NYSE$DE

Deere & Co · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Deere reported a rise in net income for Q4 2020, aided by strong execution and disciplined cost management.

Deere & Company reported net income of $757 million for the fourth quarter ended November 1, 2020, or $2.39 per share. Worldwide net sales and revenues decreased 2 percent, to $9.731 billion, for the fourth quarter of 2020.

  • Fourth-quarter net income rises 5% aided by strong execution and disciplined cost management.
  • Improving fundamentals in agricultural sector setting stage for stronger demand in year ahead.
  • Earnings for 2021 forecast to be $3.6 to $4.0 billion.
  • Deere expects to benefit from improving conditions in the farm economy and stabilization in construction and forestry markets.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$8.66B

Previous: $8.7B-0.5%
EPS (adj)

$2.39

Previous: $2.14+11.7%
Capital Expenditures

$226M

Previous: $364M-37.9%
Free Cash Flow

$3.2B

Previous: $2.64B+21.0%
Net Income

$757M

Previous: $722M+4.8%
Operating Income

$1.31B

Previous: $800M+63.1%
Gross Profit

$3.06B

Previous: $2.92B+4.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$7.07B

Previous: $3.86B+83.2%
Total Assets

$75.1B

Previous: $73B+2.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$18M

Previous: $19M-5.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Deere · Revenue · Quarterly

$8.66B

Q4 2020-0.5%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Deere · $9.55B total across 3 segments · Q4 2020

  • Production & Precision Ag
    $6.2B
  • Construction & Forestry
    $2.46B
  • Financial Services
    $891M

Forward guidance

Net income attributable to Deere & Company for fiscal 2021 is forecast to be in a range of $3.6 billion to $4.0 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Deere expects to benefit from improving conditions in the farm economy
  • Deere expects stabilization in construction and forestry markets
  • Higher crop prices are leading to renewed optimism in the agricultural sector
  • Improving fundamentals are improving demand for farm equipment
  • Deere is looking forward to realizing the benefits of our smart industrial operating strategy

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

39 / 73 earnings

Positive

+14.3%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-10.9%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+0.8%-4.1%+6.9%
Q1 2026-0.1%+8.6%-5.7%
Q4 2025-5.8%-6.0%-5.9%
Q3 2025-6.5%-4.7%-8.4%
Q2 2025+3.6%+5.8%+2.4%
Q1 2025-2.2%+5.2%+0.2%
Q4 2024+10.3%+13.8%+6.8%
Q3 2024+7.6%+6.1%+12.4%
Q2 2024-4.1%-6.6%-8.7%
Q1 2024-6.3%-7.1%-0.4%
Q4 2023-3.3%-5.3%+3.7%
Q3 2023-6.8%-5.9%-1.7%
Q2 2023-2.7%-4.4%+10.0%
Q1 2023+6.0%+5.8%-4.3%
Q4 2022+6.0%+5.9%+4.9%
Q3 2022+0.4%+3.6%-3.7%
Q2 2022-8.0%-5.9%-11.5%
Q1 2022-7.0%-11.3%+8.6%
Q4 2021+2.9%-0.3%-0.0%
Q3 2021+1.1%+4.8%-2.8%
Q2 2021+1.2%+0.7%-7.4%
Q1 2021+12.4%+15.1%+24.1%
Q4 2020+0.2%+0.0%+2.9%
Q3 2020+7.5%+10.4%+16.2%
Q2 2020+3.7%+7.4%+8.4%
Q1 2020+3.6%+0.7%-32.7%
Q4 2019-4.9%-6.4%-0.5%
Q3 2019+6.0%+7.8%+15.1%
Q2 2019-7.3%-4.9%+3.8%
Q1 2019-3.2%-1.6%-2.6%
Q4 2018+3.1%+7.5%+3.2%
Q3 2018+2.3%+3.8%+7.6%
Q2 2018+7.8%+6.7%+1.3%
Q1 2018-1.2%-2.8%-1.8%
Q4 2017+4.5%+6.9%+13.1%
Q3 2017-6.0%-6.1%-4.0%
Q2 2017+8.0%+9.0%+13.5%
Q1 2017+0.4%+0.4%+1.2%
Q4 2016+12.9%+10.5%+12.1%
Q3 2016+14.3%+13.6%+6.5%
Q2 2016-5.3%-2.1%+4.6%
Q1 2016-2.4%
Q4 2015+3.6%
Q3 2015-10.9%
Q2 2015+4.9%
Q1 2015-0.8%
Q4 2014-1.3%
Q3 2014-1.8%
Q2 2014-2.6%
Q1 2014-1.8%
Q4 2013+1.3%
Q3 2013+0.5%
Q2 2013-4.7%
Q1 2013-3.6%
Q4 2012-2.3%
Q3 2012-5.8%
Q2 2012+0.5%
Q1 2012-0.6%
Q4 2011+4.1%
Q3 2011-3.5%
Q2 2011+1.3%
Q1 2011+4.6%
Q4 2010+0.4%
Q3 2010+0.4%
Q2 2010-3.9%
Q1 2009+1.6%
Q1 2010+2.8%
Q4 2009+0.6%
Q2 2009+0.6%
Q4 2007+0.6%
Q3 2009-3.3%
Q4 2008-3.3%
Q3 2008-3.3%

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