NYSE$CMCL

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc reported a significant financial turnaround in 2024, achieving record gross profit and strong operating cash flow, driven by higher gold prices and lower production costs at Bilboes oxide mine.

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc announced its operating and financial results for the year ended December 31, 2024, reporting a record gross profit of $77.0 million and a net attributable profit of $17.9 million, a substantial improvement from the previous year's net loss. This turnaround was primarily due to higher gold prices and reduced production costs. The company also announced a restatement of previous financial statements due to an accounting error related to deferred tax liabilities, which had no effect on historic cash or cashflow statements.

  • Record gross profit of $77.0 million, an 86% increase from 2023, driven by higher gold prices and lower production costs at Bilboes oxide mine.
  • Net attributable profit of $17.9 million, a significant improvement from a net loss of $7.9 million in 2023.
  • Substantially stronger operating cash flow of $42.0 million, up from $14.8 million in 2023.
  • Blanket gold production of 76,656 ounces, within guidance, with consolidated average realised gold price per ounce of $2,347.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$47.5M

Previous: $36.7M+29.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.44

Previous: $0.02+2115.0%
Gold production (oz)

76.7K

No prior period
On-mine cost per oz

$1.07K

No prior period
AISC per oz

$1.51K

No prior period
Avg realised gold price

$2.35K

No prior period
Net cash from operations

$42M

No prior period
Net cash & liquid assets

-$8.67M

No prior period
Net Income

$7.52M

Previous: -$3.16M+337.7%
Operating Income

$13.5M

Previous: $4.78M+182.9%
Gross Profit

$20.9M

Previous: $10.6M+98.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Caledonia Mining · Revenue · Quarterly

$47.5M

Q4 2024+29.6%vs Q4 2023

Revenue by segment

Caledonia Mining · $65.3M total across 1 segment · Q1 2025

  • Blanket Mine (Zimbabwe)
    $65.3M

Forward guidance

Caledonia's strategic focus for 2025 remains on maintaining stable production at Blanket, optimizing Bilboes for maximum net present value, and continuing exploration activities at Blanket and Motapa, with the goal of becoming a multi-asset, Zimbabwe-focused gold producer. The company is extending the timeline for the Bilboes Feasibility Study to explore optimization opportunities that could enhance project economics and reduce upfront capital requirements.

Tailwinds

  • Blanket's production guidance for 2025 is between 73,500 and 77,500 ounces of gold.
  • Capital investment for 2025 budgeted at $41.0 million, with $34.1 million for Blanket and $6.3 million for Bilboes and Motapa projects, aiming to enhance operational efficiency and support growth.
  • Ongoing optimization of Bilboes project to maximize net present value per share.
  • Continued exploration activities at Blanket and Motapa, with encouraging results from initial exploration at Motapa.
  • Potential for the sale of concentrate to significantly reduce upfront capital expenditures for the BIOX processing circuit in the initial years of production.

Headwinds

  • On-mine cost per ounce expected to be between $1,050 and $1,150, reflecting anticipated increases in labour and operating expenses.
  • All-in sustaining cost per ounce expected to be between $1,690 to $1,790 due to a high level of sustaining capital expenditure.
  • Extension of the Bilboes Feasibility Study timeline, initially targeted for Q1 2025, to fully explore optimization opportunities.
  • Risks associated with the potential inability to remedy the deficiency in control over accounting for deferred tax liabilities.
  • Potential for material misstatements in future interim or annual financial statements if remedial measures are insufficient.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

15 / 26 earnings

Positive

+8.1%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-12.4%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2027-6.1%-7.0%-2.7%
Q3 2026+4.6%+3.1%-10.5%
Q1 2025+3.1%+9.2%+34.3%
Q4 2024+4.4%+13.1%+13.6%
Q2 2024+8.1%+9.7%+26.0%
Q1 2024+2.4%+6.8%+2.0%
Q4 2023+0.4%-0.6%-7.7%
Q3 2023+3.0%+1.8%+10.3%
Q2 2023-1.5%-8.5%-9.8%
Q1 2023-3.8%-6.7%-6.8%
Q4 2022-7.7%-3.9%-2.4%
Q3 2022+4.9%+4.0%+1.4%
Q2 2022+0.8%-1.2%-10.2%
Q1 2022+5.3%+3.0%+9.8%
Q4 2021+5.5%+6.7%+29.9%
Q3 2021+4.7%+0.4%-13.8%
Q2 2021+5.4%+6.3%+3.3%
Q1 2021+3.4%+10.1%-0.1%
Q4 2020-8.6%-1.7%+4.2%
Q3 2020-6.5%-7.5%-9.8%
Q2 2020-12.4%-6.0%-14.8%
Q2 2013+2.6%
Q4 2011-6.1%
Q3 2010+0.0%
Q2 2009-6.9%
Q1 2010-4.5%

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