NYSE$CNC

Centene Corp · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Centene's Q4 2019 financial results were announced, featuring revenue growth and strategic acquisitions.

Centene Corporation reported a 14% increase in total revenues for Q4 2019, reaching $18.9 billion. Diluted EPS was $0.49, and adjusted diluted EPS was $0.73. The company's performance was driven by growth in the Health Insurance Marketplace and expansions in several states. Centene also completed its acquisition of WellCare in January 2020, expanding its government-sponsored healthcare programs.

  • Total revenues for Q4 2019 increased by 14% to $18.9 billion.
  • Diluted EPS for Q4 2019 was $0.49, while adjusted diluted EPS was $0.73.
  • The health benefits ratio (HBR) for Q4 2019 was 88.4%, up from 86.8% in Q4 2018.
  • Centene completed the acquisition of WellCare in January 2020, creating a premier healthcare enterprise focused on government-sponsored healthcare programs.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$18.9B

Previous: $16.6B+13.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.73

Previous: $0.69+5.8%
Health benefits ratio

88.4%

Previous: 86.8%+1.8%
SG&A expense ratio

9.6%

Previous: 9.9%-3.0%
Adjusted SG&A ratio

9.5%

Previous: 9.9%-4.0%
Days in claims payable

45

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$200M

Previous: $186M+7.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$851M

Previous: -$820M-3.8%
Net Income

$202M

Previous: $241M-16.2%
Operating Income

$277M

Previous: $388M-28.6%
Gross Profit

$2.07B

Previous: $2.18B-5.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$12.1B

Previous: $5.34B+126.9%
Total Assets

$41B

Previous: $30.9B+32.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$71M

Previous: $40M+77.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Centene · Revenue · Quarterly

$18.9B

Q4 2019+13.9%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Centene · $18.9B total across 4 segments · Q4 2019

  • Medicaid
    $12.8B
  • Commercial
    $3.56B
  • Medicare
    $1.4B
  • Other
    $1.09B

Forward guidance

Centene expects to provide consolidated 2020 annual guidance, including WellCare, on March 3, 2020, with a conference call on March 4, 2020. The company anticipates the WellCare acquisition to be no less than break-even accretion in the first full year and mid-to-upper single-digit accretion in the second full year. Excluding WellCare, the company's stand-alone 2020 guidance is unchanged.

Tailwinds

  • WellCare acquisition expected to be no less than break-even accretion in the first full year.
  • Mid-to-upper single-digit accretion expected in the second full year post-WellCare acquisition.
  • Stand-alone 2020 guidance unchanged from December investor day (excluding WellCare).
  • Acquisition of WellCare brings a high-quality Medicare platform.
  • The WellCare acquisition further extends Centene's robust Medicaid offerings.

Headwinds

  • Uncertainty as to expected financial performance post-WellCare acquisition.
  • Risk of unexpected costs during WellCare integration.
  • Potential disruption from the WellCare acquisition.
  • Risk of not effectively managing expanded operations post-acquisition.
  • Possibility that expected synergies from WellCare will not be realized.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+13.8%

Q1 2014

Best reaction

-10.4%

Q2 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.5%+22.6%+33.9%
Q4 2025-3.7%+1.3%+9.3%
Q3 2025+12.5%+3.9%+18.5%
Q1 2025-6.3%-2.8%-8.4%
Q4 2024-5.4%-9.1%-8.3%
Q3 2024+0.0%+0.3%-2.0%
Q2 2024+9.0%+14.1%+16.5%
Q1 2024-2.4%-4.5%-1.4%
Q4 2023+1.1%+4.4%+7.5%
Q3 2023-3.0%-4.8%+4.7%
Q2 2023-2.7%-3.7%-9.2%
Q1 2023-1.5%+1.9%-6.3%
Q4 2022+2.7%+2.4%-7.7%
Q3 2022+11.9%+13.2%+10.3%
Q2 2022+0.6%+1.1%+4.1%
Q1 2022-4.9%-5.1%-3.5%
Q4 2021+6.4%+3.1%+4.5%
Q3 2021+3.8%+4.8%+11.2%
Q2 2021-4.0%-5.6%-12.5%
Q1 2021-9.9%-6.5%+11.7%
Q4 2020+4.8%+1.6%+6.3%
Q3 2020-7.9%-11.0%-6.3%
Q2 2020-1.4%-3.0%-10.1%
Q1 2020-6.6%-8.3%-5.5%
Q4 2019+5.1%+0.4%-5.0%
Q3 2019+5.7%+5.4%+30.4%
Q2 2019+3.0%+2.4%-12.7%
Q1 2019+4.4%+9.5%+15.3%
Q4 2018-2.9%-3.2%-13.2%
Q3 2018-8.3%-9.9%-5.5%
Q2 2018-3.1%-3.0%+6.0%
Q1 2018-1.2%-0.4%+5.5%
Q4 2017+5.0%+2.3%+0.9%
Q3 2017-7.4%-3.7%-1.1%
Q2 2017-1.0%-1.8%+2.1%
Q1 2017+1.1%+3.3%+4.5%
Q4 2016+7.9%+9.1%+9.3%
Q3 2016+1.4%+0.1%-10.5%
Q2 2016-10.4%-6.3%-10.0%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015+2.2%
Q3 2015+5.3%
Q2 2015+0.2%
Q1 2015-9.7%
Q4 2014+5.6%
Q3 2014+9.3%
Q2 2014+5.8%
Q1 2014+13.8%
Q4 2013+4.5%
Q3 2013-4.1%
Q2 2013+5.1%
Q1 2013+4.4%
Q4 2012+6.1%
Q3 2012+0.3%
Q2 2012+6.9%
Q1 2012-6.0%
Q4 2011-2.5%
Q3 2011+12.6%
Q2 2011+3.3%
Q1 2010+10.9%
Q1 2011+2.4%
Q4 2008-6.5%
Q4 2010-6.5%
Q3 2009-6.6%
Q2 2009-6.6%
Q3 2010-6.6%
Q4 2009-5.3%
Q2 2010-5.3%

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