NYSE$CLW

Clearwater Paper Corporation · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Achieved strong results due to elevated demand for tissue products, steady demand for paperboard, and solid operational execution.

Clearwater Paper reported net sales of $457 million, a 3% increase compared to the third quarter of 2019. Net income was $21 million, or $1.28 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $11 million, or $0.66 per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2019. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $77 million, compared to $32 million in the third quarter of 2019.

  • Delivered strong performance due to elevated demand for tissue products, steady demand for paperboard, and solid operational execution
  • Net income of $21 million, or $1.28 per diluted share and Adjusted EBITDA of $77 million
  • Net debt reduction of over $40 million
  • Refinanced 2023 notes with new 2028 notes

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$457M

Previous: $445M+2.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.59

Previous: -$0.50+418.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$77M

Previous: $32M+140.6%
Paperboard Avg Net Selling Price per ton

$982.00

Previous: $1K-2.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$9.7M

Previous: -$126M+92.3%
Free Cash Flow

$11.7M

Previous: -$137M+108.6%
Net Income

$21.4M

Previous: -$11M+295.0%
Operating Income

$49.2M

Previous: -$2.46M+2100.0%
Gross Profit

$78.8M

Previous: $26.5M+197.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$47.5M

Previous: $7.82M+507.8%
Total Assets

$1.83B

Previous: $1.88B-2.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.5M

Previous: $889K+181.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Clearwater Paper · Revenue · Quarterly

$457M

Q3 2020+2.7%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For the fourth quarter, the primary focus will remain on the health and safety of employees while continuing to operate facilities and service customers. Demand for tissue products is expected to soften relative to the third quarter of 2020 as retail in-stock conditions and inventories have improved.

Headwinds

  • Demand for tissue products is expected to soften relative to the third quarter of 2020
  • Retail in-stock conditions and inventories have improved
  • Closely monitoring economic conditions
  • Assessing the impact on our business for the balance of the year

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-2.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-4.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-4.0%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

26 / 66 earnings

Positive

+24.1%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-33.5%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-13.5%-14.3%+9.8%
Q4 2025-8.6%-15.1%-26.6%
Q3 2025-8.5%-6.2%-5.8%
Q2 2025-18.4%-24.9%-26.7%
Q1 2025+7.4%+4.0%+15.1%
Q4 2024-8.4%-3.9%-17.6%
Q3 2024+8.3%+4.8%+5.0%
Q2 2024-23.3%-34.5%-39.1%
Q1 2024+12.0%+12.4%+30.3%
Q4 2023+3.4%+7.5%+21.7%
Q3 2023-2.1%+3.1%+1.2%
Q2 2023+14.8%+10.9%+18.8%
Q1 2023-15.9%-12.2%-18.7%
Q4 2022-0.2%-1.0%-10.8%
Q3 2022-15.1%-10.4%-10.4%
Q2 2022+15.3%+20.1%+18.4%
Q1 2022+24.1%+20.8%+28.6%
Q4 2021-12.7%-7.4%-6.0%
Q3 2021+0.4%-6.5%+0.5%
Q2 2021+2.1%+8.4%+18.5%
Q1 2021-10.0%-14.0%-16.4%
Q4 2020-18.7%-15.1%-11.4%
Q3 2020-12.2%-13.2%-8.0%
Q2 2020+2.5%-4.7%-14.1%
Q1 2020+21.2%+21.5%+36.5%
Q4 2019+10.2%+11.2%-18.5%
Q3 2019+2.2%-0.4%+6.1%
Q2 2019-13.9%-0.3%-18.5%
Q1 2019-10.7%-3.7%-20.1%
Q4 2018-16.0%-17.0%-25.4%
Q3 2018-6.6%-6.3%-0.9%
Q2 2018+11.9%+14.8%+28.5%
Q1 2018-33.5%-40.3%-35.8%
Q4 2017-25.1%-23.0%-13.8%
Q3 2017+3.2%+4.5%+4.0%
Q2 2017-9.2%-9.0%-6.6%
Q1 2017-13.4%-12.6%-18.8%
Q4 2016-6.7%-3.9%-17.3%
Q3 2016-14.7%-15.3%-3.7%
Q2 2016-7.1%-5.4%-11.0%
Q1 2016+10.1%
Q4 2015-5.9%
Q3 2015+1.2%
Q2 2015+10.2%
Q1 2015+1.8%
Q4 2014-17.4%
Q3 2014+0.4%
Q2 2014+12.0%
Q1 2014-1.4%
Q4 2013+9.6%
Q3 2013+8.3%
Q2 2013-0.7%
Q1 2013-8.6%
Q4 2012+4.3%
Q3 2012-6.6%
Q2 2012+4.9%
Q1 2011-0.9%
Q1 2012+7.2%
Q4 2009-0.4%
Q1 2010-0.4%
Q4 2011-0.4%
Q3 2011-1.8%
Q3 2010-1.8%
Q2 2010-5.2%
Q4 2010-5.2%
Q2 2011-5.2%

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