NYSE$DINO

HF Sinclair Corp. · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

HF Sinclair reported Q4 2025 adjusted net income of $221M, or $1.20 per diluted share.

GAAP net loss attributable to stockholders was $28 million ($(0.16) per share) on LCM and seasonal refining weakness. Adjusted net income was $221 million ($1.20 per share) versus an adjusted loss a year ago. Refining adjusted EBITDA was $403 million including $313 million from small-refinery RIN waivers. Returned $230M via dividends and buybacks in Q4.

  • Adjusted EPS $1.20; GAAP loss $(0.16).
  • Refining adjusted EBITDA $403M.
  • Midstream and marketing records for FY 2025.
  • $0.50 quarterly dividend declared.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$6.46B

Previous: $6.5B-0.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.20

Previous: -$1.02+217.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

$564M

Previous: $28M+1914.3%
Adj. refinery margin per bbl

$16.28

Previous: $6.68+143.7%
Refinery throughput (BPD)

620.0K

Previous: 603.7K+2.7%
Quarterly dividend per share

$0.50

Previous: $0.50+0.0%
Renewables adj. margin/gal

$0.33

No prior period
Marketing adj. margin/gal

$0.10

No prior period
Refining Adjusted EBITDA

$403M

No prior period
Renewables Adjusted EBITDA

-$6M

No prior period
Marketing EBITDA

$22M

No prior period
Lubricants & Spec. EBITDA

$43M

No prior period
Midstream Adjusted EBITDA

$114M

No prior period
Refinery utilization

82.1%

No prior period
Total debt

$2.77B

No prior period
Crude charge (BPD)

556.5K

No prior period
Renewables sales (gallons)

57.3M

No prior period
Marketing sales (gallons)

336.5M

No prior period
Lubricants sales (BPD)

30.0K

No prior period
Total pipeline & terminal (BPD)

2.1M

No prior period
Net Income

-$28M

Previous: -$214M+86.9%
Operating Income

$7M

Previous: -$225M+103.1%

Revenue & EPS history

HF Sinclair · Revenue · Quarterly

$6.46B

Q4 2025-0.6%vs Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

HF Sinclair · $10.5B total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Refining
    $8.05B-2.2%
  • Marketing
    $1.26B-0.6%
  • Lubricants & Specialties
    $687M-16.3%
  • Renewables
    $331M+29.9%
  • Midstream
    $158M+506.0%

Forward guidance

Management focuses on safe operations, midstream growth, and capital returns while completing audit of disclosure processes before filing the 10-K.

Tailwinds

  • RIN waiver benefit and margin recovery.
  • Record midstream and marketing earnings FY.
  • Share repurchases and dividend maintained.

Headwinds

  • Puget Sound turnaround and Artesia event.
  • Renewables segment still loss-making.
  • 10-K filing delayed for Audit Committee review.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

30 / 64 earnings

Positive

+11.4%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-13.3%

Q4 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%+5.8%+3.9%
Q4 2025-10.8%-14.3%+4.1%
Q3 2025-2.2%-0.9%-1.9%
Q1 2025+4.0%+8.4%+20.2%
Q4 2024-1.1%-3.6%-11.4%
Q3 2024-5.2%-2.1%+0.3%
Q2 2024-9.2%-10.4%-4.5%
Q1 2024+5.3%+2.5%-2.9%
Q4 2023-1.7%-1.8%+3.8%
Q3 2023+0.9%-2.8%-2.6%
Q2 2023+6.4%+11.2%+10.2%
Q1 2023-8.4%-6.1%+3.2%
Q4 2022-4.3%-3.4%-10.8%
Q3 2022-0.7%-1.6%-18.9%
Q2 2022+6.5%+11.5%+14.0%
Q1 2022+2.6%+9.8%+34.4%
Q4 2021-13.3%-11.6%+14.1%
Q3 2021-4.1%-0.8%-4.8%
Q2 2021-1.2%+0.3%+8.6%
Q1 2021-2.5%-3.0%-1.4%
Q4 2020-1.6%-2.2%-5.4%
Q3 2020-6.2%+15.6%+52.4%
Q2 2020-1.8%+2.0%-12.1%
Q1 2020+4.0%-4.4%+22.5%
Q4 2019+0.5%-11.0%-48.0%
Q3 2019-4.4%-1.7%-9.4%
Q2 2019+2.7%-0.8%-10.9%
Q1 2019-2.1%-4.8%-20.5%
Q4 2018-4.0%-5.0%-12.1%
Q3 2018+6.3%+3.1%-1.2%
Q2 2018-8.3%-6.4%+1.0%
Q1 2018+8.6%+8.5%+35.0%
Q4 2017-4.1%-2.0%+4.0%
Q3 2017+8.9%+13.9%+19.8%
Q2 2017+4.2%+4.0%+10.8%
Q1 2017-8.1%-2.6%-15.2%
Q4 2016-2.0%-4.9%-11.1%
Q3 2016-3.9%-7.8%+18.7%
Q2 2016+0.1%+7.2%-3.5%
Q1 2016-12.7%
Q4 2015+11.4%
Q3 2015-0.6%
Q2 2015+8.2%
Q1 2015+6.5%
Q4 2014+8.8%
Q3 2014-2.2%
Q2 2014-1.1%
Q1 2014+1.7%
Q4 2013+2.1%
Q3 2013-2.0%
Q2 2013-4.8%
Q1 2013-0.2%
Q4 2012+4.1%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q2 2012+0.7%
Q1 2012+0.3%
Q4 2011+7.9%
Q3 2011-1.2%
Q2 2011+5.4%
Q1 2011-0.3%
Q4 2010+2.8%
Q3 2010+1.9%
Q2 2010-3.4%
Q1 2010+2.0%

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