NYSE$DCO

Ducommun Incorporated · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported all-time high revenue and adjusted EBITDA in 2023, with Q4 revenue reaching $192.2 million and GAAP net income of $5.1 million.

Ducommun Incorporated reported strong Q4 2023 results, with revenue of $192.2 million and GAAP net income of $5.1 million, or $0.34 per diluted share. The company's performance was driven by growth in commercial aerospace, offset by a decrease in military and space revenue. Gross margins improved, and the company ended the year with a solid backlog of approximately $994 million.

  • Revenue for Q4 2023 reached $192.2 million.
  • GAAP net income for Q4 2023 was $5.1 million, or $0.34 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted net income for Q4 2023 was $10.4 million, or $0.70 per diluted share.
  • Cash flow from operating activities for Q4 2023 was $26.5 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$192M

Previous: $188M+2.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.70

Previous: $0.85-17.6%
Capital Expenditures

$3.49M

Previous: $5.32M-34.4%
Net Income

$5.11M

Previous: $8.08M-36.8%
Operating Income

$8.93M

Previous: $9.69M-7.9%
Gross Profit

$41.7M

Previous: $38.6M+8.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.28M

Previous: $2.84M-55.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Ducommun · Revenue · Quarterly

$192M

Q4 2023+2.1%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ducommun · $196M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Electronic Systems
    $111M-2.4%
  • Structural Systems
    $85.5M+16.9%

Forward guidance

Looking ahead to 2024, the company anticipates continued growth in its commercial aerospace business due to record order bookings and expected increases in production rates at Boeing and Airbus. The company also expects growth in its defense business, driven by significant backlog growth in military and space and continued success with off-loading initiatives.

Tailwinds

  • Record order bookings
  • Anticipated growth in production rates at Boeing and Airbus
  • Significant growth in backlog in military and space business
  • Continued success with off-loading initiatives
  • Celebrating 175th continuous year in business

Headwinds

  • Impact of the Company’s debt service obligations and restrictive debt covenants
  • The cyclicality of the Company’s end-use markets
  • The Company's ability to generate sufficient amounts of cash to run the business
  • The Company's dependence upon a selected base of industries and customers
  • A significant portion of the Company’s business being dependent upon U.S. Government defense spending

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

34 / 65 earnings

Positive

+36.6%

Q4 2019

Best reaction

-22.6%

Q1 2013

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.3%+1.8%+17.5%
Q4 2025-3.3%+6.6%-4.7%
Q3 2025-2.5%+6.0%-2.6%
Q1 2025+3.5%+11.4%+25.2%
Q4 2024-6.4%-7.3%-4.7%
Q3 2024+3.7%+3.8%-3.0%
Q2 2024+3.3%+9.9%+2.4%
Q1 2024+3.6%+2.6%+5.1%
Q4 2023-3.2%-3.8%-1.0%
Q3 2023-0.4%+5.1%+9.0%
Q2 2023-8.4%-8.3%-5.8%
Q1 2023-7.3%-6.0%-17.5%
Q4 2022-7.8%-5.7%-13.7%
Q3 2022+7.2%+9.3%+3.2%
Q2 2022-5.9%-2.9%-10.6%
Q1 2022+2.8%-1.5%-9.4%
Q4 2021+4.4%+8.7%+15.2%
Q3 2021+2.4%+7.3%-12.3%
Q2 2021-3.0%-4.8%-9.0%
Q1 2021-3.8%-2.9%-11.6%
Q4 2020-1.6%-0.8%+10.7%
Q3 2020-1.6%+3.0%+47.6%
Q2 2020+4.5%+5.0%+11.4%
Q1 2020-13.5%-16.2%+7.1%
Q4 2019+36.6%+15.1%-54.1%
Q3 2019+17.8%+11.6%+16.1%
Q2 2019+14.0%+8.4%+0.5%
Q1 2019+14.3%+16.7%+11.5%
Q4 2018+10.0%+7.9%+3.5%
Q3 2018+9.0%+8.4%-3.9%
Q2 2018+17.5%+23.4%+28.0%
Q1 2018+4.1%+0.2%+7.4%
Q4 2017+0.4%+4.2%+6.6%
Q3 2017-1.5%-11.0%-16.0%
Q2 2017-2.1%-3.7%-6.7%
Q1 2017+15.3%+7.2%+10.0%
Q4 2016+4.6%-6.2%-8.5%
Q3 2016+14.2%+16.5%+51.5%
Q2 2016+8.4%+20.4%+28.1%
Q1 2016+5.9%
Q4 2015-4.4%
Q3 2015-19.4%
Q2 2015+12.6%
Q1 2015-20.1%
Q4 2014+12.4%
Q3 2014-10.3%
Q2 2014+18.3%
Q1 2014+5.6%
Q4 2013+6.2%
Q3 2013-17.0%
Q2 2013+16.5%
Q1 2013-22.6%
Q4 2012+2.6%
Q3 2012+1.6%
Q2 2012+28.2%
Q1 2011-5.6%
Q1 2012+1.8%
Q4 2011-7.7%
Q4 2009-7.7%
Q3 2011-6.4%
Q3 2010-6.4%
Q2 2011-4.3%
Q2 2010-4.3%
Q4 2010-4.3%
Q1 2010-2.4%

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