NYSE$CB

Chubb Corp · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Chubb reported record Q4 results, driven by strong premium growth and underwriting income, positively impacted by a one-time deferred tax benefit.

Chubb Limited reported record fourth-quarter net income of $3.30 billion, or $8.03 per share, and core operating income of $3.41 billion, or $8.30 per share. The results were positively impacted by a one-time deferred tax benefit related to Bermuda’s new income tax law. Consolidated net premiums written increased by 13.4%, with commercial insurance up 10.0% and consumer insurance up 19.9%. The P&C combined ratio was 85.5%.

  • Net income and core operating income reached record levels, up 151.7% and 103.6%, respectively, including a $1.14 billion deferred tax benefit.
  • Consolidated net premiums written increased by 13.4%, with strong growth in both commercial and consumer insurance segments.
  • Global P&C net premiums written were up 10.5%, with significant growth in Asia and Overseas General.
  • P&C underwriting income was a record $1.52 billion, with a combined ratio of 85.5%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$10.1B

Previous: $9.02B+12.5%
EPS (adj)

$5.54

Previous: $4.05+36.8%
P&C Combined Ratio

85.5%

Previous: 88.0%-2.8%
P&C Underwriting Income

$1.52B

No prior period
Life Segment Income

$263M

No prior period
Net Income

$3.29B

Previous: $1.31B+150.8%
Operating Income

$1.52B

Previous: $1.12B+35.3%
Gross Profit

$13.3B

Previous: $11.5B+15.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Chubb · Revenue · Quarterly

$10.1B

Q4 2023+12.5%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Chubb · $4.66B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Overseas General
    $3.21B+21.4%
  • Life Insurance
    $1.45B+14.1%

Forward guidance

Chubb expects to continue growing operating earnings at a double-digit pace through P&C revenue growth and underwriting margins, investment income, and life income.

Tailwinds

  • Momentum around the world going into the first quarter.
  • Confident in ability to continue growing operating earnings at a double-digit pace.
  • Growth through P&C revenue growth
  • Growth through underwriting margins
  • Growth through investment income, and life income

Headwinds

  • Risk business
  • CAT volatility is a reality
  • competition
  • economic and market conditions
  • possible terrorism or the outbreak and effects of war

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

40 / 73 earnings

Positive

+7.9%

Q4 2019

Best reaction

-7.3%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.7%-1.4%-0.4%
Q4 2025+5.1%+4.1%+4.7%
Q3 2025+2.7%+4.6%+10.8%
Q2 2025+1.0%+0.5%+2.7%
Q1 2025-2.2%-2.8%-1.5%
Q4 2024+1.3%+0.6%+4.9%
Q3 2024-2.2%-4.3%+0.1%
Q2 2024-0.8%+3.1%+4.1%
Q1 2024-3.4%-2.4%+4.6%
Q4 2023+0.9%+1.6%+3.7%
Q3 2023+4.4%+1.0%+9.8%
Q2 2023+2.7%+2.7%+0.3%
Q1 2023-1.1%+0.5%-5.0%
Q4 2022-5.6%-7.2%-7.8%
Q3 2022+0.4%+5.5%+5.3%
Q2 2022-0.1%+0.8%+5.5%
Q1 2022+1.6%-0.4%+0.2%
Q4 2021+5.2%+4.7%+4.4%
Q3 2021+1.2%+3.9%+1.2%
Q2 2021-1.3%+0.4%+9.6%
Q1 2021-1.2%+3.3%+2.0%
Q4 2020+4.9%+9.8%+12.1%
Q3 2020+1.1%+3.1%+21.1%
Q2 2020-0.3%-3.9%-3.5%
Q1 2020-7.3%-9.3%-1.4%
Q4 2019+7.9%+6.2%-5.4%
Q3 2019+3.5%+1.5%+2.6%
Q2 2019+2.6%+3.5%+5.0%
Q1 2019+0.4%+1.0%+1.5%
Q4 2018-3.0%-2.7%-0.9%
Q3 2018-1.7%-2.9%+4.1%
Q2 2018+1.3%+2.9%-0.5%
Q1 2018-0.7%-0.7%-3.5%
Q4 2017+1.3%-0.6%-9.3%
Q3 2017-0.9%-2.2%-3.4%
Q2 2017-2.0%-1.0%-2.8%
Q1 2017+1.6%+0.3%+4.4%
Q4 2016-2.5%-0.3%+5.1%
Q3 2016+3.9%+4.3%+3.6%
Q2 2016-0.6%-2.1%-1.5%
Q1 2016+3.6%
Q4 2015+0.1%
Q3 2015+3.7%
Q2 2015-0.1%
Q1 2015+0.6%
Q4 2014-1.2%
Q3 2014+1.0%
Q2 2014-0.9%
Q1 2014+0.1%
Q4 2013-0.2%
Q3 2013-0.2%
Q2 2013+0.5%
Q1 2013-0.7%
Q4 2012+2.0%
Q3 2012-0.5%
Q2 2012+1.7%
Q1 2012+1.4%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011+0.3%
Q2 2011-5.5%
Q1 2011+0.8%
Q4 2010+1.0%
Q3 2010-2.7%
Q2 2010+0.9%
Q1 2010+1.8%
Q1 2009+1.8%
Q4 2007-0.7%
Q4 2009-0.7%
Q3 2008+2.0%
Q3 2009+2.0%
Q2 2008-1.3%
Q4 2008-1.3%
Q2 2009-1.3%

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