NYSE$CMC

Commercial Metals Co · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Commercial Metals reported strong Q4 results driven by enhanced earnings, increased cash flow, additional operational flexibility, and a robust balance sheet.

Commercial Metals Company reported a 5.6% sequential increase in fourth-quarter GAAP Earnings from Continuing Operations and a 35% increase in Adjusted Earnings from Continuing Operations. The company's fourth-quarter Core EBITDA rose 14% sequentially, with the full year 2020 Core EBITDA increasing 30% year-over-year. The North America segment Adjusted EBITDA increased 9% sequentially due to higher shipments and strong cost management.

  • Fourth quarter GAAP Earnings from Continuing Operations increased 5.6% sequentially, Adjusted Earnings from Continuing Operations increased 35%.
  • Fourth quarter Core EBITDA rose 14% sequentially. Fiscal year 2020 Core EBITDA increased 30% year-over-year.
  • Fourth quarter North America segment Adjusted EBITDA increased 9% sequentially, driven by higher shipments of finished product and strong cost management throughout the vertically integrated value chain.
  • Generated full year Cash from Operations of $791.2 million

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.41B

Previous: $1.54B-8.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.79

Previous: $0.76+3.9%
Capital Expenditures

$53.5M

Previous: $47.1M+13.7%
Free Cash Flow

$791M

Previous: $208M+279.6%
Net Income

$67.6M

Previous: $86.1M-21.5%
Operating Income

$86.3M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$263M

Previous: $253M+4.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$542M

Previous: $194M+179.8%
Total Assets

$4.08B

Previous: $3.76B+8.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$9.88M

Previous: $25.1M-60.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Commercial Metals · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.41B

Q4 2020-8.7%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Commercial Metals · $1.41B total across 3 segments · Q4 2020

  • North America Steel Group
    $1.22B
  • Europe Steel Group
    $180M
  • Corporate and Other
    $4.43M

Forward guidance

The company anticipates finished steel volumes to follow typical seasonal trends in the first fiscal quarter, with some negative impact in North America due to storms. Near-term shipments should be supported by a solid construction backlog. Margin headwinds are expected in North America due to rising scrap costs, partially mitigated by steel price increases. The European market is expected to remain challenged by elevated import levels, but demand appears solid.

Tailwinds

  • Shipments of steel and downstream products in the near-term should be supported by our solid construction backlog.
  • Steel price increases that became effective during the quarter

Headwinds

  • Finished steel volumes for our North America and Europe operations to follow typical seasonal trends in the first fiscal quarter
  • Some negative impact in North America due to storms in the Texas and Gulf Coast markets
  • We anticipate margin headwinds in the first quarter within North America due to the recent rise in scrap costs
  • The market for long products in Europe is expected to remain challenged due to elevated import levels.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.6%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

31 / 70 earnings

Positive

+14.1%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-14.4%

Q2 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026
Q2 2026-0.6%-0.3%
Q1 2026-3.7%+1.4%+13.3%
Q4 2025-7.3%+4.0%-1.2%
Q3 2025-1.8%+1.6%+10.2%
Q2 2025+1.1%+3.6%-9.7%
Q1 2025+0.0%-4.1%-0.4%
Q4 2024+4.5%-0.4%+10.6%
Q3 2024+7.3%+5.8%+13.5%
Q2 2024+3.3%+2.3%-1.4%
Q1 2024+2.3%+3.9%+10.1%
Q4 2023-10.7%-11.7%-6.5%
Q3 2023+8.1%+7.3%+15.4%
Q2 2023+4.5%+4.5%+6.6%
Q1 2023+5.3%+10.8%+11.1%
Q4 2022+4.0%+9.0%+16.3%
Q3 2022-2.2%-1.9%-7.7%
Q2 2022-1.4%-0.3%+8.1%
Q1 2022+1.0%+6.5%+1.2%
Q4 2021-2.4%-2.6%+5.4%
Q3 2021-4.7%-2.4%-4.0%
Q2 2021+1.5%-4.2%+3.5%
Q1 2021+0.6%-5.6%-2.3%
Q4 2020-5.7%-9.1%-9.0%
Q3 2020+4.5%+5.8%+4.8%
Q2 2020+14.1%+23.8%+39.5%
Q1 2020+2.1%+1.9%-2.3%
Q4 2019+0.5%+2.2%+8.7%
Q3 2019+7.6%+5.5%+14.9%
Q2 2019+3.7%+4.3%+9.5%
Q1 2019-6.9%-7.2%+1.7%
Q4 2018+2.7%+4.8%+10.4%
Q3 2018-1.3%-6.6%-7.9%
Q2 2018-14.4%-15.9%-9.4%
Q1 2018+7.5%+11.0%+2.9%
Q4 2017-9.1%-10.0%-12.8%
Q3 2017+4.0%+0.0%+8.9%
Q2 2017-1.1%+3.5%+0.9%
Q1 2017-5.8%-9.8%-7.1%
Q4 2016-5.9%-5.2%+35.4%
Q3 2016-5.1%-3.9%-2.0%
Q2 2016+3.2%
Q1 2016+4.7%
Q4 2015-10.1%
Q3 2015+4.0%
Q2 2015+2.6%
Q1 2015-7.8%
Q4 2014-2.2%
Q3 2014-4.3%
Q2 2014-2.2%
Q1 2014+2.6%
Q4 2013+4.7%
Q3 2013+6.3%
Q2 2013-5.8%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012-2.3%
Q3 2012+3.3%
Q2 2012+1.2%
Q1 2012+1.5%
Q4 2011-8.8%
Q4 2009-8.8%
Q2 2009-8.8%
Q3 2009-8.8%
Q1 2009-8.8%
Q3 2010-3.6%
Q3 2011-3.6%
Q2 2011-5.0%
Q1 2011-0.6%
Q1 2010-0.6%
Q2 2010-0.6%
Q4 2010-0.6%

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