NYSE$DBD

Diebold Nixdorf Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported third quarter financial results

Diebold Nixdorf reported a decrease in total net sales by 3.7% year-over-year, primarily due to global supply chain and logistics issues. Despite solid market activity, $90 million of revenue modeled for the third quarter has been deferred to future periods. The company is revising its 2021 outlook, expecting total revenue of $3.90 billion to $3.95 billion.

  • Continued growing demand for products and solutions amid a challenging global supply chain and inflationary environment.
  • Strong Retail segment revenue, up more than 9% on a GAAP basis and up 7% on a constant currency basis, with continued growth in self-checkout (SCO) solutions.
  • Ended the quarter with backlog up 19% over the third quarter last year, pointing to a solid foundation for future periods.
  • Seeing some moderation of supply chain constraints that gives confidence for a strong fourth quarter and continued improvement in 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$958M

Previous: $995M-3.7%
EPS (adj)

-$0.03

Previous: $0.28-110.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$103M

Previous: $113M-9.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$2.1M

Previous: -$101M+97.9%
Net Income

-$2.1M

Previous: -$101M+97.9%
Operating Income

$38.7M

Previous: $23.8M+62.6%
Gross Profit

$260M

Previous: $284M-8.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$216M

Previous: $277M-22.1%
Total Assets

$3.59B

Previous: $3.63B-1.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.7M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Diebold Nixdorf · Revenue · Quarterly

$958M

Q3 2021-3.7%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 7 of 14 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Diebold Nixdorf · $943M total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Banking Services
    $401M+5.7%
  • Banking Products
    $261M
  • Retail Services
    $145M+7.7%
  • Retail Products
    $137M+42.6%

Forward guidance

The company now expects total revenue of $3.90 billion to $3.95 billion, which reflects approximately $120 million in revenue deferral from 2021 to 2022. Non-billable supply chain and sourced product inflation is estimated at approximately $26 million for the fourth quarter and approximately $45 million for all of 2021. Revised outlook for 2021 includes a $75 million unfavorable impact to 2021 gross margin from year-end revenue deferral and full-year inflationary pressures.

Tailwinds

  • Continued to scale debit and credit platforms with Vynamic™ Payments offering at a top-10 global bank across 17,000+ ATMs.
  • Awarded a large Managed Services agreement in North America with a Tier 1 financial institution, including a large order of DN Series ATMs.
  • Expanded a relationship with a large, multi-country retailer in central Europe, which included a competitive takeaway with a rollout of SCO devices across 2,500 stores in 15 countries over the next three years.
  • Secured a significant $16 million contract renewal with a large global petrol convenience retailer's Southeast Asia operations, including point-of-sale, help desk support, software and other solutions.
  • Entered the electric vehicle (EV) charging station services business, a promising and rapidly growing market, with early customer wins.

Headwinds

  • Approximately $120 million in revenue deferral from 2021 to 2022.
  • Non-billable supply chain and sourced product inflation is estimated at approximately $26 million for the fourth quarter and approximately $45 million for all of 2021.
  • Revised outlook for 2021 includes a $75 million unfavorable impact to 2021 gross margin from year-end revenue deferral and full-year inflationary pressures.
  • Total net sales decreased 3.7%, or $37.0 million YoY, due to longer lead times resulting from global supply chain and logistics issues.
  • Experienced $10 million of non-billable logistics inflation during the quarter.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 10 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.3%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

5 / 10 earnings

Positive

+12.4%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-17.7%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-7.4%-6.5%-2.8%
Q4 2025+4.5%+14.1%+0.2%
Q3 2025+12.4%+15.6%+16.2%
Q1 2025-2.8%+6.0%+10.5%
Q4 2024+6.8%+5.9%-3.1%
Q3 2024-17.7%-18.8%-6.0%
Q2 2024-3.0%+5.5%+10.6%
Q1 2024-0.6%-2.9%-8.1%
Q4 2023+2.5%+2.1%+0.7%
Q3 2023+9.1%+19.4%+45.3%
Q2 2023
Q1 2023
Q4 2022
Q3 2022
Q2 2022
Q1 2022
Q4 2021
Q3 2021
Q2 2021
Q1 2021
Q4 2020
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020
Q4 2019
Q3 2019
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Q1 2019
Q4 2018
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017
Q3 2017
Q2 2017
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Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q4 2015
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2010
Q1 2011
Q4 2010
Q4 2008
Q3 2009
Q3 2010
Q4 2009
Q2 2010
Q2 2009

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