NYSE$DCO

Ducommun Incorporated · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported solid Q4 2020 results, positioning the company for future growth.

Ducommun Incorporated reported a decrease in revenue for Q4 2020, primarily due to lower commercial aerospace revenue, but saw an increase in military and space revenue. Net income increased due to lower expenses, and gross margin improved. The company is optimistic about future quarters due to a high defense backlog and anticipated stability in the commercial business.

  • Revenue was $157.8 million.
  • GAAP net income was $9.7 million, or $0.80 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted net income was $10.8 million, or $0.89 per diluted share.
  • Military and space revenue rose more than 25%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$158M

Previous: $187M-15.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.89

Previous: $0.80+11.2%
Gross Margin

22.1%

Previous: 21.5%+2.8%
Backlog

$822M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$4.28M

Previous: $3.59M+19.0%
Free Cash Flow

$6.82M

Previous: $27.4M-75.1%
Net Income

$9.65M

Previous: $8.87M+8.8%
Operating Income

$11.6M

Previous: $15.2M-23.6%
Gross Profit

$34.8M

Previous: $40.1M-13.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$56.5M

Previous: $39.6M+42.6%
Total Assets

$837M

Previous: $790M+5.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.69M

Previous: $1.84M+46.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Ducommun · Revenue · Quarterly

$158M

Q4 2020-15.6%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ducommun · $158M total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • Electronic Systems
    $99.1M+2.9%
  • Structural Systems
    $58.7M-35.2%

Forward guidance

Ducommun anticipates higher growth in the second half of 2021, with an even better outlook for 2022, driven by improving fundamentals in aircraft production and pent-up demand for air travel.

Tailwinds

  • Defense backlog at all-time highs.
  • Forecasted stability in commercial business.
  • Improving fundamentals in aircraft production.
  • Pent up demand for air travel post pandemic.
  • Company is in great shape to weather the remaining headwinds.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+1.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

34 / 65 earnings

Positive

+36.6%

Q4 2019

Best reaction

-22.6%

Q1 2013

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.3%+1.8%+17.5%
Q4 2025-3.3%+6.6%-4.7%
Q3 2025-2.5%+6.0%-2.6%
Q1 2025+3.5%+11.4%+25.2%
Q4 2024-6.4%-7.3%-4.7%
Q3 2024+3.7%+3.8%-3.0%
Q2 2024+3.3%+9.9%+2.4%
Q1 2024+3.6%+2.6%+5.1%
Q4 2023-3.2%-3.8%-1.0%
Q3 2023-0.4%+5.1%+9.0%
Q2 2023-8.4%-8.3%-5.8%
Q1 2023-7.3%-6.0%-17.5%
Q4 2022-7.8%-5.7%-13.7%
Q3 2022+7.2%+9.3%+3.2%
Q2 2022-5.9%-2.9%-10.6%
Q1 2022+2.8%-1.5%-9.4%
Q4 2021+4.4%+8.7%+15.2%
Q3 2021+2.4%+7.3%-12.3%
Q2 2021-3.0%-4.8%-9.0%
Q1 2021-3.8%-2.9%-11.6%
Q4 2020-1.6%-0.8%+10.7%
Q3 2020-1.6%+3.0%+47.6%
Q2 2020+4.5%+5.0%+11.4%
Q1 2020-13.5%-16.2%+7.1%
Q4 2019+36.6%+15.1%-54.1%
Q3 2019+17.8%+11.6%+16.1%
Q2 2019+14.0%+8.4%+0.5%
Q1 2019+14.3%+16.7%+11.5%
Q4 2018+10.0%+7.9%+3.5%
Q3 2018+9.0%+8.4%-3.9%
Q2 2018+17.5%+23.4%+28.0%
Q1 2018+4.1%+0.2%+7.4%
Q4 2017+0.4%+4.2%+6.6%
Q3 2017-1.5%-11.0%-16.0%
Q2 2017-2.1%-3.7%-6.7%
Q1 2017+15.3%+7.2%+10.0%
Q4 2016+4.6%-6.2%-8.5%
Q3 2016+14.2%+16.5%+51.5%
Q2 2016+8.4%+20.4%+28.1%
Q1 2016+5.9%
Q4 2015-4.4%
Q3 2015-19.4%
Q2 2015+12.6%
Q1 2015-20.1%
Q4 2014+12.4%
Q3 2014-10.3%
Q2 2014+18.3%
Q1 2014+5.6%
Q4 2013+6.2%
Q3 2013-17.0%
Q2 2013+16.5%
Q1 2013-22.6%
Q4 2012+2.6%
Q3 2012+1.6%
Q2 2012+28.2%
Q1 2011-5.6%
Q1 2012+1.8%
Q4 2011-7.7%
Q4 2009-7.7%
Q3 2011-6.4%
Q3 2010-6.4%
Q2 2011-4.3%
Q2 2010-4.3%
Q4 2010-4.3%
Q1 2010-2.4%

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