end of its upstream capital guidance by $50 million.
  • Capital efficiency to be enhanced by reallocation of capital to the Delaware Basin.
  • Full-year G&A outlook is expected to decline to a range of $360 million to $400 million.

Headwinds

  • LOE rates are expected to increase to a range of $8.00 to $8.20 per Boe in 2020.
  • Increase is entirely driven by $65 million of minimum volume commitment payments in the STACK.
  • These commitments expire at the end of 2020.
  • Volatility of oil, gas and NGL prices.
  • Regulatory restrictions and compliance costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.9%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

40 / 73 earnings

Positive

+13.6%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-12.8%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.7%-8.3%-13.2%
Q4 2025+1.5%-0.8%+10.5%
Q3 2025+0.4%+8.7%+15.9%
Q2 2025-0.2%+2.7%+7.1%
Q1 2025-1.1%+9.7%+5.6%
Q4 2024+7.7%+7.0%+3.6%
Q3 2024+2.2%-0.7%-8.1%
Q2 2024+4.1%+8.3%+1.4%
Q1 2024-1.6%-0.6%-4.1%
Q4 2023+0.5%+1.3%+14.5%
Q3 2023-5.4%-2.4%-7.0%
Q2 2023-7.9%-5.9%-5.4%
Q1 2023-2.4%-5.6%-0.6%
Q4 2022-10.0%-16.1%-27.2%
Q3 2022-12.8%-7.6%-11.7%
Q2 2022-3.5%-9.9%+12.4%
Q1 2022+10.5%+19.8%+31.5%
Q4 2021+3.0%+4.8%+10.1%
Q3 2021-0.0%+3.8%-1.0%
Q2 2021-0.8%+6.0%+15.0%
Q1 2021+6.8%+11.0%+32.0%
Q4 2020+8.8%+4.3%+11.9%
Q3 2020+10.2%+19.0%+82.5%
Q2 2020+13.6%+14.2%-1.2%
Q1 2020+0.6%+11.2%+11.4%
Q4 2019-0.4%-8.1%-71.3%
Q3 2019-2.2%+1.5%-2.2%
Q2 2019+0.4%-0.0%-2.3%
Q1 2019-2.7%-4.5%-21.2%
Q4 2018+6.5%+4.3%+11.4%
Q3 2018+2.3%-0.3%-16.2%
Q2 2018-3.5%-4.5%-4.3%
Q1 2018+5.2%+4.2%+14.4%
Q4 2017-10.4%-7.9%-5.3%
Q3 2017+8.6%+9.1%+7.0%
Q2 2017+0.3%+1.1%-5.7%
Q1 2017-2.9%-3.3%-12.8%
Q4 2016-2.3%-2.4%-10.0%
Q3 2016+4.4%+6.1%+26.3%
Q2 2016+5.8%+10.0%+21.7%
Q1 2016-9.4%
Q4 2015-6.3%
Q3 2015+7.8%
Q2 2015-2.9%
Q1 2015-2.2%
Q4 2014-3.8%
Q3 2014+5.3%
Q2 2014-1.5%
Q1 2014+1.1%
Q4 2013+2.6%
Q3 2013-6.3%
Q2 2013+5.1%
Q1 2013+2.9%
Q4 2012-9.4%
Q3 2012-9.4%
Q2 2012-6.3%
Q1 2012-5.9%
Q4 2011+0.1%
Q3 2011+5.8%
Q2 2011-7.8%
Q1 2011+0.4%
Q4 2010+3.5%
Q3 2010+3.8%
Q2 2010-0.7%
Q1 2009-4.3%
Q1 2010+2.2%
Q4 2007+0.7%
Q4 2009+0.7%
Q3 2009+1.4%
Q3 2008+1.4%
Q2 2009+0.9%
Q2 2008+0.9%
Q4 2008+0.9%

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