NYSE$CTOS

Custom Truck One Source Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Custom Truck's financial performance saw sequential improvement in net income and a slight increase in Adjusted EBITDA.

Custom Truck One Source reported a 3.0% increase in total revenue compared to Q3 2023, driven by higher new truck sales and equipment rentals. The company is optimistic about fiscal 2025, anticipating benefits from secular tailwinds like AI, data center investments, electrification, and utility grid upgrades.

  • Total revenue reached $447.2 million, a 5.7% increase compared to the second quarter of 2024.
  • Net loss decreased to $17.4 million, a 28.9% improvement compared to the second quarter of 2024.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased slightly by 0.2% compared to the second quarter of 2024, reaching $80.2 million.
  • Average OEC on rent increased by $38.0 million, or 3.6%, compared to the second quarter of 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$447M

Previous: $434M+3.0%
EPS

-$0.07

Previous: $0.04-275.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$80.2M

No prior period
Fleet Utilization

73.2%

No prior period
Sales Order Backlog

$396M

No prior period
Average OEC on Rent

$1.08B

No prior period
Ending OEC

$1.49B

No prior period
OEC on Rent Yield

38.4%

No prior period
Adjusted Gross Profit

$138M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$122M

Previous: -$113M-8.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$17.4M

Previous: $9.18M-289.7%
Net Income

-$17.4M

Previous: $9.18M-289.7%
Operating Income

$23M

Previous: $38M-39.4%
Gross Profit

$91.8M

Previous: $107M-14.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$8.44M

Previous: $8.79M-4.0%
Total Assets

$3.58B

Previous: $3.23B+10.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.42M

Previous: $2.84M-14.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Custom Truck · Revenue · Quarterly

$447M

Q3 2024+3%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Custom Truck · $457M total across 3 segments · Q2 2023

  • Truck and Equipment Sales
    $251M
  • Equipment Rental Solutions
    $169M
  • Aftermarket Parts & Services
    $36.9M

Forward guidance

The company is updating its full-year revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2024, expecting continued strength in rental, used and new equipment sales demand across all end markets with a goal to achieve a net leverage ratio below 3.0x in fiscal 2025.

Tailwinds

  • Increase in OEC on rent of over $200 million, or 20%, as of late October.
  • Improvement includes an estimated $40 million to $60 million of OEC on rent resulting from customers’ storm-related work.
  • Supply chain improvements, healthy inventory levels, and more normalized backlog levels continue to improve ability to produce and deliver more units in 2024.
  • Anticipate a return to double-digit Adjusted EBITDA growth in 2025.
  • Expect to generate meaningful positive levered free cash flow and deliver improved leverage.

Headwinds

  • Experiencing some softness in the sale of used equipment expected to continue through the balance of the fiscal year.
  • Reducing the top end of ERS revenue outlook by $15 million.
  • Customers are choosing to delay certain purchase decisions influenced by both their expectation of lower interest rates to come and the uncertainty surrounding the upcoming election.
  • Lowering the top end of the revenue outlook by $75 million, resulting in an estimated TES revenue growth for the year of 6.0% to 12.6%.
  • Lowering the top end of consolidated revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges for this year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-3.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

36%

12 / 33 earnings

Positive

+20.1%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-19.8%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.5%+15.6%+11.9%
Q4 2025-11.2%-8.3%+14.1%
Q3 2025-11.0%-12.6%-4.0%
Q1 2025-3.0%+2.7%+6.7%
Q4 2024+20.1%+18.2%-12.4%
Q3 2024+12.7%+13.2%+64.7%
Q2 2024-18.8%-22.0%-18.2%
Q1 2024-13.8%-16.3%-1.4%
Q4 2023-16.1%-14.1%-4.9%
Q3 2023-17.5%-18.0%-2.0%
Q2 2023+0.0%-1.2%-0.6%
Q1 2023+3.8%+2.2%+13.4%
Q4 2022+10.1%+5.3%+6.1%
Q3 2022-15.1%-10.6%+0.0%
Q2 2022+2.0%+11.8%+2.9%
Q1 2022-7.4%+1.2%-1.5%
Q4 2021+2.1%+4.5%-3.8%
Q3 2021+3.9%+5.5%-22.7%
Q2 2021-10.1%-14.9%+15.2%
Q1 2021-5.9%-8.6%-10.2%
Q4 2020+2.8%+9.0%+19.2%
Q3 2020+9.0%+13.3%+57.6%
Q2 2020-0.3%+7.1%+18.8%
Q1 2020-15.4%-17.1%-32.3%
Q4 2019-12.3%+11.8%-3.0%
Q3 2019-19.8%-31.5%-21.8%
Q2 2019+1.0%-4.5%-27.5%
Q1 2019+0.0%+0.1%-0.6%
Q4 2018+0.7%+0.7%+0.4%
Q3 2018+0.0%+0.0%+0.0%
Q2 2018+0.0%+0.0%+0.1%
Q1 2018+0.0%+0.0%-0.4%
Q3 2017-0.3%-0.3%-0.6%
Q2 2017

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