NYSE$CNR

Core Natural Resources Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial and operating results for Q4 2024 and adopted a new capital return framework.

Core Natural Resources reported Q4 2024 results, highlighting a new capital return framework focused on share repurchases and progress in integrating operations following the merger with Arch Resources. The company is on track to resume longwall production at Leer South mine mid-year and has identified strategies to capture a significant portion of merger synergies.

  • Adopted a capital return framework heavily weighted toward share repurchases, authorizing $1 billion for this purpose.
  • Made progress capturing one-third of projected synergies in the first five weeks post-merger.
  • Resumed development work with continuous miner units at the Leer South mine.
  • Reported GAAP net income of $30.8 million and adjusted EBITDA of $170.0 million for legacy CONSOL Energy during the fourth quarter of 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$590M

Previous: $649M-9.1%
EPS (adj)

$1.01

Previous: $5.05-80.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$40.8M

Previous: -$50M+18.4%
Net Income

$30.8M

Previous: $157M-80.4%
Operating Income

$31.7M

Previous: $179M-82.3%
Gross Profit

$71.1M

Previous: $499M-85.8%

Revenue & EPS history

CONSOL Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$590M

Q4 2024-9.1%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Core Natural Resources anticipates a strong position in both metallurgical and high calorific value thermal coal markets, supported by committed sales volumes and prices. The company is focused on capturing merger synergies and maintaining a robust capital structure.

Tailwinds

  • Swiftly moved ahead with integration efforts
  • Adopted a capital return framework supported by a $1 billion share repurchase authorization
  • Executed on strategies to capture one-third of the projected synergies
  • Aggregated a significant cash balance in support of its liquidity target, operating needs, and capital return framework
  • Built the foundation for a strong, long-term capital structure via the extension and upsizing of its legacy revolving credit facility, at advantageous rates.

Headwinds

  • Market conditions are soft for metallurgical coal and high calorific value thermal coal.
  • Company projects merger-related cash expenditures of around $100 million during 2025.
  • Expenditure of around $30 million related to the combustion-related event at Leer South.
  • Capital expenditures will total between $300 million and $330 million during 2025.
  • Metallurgical cash costs in the year's second half — after the projected restart of the Leer South longwall — are projected to be in the low $90s/ton.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.9%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

15 / 33 earnings

Positive

+24.7%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-27.1%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.4%-2.2%+6.2%
Q4 2025-2.8%-6.5%+6.7%
Q3 2025-3.5%-7.1%+3.2%
Q1 2025-10.1%-0.6%-10.9%
Q4 2024+5.4%-4.3%-5.6%
Q3 2024+17.6%+18.5%+15.4%
Q2 2024+8.6%+8.1%+3.3%
Q1 2024+2.7%+3.6%+19.6%
Q4 2023-8.7%-9.1%+3.3%
Q3 2023-5.6%-4.3%+4.4%
Q2 2023+14.6%+9.6%+25.0%
Q1 2023+1.1%+4.0%-8.0%
Q4 2022-5.0%-2.7%-0.7%
Q3 2022-0.3%+5.9%+15.7%
Q2 2022+7.5%+11.4%+26.2%
Q1 2022+8.8%+16.3%+22.1%
Q4 2021+20.6%+30.4%+49.6%
Q3 2021-15.5%-15.7%-23.1%
Q2 2021-1.8%+7.7%+17.9%
Q1 2021+21.1%+35.2%+70.3%
Q4 2020-3.5%+4.9%+13.4%
Q3 2020+7.4%+18.1%+52.4%
Q2 2020+8.3%+7.1%-13.1%
Q1 2020-1.8%-16.9%+23.7%
Q4 2019-27.1%-26.5%-53.2%
Q3 2019-6.7%-4.9%-8.2%
Q2 2019-5.0%-7.1%-13.2%
Q1 2019-3.9%-6.9%-16.6%
Q4 2018-4.3%-1.4%-3.0%
Q3 2018-4.1%+2.7%-13.8%
Q2 2018+7.6%+8.2%+3.2%
Q1 2018+24.7%+34.1%+45.8%
Q4 2017-4.0%-5.3%+1.4%
Q3 2017
Q2 2017
Q1 2017
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015

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