NYSE$DINO

HF Sinclair Corp. · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

HF Sinclair reported a net loss for Q4 2024 due to a downturn in the refining business, partially offset by strong contributions from other segments.

HF Sinclair posted a net loss of $214 million for Q4 2024, compared to a net loss of $62 million in Q4 2023. Adjusted net loss was $191 million. Revenue declined 15% year-over-year to $6.5 billion, impacted by lower refinery gross margins and sales volumes. The company continues to focus on strategic priorities and returning cash to shareholders.

  • Net loss of $214 million, compared to $62 million in Q4 2023.
  • Revenue declined 15% YoY to $6.5 billion.
  • Refining segment loss widened due to lower margins and sales volumes.
  • Cash and cash equivalents stood at $800 million, down from $1.35 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$6.5B

Previous: $7.66B-15.1%
EPS (adj)

-$1.02

Previous: $0.87-217.2%
Adjusted EBITDA

$28M

Previous: $428M-93.5%
Adj. refinery margin per bbl

$6.68

Previous: $13.88-51.9%
Refinery throughput (BPD)

603.7K

Previous: 664.4K-9.1%
Quarterly dividend per share

$0.50

Previous: $0.50+0.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$173M

Previous: $114M-251.8%
Net Income

-$214M

Previous: -$33.7M-535.8%
Operating Income

-$225M

Previous: -$77.4M-190.8%
Gross Profit

$558M

Previous: $703M-20.6%

Revenue & EPS history

HF Sinclair · Revenue · Quarterly

$6.5B

Q4 2024-15.1%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

HF Sinclair · $10.5B total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Refining
    $8.05B-2.2%
  • Marketing
    $1.26B-0.6%
  • Lubricants & Specialties
    $687M-16.3%
  • Renewables
    $331M+29.9%
  • Midstream
    $158M+506.0%

Forward guidance

HF Sinclair remains focused on optimizing operations, maintaining financial discipline, and returning capital to shareholders.

Tailwinds

  • Continued strong performance in Midstream and Marketing segments.
  • Strategic focus on integration and cost optimization.
  • Commitment to returning cash to shareholders via dividends and buybacks.
  • Investment in renewable fuels to support long-term growth.
  • Operational efficiencies expected to improve margins in non-refining segments.

Headwinds

  • Weak refining margins due to high global supply of transportation fuels.
  • Lower refined product sales volumes impacting revenue.
  • Increased cost of materials affecting profitability.
  • Declining cash reserves due to net losses and dividend payouts.
  • Macroeconomic uncertainties and market volatility posing risks.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

30 / 64 earnings

Positive

+11.4%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-13.3%

Q4 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%+5.8%+3.9%
Q4 2025-10.8%-14.3%+4.1%
Q3 2025-2.2%-0.9%-1.9%
Q1 2025+4.0%+8.4%+20.2%
Q4 2024-1.1%-3.6%-11.4%
Q3 2024-5.2%-2.1%+0.3%
Q2 2024-9.2%-10.4%-4.5%
Q1 2024+5.3%+2.5%-2.9%
Q4 2023-1.7%-1.8%+3.8%
Q3 2023+0.9%-2.8%-2.6%
Q2 2023+6.4%+11.2%+10.2%
Q1 2023-8.4%-6.1%+3.2%
Q4 2022-4.3%-3.4%-10.8%
Q3 2022-0.7%-1.6%-18.9%
Q2 2022+6.5%+11.5%+14.0%
Q1 2022+2.6%+9.8%+34.4%
Q4 2021-13.3%-11.6%+14.1%
Q3 2021-4.1%-0.8%-4.8%
Q2 2021-1.2%+0.3%+8.6%
Q1 2021-2.5%-3.0%-1.4%
Q4 2020-1.6%-2.2%-5.4%
Q3 2020-6.2%+15.6%+52.4%
Q2 2020-1.8%+2.0%-12.1%
Q1 2020+4.0%-4.4%+22.5%
Q4 2019+0.5%-11.0%-48.0%
Q3 2019-4.4%-1.7%-9.4%
Q2 2019+2.7%-0.8%-10.9%
Q1 2019-2.1%-4.8%-20.5%
Q4 2018-4.0%-5.0%-12.1%
Q3 2018+6.3%+3.1%-1.2%
Q2 2018-8.3%-6.4%+1.0%
Q1 2018+8.6%+8.5%+35.0%
Q4 2017-4.1%-2.0%+4.0%
Q3 2017+8.9%+13.9%+19.8%
Q2 2017+4.2%+4.0%+10.8%
Q1 2017-8.1%-2.6%-15.2%
Q4 2016-2.0%-4.9%-11.1%
Q3 2016-3.9%-7.8%+18.7%
Q2 2016+0.1%+7.2%-3.5%
Q1 2016-12.7%
Q4 2015+11.4%
Q3 2015-0.6%
Q2 2015+8.2%
Q1 2015+6.5%
Q4 2014+8.8%
Q3 2014-2.2%
Q2 2014-1.1%
Q1 2014+1.7%
Q4 2013+2.1%
Q3 2013-2.0%
Q2 2013-4.8%
Q1 2013-0.2%
Q4 2012+4.1%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q2 2012+0.7%
Q1 2012+0.3%
Q4 2011+7.9%
Q3 2011-1.2%
Q2 2011+5.4%
Q1 2011-0.3%
Q4 2010+2.8%
Q3 2010+1.9%
Q2 2010-3.4%
Q1 2010+2.0%

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