NYSE$CMC

Commercial Metals Co · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Commercial Metals Company reported an increase in fourth-quarter earnings, driven by strong market conditions in North America and solid execution.

Commercial Metals Company reported a strong fourth quarter with net earnings of $288.6 million, or $2.40 per diluted share, an 89% increase compared to the prior year period. The company generated record annual core EBITDA of $1.6 billion, with the fourth quarter core EBITDA of $419.0 million representing the second-highest in company history. Strong market conditions and operational execution offset inflationary pressures, contributing to the positive results.

  • Net earnings for the fourth quarter increased by 89% year-over-year, reaching $288.6 million, or $2.40 per diluted share.
  • Record annual core EBITDA was $1.6 billion, with the fourth quarter contributing $419.0 million, a 64% increase year-over-year.
  • Core EBITDA per ton of finished steel shipped increased by $113 from the prior year quarter, driven by favorable market conditions and operational execution.
  • The company repurchased $106.3 million of common stock during the quarter and announced a 14% increase to the quarterly dividend.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.41B

Previous: $2.03B+18.5%
EPS (adj)

$2.45

Previous: $1.26+94.4%
Capital Expenditures

$156M

Previous: $56.8M+174.2%
Free Cash Flow

$303M

Previous: $77.5M+291.0%
Net Income

$289M

Previous: $152M+89.5%
Operating Income

$339M

Previous: $193M+75.7%
Gross Profit

$508M

Previous: $344M+47.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$673M

Previous: $498M+35.1%
Total Assets

$6.24B

Previous: $4.64B+34.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$9.12M

Previous: $8.12M+12.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Commercial Metals · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.41B

Q4 2022+18.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Commercial Metals · $2.41B total across 3 segments · Q4 2022

  • North America Steel Group
    $2B+20.3%
  • Europe Steel Group
    $412M+11.9%
  • Corporate and Other
    -$2.84M-245.6%

Forward guidance

Commercial Metals Company anticipates strong financial performance in the first fiscal quarter of 2023, driven by robust demand in North America. Market conditions in Europe are more uncertain due to the ongoing energy crisis and slowing industrial activity. Margins over scrap in both North America and Europe are likely to compress.

Tailwinds

  • North America contract backlog volumes and average pricing are at historically high levels.
  • Downstream bidding activity remains good, indicating a strong pipeline of projects entering the market.
  • The expected commissioning of CMC’s Arizona 2 micro mill next spring will provide greater flexibility to capitalize on favorable demand conditions.
  • The addition of Tensar’s engineered solutions capabilities will provide greater flexibility to capitalize on favorable demand conditions.
  • Robust demand in North America for each of CMC’s major product lines is expected to persist.

Headwinds

  • Market conditions in Europe are more uncertain, given the ongoing energy crisis and slowing industrial activity.
  • Finished steel volumes are expected to follow typical seasonal patterns, which have historically declined modestly from fourth quarter levels.
  • Margins over scrap in both North America and Europe are likely to compress from fourth quarter levels.
  • Increased long steel supply from imports may impact margins.
  • Volatile conditions in Europe could present challenges.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.6%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

31 / 70 earnings

Positive

+14.1%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-14.4%

Q2 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026
Q2 2026-0.6%-0.3%
Q1 2026-3.7%+1.4%+13.3%
Q4 2025-7.3%+4.0%-1.2%
Q3 2025-1.8%+1.6%+10.2%
Q2 2025+1.1%+3.6%-9.7%
Q1 2025+0.0%-4.1%-0.4%
Q4 2024+4.5%-0.4%+10.6%
Q3 2024+7.3%+5.8%+13.5%
Q2 2024+3.3%+2.3%-1.4%
Q1 2024+2.3%+3.9%+10.1%
Q4 2023-10.7%-11.7%-6.5%
Q3 2023+8.1%+7.3%+15.4%
Q2 2023+4.5%+4.5%+6.6%
Q1 2023+5.3%+10.8%+11.1%
Q4 2022+4.0%+9.0%+16.3%
Q3 2022-2.2%-1.9%-7.7%
Q2 2022-1.4%-0.3%+8.1%
Q1 2022+1.0%+6.5%+1.2%
Q4 2021-2.4%-2.6%+5.4%
Q3 2021-4.7%-2.4%-4.0%
Q2 2021+1.5%-4.2%+3.5%
Q1 2021+0.6%-5.6%-2.3%
Q4 2020-5.7%-9.1%-9.0%
Q3 2020+4.5%+5.8%+4.8%
Q2 2020+14.1%+23.8%+39.5%
Q1 2020+2.1%+1.9%-2.3%
Q4 2019+0.5%+2.2%+8.7%
Q3 2019+7.6%+5.5%+14.9%
Q2 2019+3.7%+4.3%+9.5%
Q1 2019-6.9%-7.2%+1.7%
Q4 2018+2.7%+4.8%+10.4%
Q3 2018-1.3%-6.6%-7.9%
Q2 2018-14.4%-15.9%-9.4%
Q1 2018+7.5%+11.0%+2.9%
Q4 2017-9.1%-10.0%-12.8%
Q3 2017+4.0%+0.0%+8.9%
Q2 2017-1.1%+3.5%+0.9%
Q1 2017-5.8%-9.8%-7.1%
Q4 2016-5.9%-5.2%+35.4%
Q3 2016-5.1%-3.9%-2.0%
Q2 2016+3.2%
Q1 2016+4.7%
Q4 2015-10.1%
Q3 2015+4.0%
Q2 2015+2.6%
Q1 2015-7.8%
Q4 2014-2.2%
Q3 2014-4.3%
Q2 2014-2.2%
Q1 2014+2.6%
Q4 2013+4.7%
Q3 2013+6.3%
Q2 2013-5.8%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012-2.3%
Q3 2012+3.3%
Q2 2012+1.2%
Q1 2012+1.5%
Q4 2011-8.8%
Q4 2009-8.8%
Q2 2009-8.8%
Q3 2009-8.8%
Q1 2009-8.8%
Q3 2010-3.6%
Q3 2011-3.6%
Q2 2011-5.0%
Q1 2011-0.6%
Q1 2010-0.6%
Q2 2010-0.6%
Q4 2010-0.6%

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