NYSE$CPRI

Capri Holdings Ltd · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Revenue and adjusted earnings per share exceeded expectations.

Capri Holdings Limited reported a 9.2% increase in third quarter revenue, driven by the addition of Versace and growth from Jimmy Choo, with Michael Kors revenue performing better than anticipated. Adjusted earnings per share were $1.66, surpassing expectations.

  • Third quarter revenue growth of 9.2%.
  • Third quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.66.
  • Repaid approximately $300 million of debt in the third quarter, and approximately $500 million year-to-date.
  • The company anticipates annual revenue of approximately $5.65 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $4.45 to $4.50.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.57B

Previous: $1.44B+9.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.66

Previous: $1.76-5.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$164M

Previous: -$135M-21.8%
Free Cash Flow

$588M

Previous: $641M-8.3%
Net Income

$210M

Previous: $200M+5.2%
Operating Income

$205M

Previous: $290M-29.3%
Gross Profit

$932M

Previous: $873M+6.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$237M

Previous: $265M-10.4%
Total Assets

$8.33B

Previous: $6.03B+38.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$16M

Previous: $11.9M+34.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Capri · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.57B

Q3 2020+9.2%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Capri · $1.38B total across 2 segments · Q3 2020

  • Michael Kors
    $1.21B-5.1%
  • Jimmy Choo
    $165M+1.9%

Forward guidance

The company expects the situation in China to reduce revenue by approximately $100 million and earnings per share by $0.40 to $0.45 for the fourth quarter and full year. For the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2020, total revenue is expected to be approximately $1.3 billion and diluted earnings per share of $0.68 to $0.73.

Tailwinds

  • Versace revenue of approximately $210 million with a positive operating margin.
  • Jimmy Choo revenue of approximately $130 million.
  • Jimmy Choo operating margin improvement reflecting expense leverage and the normalization of strategic investments.
  • Net interest expense of approximately $0 million.
  • Effective tax rate of approximately 7%.

Headwinds

  • Outbreak of coronavirus in China which the Company expects will materially impact its financial results.
  • Situation in China is expected to reduce revenue by approximately $100 million and earnings per share by $0.40 to $0.45 for the fourth quarter and full year.
  • Michael Kors revenue of approximately $950 million.
  • Michael Kors operating margin to be below prior year due to the impact of the situation in China, partially offset by cost reductions associated with the fleet optimization program.
  • Operating margin of approximately 9.0%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+2.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

34 / 58 earnings

Positive

+53.5%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-25.5%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026
Q3 2026-13.4%-12.8%-19.2%
Q2 2026-0.0%+6.7%+33.5%
Q1 2026+14.3%+6.7%+16.9%
Q4 2025+3.1%-0.9%+0.2%
Q3 2025-10.1%-8.5%-13.1%
Q2 2025-6.7%-11.9%+1.3%
Q1 2025-4.2%-6.2%+9.1%
Q4 2024-1.2%+0.5%-3.4%
Q3 2024+1.3%+1.8%+1.2%
Q2 2024-2.3%-1.5%+0.5%
Q1 2024+53.5%+50.0%+52.5%
Q4 2023-13.0%-9.8%-9.3%
Q3 2023-25.5%-22.8%-35.4%
Q2 2023+4.5%+10.9%+21.5%
Q1 2023-1.8%+1.2%-5.3%
Q4 2022+0.6%+4.8%-15.4%
Q3 2022+4.9%+5.4%-11.3%
Q2 2022+19.9%+16.6%+10.8%
Q1 2022+14.2%+16.6%+16.7%
Q4 2021+6.6%+7.1%+6.3%
Q3 2021+6.6%+9.0%+11.6%
Q2 2021+7.2%+20.8%+68.1%
Q1 2021+7.2%+20.1%+22.2%
Q4 2020-2.6%+0.5%-4.2%
Q3 2020+1.9%-2.2%-25.5%
Q2 2020+4.5%+6.7%+11.9%
Q1 2020+3.5%-5.5%-11.1%
Q4 2019-13.1%-12.5%-10.8%
Q3 2019+8.2%+4.5%+0.1%
Q2 2019-12.8%-16.9%-29.5%
Q1 2019+10.3%+8.9%+10.3%
Q4 2018-15.9%-11.2%-2.4%
Q3 2018-8.3%-7.0%-6.2%
Q2 2018+14.7%+14.9%+25.7%
Q1 2018+23.0%+20.0%+13.8%
Q4 2017-8.8%-4.9%-0.1%
Q3 2017-8.3%-7.0%-11.7%
Q2 2017-1.0%-6.5%-1.6%
Q1 2017-2.0%-0.3%-4.7%
Q4 2016+11.2%+16.1%+17.2%
Q3 2016+27.9%
Q2 2016+10.6%
Q1 2016+11.0%
Q4 2015-24.4%
Q3 2015+0.9%
Q2 2015-7.2%
Q1 2015-3.3%
Q4 2014-3.6%
Q3 2014+19.1%
Q2 2014+6.3%
Q1 2014+2.4%
Q4 2013+6.0%
Q3 2013+7.6%
Q2 2013-4.9%
Q1 2013+16.6%
Q4 2012+1.7%
Q4 2011+1.7%
Q4 2010+1.7%
Q1 2012

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