NYSE$CNC

Centene Corp · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Centene reported mixed results with revenue increase offset by a net loss, driven by divestiture-related charges and impairments. The company focused on portfolio optimization and capital deployment through share repurchases.

Centene Corporation reported a 9% increase in total revenues for Q4 2022, reaching $35.6 billion, driven by Medicaid and Medicare growth, and the acquisition of Magellan. However, the company experienced a GAAP diluted loss per share of $(0.38), while adjusted diluted EPS was $0.86. The company executed $1.4 billion in share repurchases during the quarter and increased its 2023 premium and service revenues guidance by $2.0 billion.

  • Total revenues increased by 9% to $35.6 billion, driven by Medicaid and Medicare growth and the Magellan acquisition.
  • GAAP diluted loss per share was $(0.38), while adjusted diluted EPS was $0.86.
  • The company completed five divestitures in the past three months: Magellan Rx, Magellan Specialty Health, Ribera Salud, Centurion, and HealthSmart.
  • Centene executed $1.4 billion of share repurchases in Q4 and increased its 2023 premium and service revenues guidance by $2.0 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$35.6B

Previous: $32.6B+9.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.86

Previous: $1.01-14.9%
SG&A expense ratio

9.5%

Previous: 9.3%+2.2%
Adjusted SG&A ratio

9.3%

Previous: 9.2%+1.1%
Days in claims payable

54

Previous: 52+3.8%
Capital Expenditures

$233M

Previous: $248M-6.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.81B

Previous: $427M-523.7%
Net Income

-$219M

Previous: $593M-136.9%
Operating Income

-$282M

Previous: $603M-146.8%
Gross Profit

$3.85B

Previous: $3.63B+5.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$12.1B

Previous: $13.1B-8.0%
Total Assets

$76.9B

Previous: $78.4B-1.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$54M

Previous: $76M-28.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Centene · Revenue · Quarterly

$35.6B

Q4 2022+9.2%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Centene · $35.6B total across 4 segments · Q4 2022

  • Medicaid
    $23.3B+8.4%
  • Medicare
    $5.45B+24.2%
  • Commercial
    $4.4B-3.6%
  • Other
    $2.38B+14.0%

Forward guidance

Centene is increasing its 2023 premium and service revenues guidance range by $2.0 billion and reiterates its 2023 adjusted diluted EPS guidance of $6.25 to $6.40.

Tailwinds

  • An additional $1.5 billion of Medicaid premium revenue reflecting a higher starting point in 2023 and an additional two months until redeterminations recommence on April 1, 2023.
  • An additional $3.0 billion of Commercial premium revenue from a stronger than expected Marketplace open enrollment.
  • The company reiterates its 2023 adjusted diluted EPS guidance of $6.25 to $6.40.

Headwinds

  • Lower Medicare revenue of $500 million reflecting softer than expected 2023 annual enrollment.
  • Decreased revenues of $2.0 billion reflecting the divestitures of Magellan Specialty Health, Centurion, and HealthSmart, which were completed in January 2023 and were previously included in our 2023 guidance.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+13.8%

Q1 2014

Best reaction

-10.4%

Q2 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.5%+22.6%+33.9%
Q4 2025-3.7%+1.3%+9.3%
Q3 2025+12.5%+3.9%+18.5%
Q1 2025-6.3%-2.8%-8.4%
Q4 2024-5.4%-9.1%-8.3%
Q3 2024+0.0%+0.3%-2.0%
Q2 2024+9.0%+14.1%+16.5%
Q1 2024-2.4%-4.5%-1.4%
Q4 2023+1.1%+4.4%+7.5%
Q3 2023-3.0%-4.8%+4.7%
Q2 2023-2.7%-3.7%-9.2%
Q1 2023-1.5%+1.9%-6.3%
Q4 2022+2.7%+2.4%-7.7%
Q3 2022+11.9%+13.2%+10.3%
Q2 2022+0.6%+1.1%+4.1%
Q1 2022-4.9%-5.1%-3.5%
Q4 2021+6.4%+3.1%+4.5%
Q3 2021+3.8%+4.8%+11.2%
Q2 2021-4.0%-5.6%-12.5%
Q1 2021-9.9%-6.5%+11.7%
Q4 2020+4.8%+1.6%+6.3%
Q3 2020-7.9%-11.0%-6.3%
Q2 2020-1.4%-3.0%-10.1%
Q1 2020-6.6%-8.3%-5.5%
Q4 2019+5.1%+0.4%-5.0%
Q3 2019+5.7%+5.4%+30.4%
Q2 2019+3.0%+2.4%-12.7%
Q1 2019+4.4%+9.5%+15.3%
Q4 2018-2.9%-3.2%-13.2%
Q3 2018-8.3%-9.9%-5.5%
Q2 2018-3.1%-3.0%+6.0%
Q1 2018-1.2%-0.4%+5.5%
Q4 2017+5.0%+2.3%+0.9%
Q3 2017-7.4%-3.7%-1.1%
Q2 2017-1.0%-1.8%+2.1%
Q1 2017+1.1%+3.3%+4.5%
Q4 2016+7.9%+9.1%+9.3%
Q3 2016+1.4%+0.1%-10.5%
Q2 2016-10.4%-6.3%-10.0%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015+2.2%
Q3 2015+5.3%
Q2 2015+0.2%
Q1 2015-9.7%
Q4 2014+5.6%
Q3 2014+9.3%
Q2 2014+5.8%
Q1 2014+13.8%
Q4 2013+4.5%
Q3 2013-4.1%
Q2 2013+5.1%
Q1 2013+4.4%
Q4 2012+6.1%
Q3 2012+0.3%
Q2 2012+6.9%
Q1 2012-6.0%
Q4 2011-2.5%
Q3 2011+12.6%
Q2 2011+3.3%
Q1 2010+10.9%
Q1 2011+2.4%
Q4 2008-6.5%
Q4 2010-6.5%
Q3 2009-6.6%
Q2 2009-6.6%
Q3 2010-6.6%
Q4 2009-5.3%
Q2 2010-5.3%

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