NYSE$CDE

Coeur Mining Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Coeur's financial performance was driven by solid improvement in annual results and strong cost performance from primary gold operations.

Coeur Mining, Inc. reported Q4 2019 revenue of $195.0 million and cash flow from operating activities of $39.3 million. The company's net loss was $270.9 million, or $1.13 per share, but adjusted EBITDA was $59.8 million with a net loss of $3.3 million, or $0.01 per share.

  • Revenue, operating cash flow and adjusted EBITDA increased 14%, 357% and 11%, respectively, in 2019.
  • Generated $18.4 million of free cash flow during the fourth quarter, representing a 63% increase compared to the prior period and a $36.1 million improvement compared to the fourth quarter of 2018.
  • Measured and indicated resources increased across all metals, and inferred gold, zinc and lead resources were higher year-over-year.
  • Ended the year with $295.5 million in total debt, compared to $458.8 million at the end of 2018.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$195M

Previous: $144M+35.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.01

Previous: $0.08-112.5%
Adjusted EBITDA

$59.8M

No prior period
Operating Cash Flow

$39.3M

No prior period
Total Debt

$296M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$18.4M

No prior period
Net Income

-$271M

Previous: $468K-57984.6%
Operating Income

-$215M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$291K

Previous: -$9.71M+103.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$55.6M

Previous: $115M-51.7%
Total Assets

$1.38B

Previous: $1.71B-19.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.55M

Previous: $1.75M+45.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Coeur · Revenue · Quarterly

$195M

Q4 2019+35.6%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Coeur · $189M total across 2 segments · Q1 2022

  • Gold Sales
    $130M-6.4%
  • Silver Sales
    $59M-7.5%

Forward guidance

Coeur Mining provided full-year 2020 production and cost guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Full-year 2020 Palmarejo production is expected to be 95,000 - 110,000 ounces of gold and 6.3 - 7.8 million ounces of silver
  • Full-year 2020 Rochester production is expected to be 27,000 - 33,000 ounces of gold and 4.0 - 5.5 million ounces of silver
  • Full-year 2020 Kensington production is expected to be 115,000 - 130,000 ounces of gold
  • Full-year 2020 Wharf production is expected to be 80,000 - 90,000 ounces of gold
  • 2020 Capital Expenditures, Sustaining $65 - $80 million

Headwinds

  • Full-year 2020 Palmarejo CAS are expected to be $785 - $885 per gold ounce and $10.35 - $11.35 per silver ounce
  • Full-year 2020 Rochester CAS are expected to be $1,175 - $1,325 per gold ounce and $13.25 - $14.50 per silver ounce
  • Full-year 2020 Kensington CAS are expected to be $900 - $1,000 per gold ounce
  • Full-year 2020 Wharf CAS are expected to be $1,025 - $1,125 per gold ounce
  • 2020 Capital Expenditures, Development $30 - $35 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-1.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

28 / 68 earnings

Positive

+21.4%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-19.6%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.3%+7.6%-13.1%
Q4 2025+6.2%+9.7%-21.8%
Q3 2025-3.0%-24.3%-5.4%
Q1 2025+21.4%+33.3%+63.5%
Q4 2024-3.9%-19.8%-2.2%
Q3 2024+8.6%+5.4%+9.6%
Q2 2024+0.0%+3.2%-1.9%
Q1 2024+6.0%+13.7%+27.2%
Q4 2023+1.5%-2.7%+27.1%
Q3 2023-6.8%-14.5%+28.1%
Q2 2023-11.6%-8.2%-17.5%
Q1 2023-3.1%-6.5%-12.1%
Q4 2022-4.4%-4.8%+4.8%
Q3 2022-10.9%-17.1%-22.9%
Q2 2022+2.3%+3.9%-12.6%
Q1 2022+0.5%-10.1%+8.3%
Q4 2021-13.9%-18.5%-9.9%
Q3 2021-9.5%-0.6%-16.4%
Q2 2021+2.7%-1.5%-6.1%
Q1 2021-13.5%-8.2%+9.4%
Q4 2020-6.5%+12.5%+11.0%
Q3 2020-10.4%-5.0%-8.3%
Q2 2020-4.7%-5.2%+1.0%
Q1 2020-12.5%-11.8%+32.1%
Q4 2019+0.3%-18.5%-53.5%
Q3 2019+3.0%+5.3%+29.3%
Q2 2019+9.0%+6.8%-4.3%
Q1 2019-10.2%-6.4%-21.3%
Q4 2018+1.6%-6.4%-17.2%
Q3 2018+1.6%+7.8%-18.7%
Q2 2018-9.4%-16.3%-30.2%
Q1 2018-2.9%-9.6%-1.9%
Q4 2017-7.0%-6.3%-0.2%
Q3 2017-10.6%-8.0%-8.0%
Q2 2017-6.9%-3.3%-4.6%
Q1 2017-3.1%-3.2%+8.7%
Q4 2016-19.6%-19.7%-35.3%
Q3 2016-1.9%-1.4%-15.8%
Q2 2016+9.4%+16.1%+1.6%
Q1 2016+4.8%
Q4 2015+14.2%
Q3 2015+5.2%
Q2 2015-7.5%
Q1 2015-2.7%
Q4 2014-12.2%
Q3 2014-1.6%
Q2 2014+2.4%
Q1 2014-5.6%
Q4 2013+2.7%
Q3 2013-9.7%
Q2 2013+12.4%
Q1 2013-4.8%
Q4 2012+1.9%
Q3 2012-14.2%
Q2 2012+7.6%
Q1 2012-6.8%
Q4 2011-2.6%
Q3 2011+8.1%
Q2 2011+0.7%
Q1 2010-3.6%
Q1 2011-2.1%
Q4 2008+5.0%
Q4 2010+5.0%
Q3 2009+11.8%
Q3 2010+11.8%
Q4 2009-3.4%
Q2 2009-3.4%
Q2 2010-3.4%

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