NYSE$CB

Chubb Corp · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Chubb reported strong Q4 2022 results, with increased net premiums written and core operating income.

Chubb's Q4 2022 results showed a net income of $1.31 billion and core operating income of $1.70 billion. Consolidated net premiums written increased by 11.9%, with P&C net premiums written up 5.9% and a combined ratio of 88.0%. The company experienced record net investment income and strong growth in life insurance premiums.

  • Net income for the fourth quarter was $1.31 billion, or $3.13 per share.
  • Core operating income for the fourth quarter was $1.70 billion, or $4.05 per share.
  • Consolidated net premiums written increased by 11.9%, reaching $10.2 billion.
  • P&C combined ratio was 88.0%, or 85.9% excluding Agriculture.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$9.02B

Previous: $8.52B+5.9%
EPS (adj)

$4.05

Previous: $3.81+6.3%
P&C Combined Ratio

88.0%

Previous: 85.5%+2.9%
Net Income

$1.31B

Previous: $2.14B-38.7%
Operating Income

$1.12B

Previous: $1.65B-32.0%
Gross Profit

$11.5B

Previous: $10.5B+9.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.01B

Previous: $1.66B+21.3%
Total Assets

$199B

Previous: $200B-0.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Chubb · Revenue · Quarterly

$9.02B

Q4 2022+5.9%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Chubb · $10.1B total across 3 segments · Q4 2022

  • NA P&C
    $6.16B
  • Overseas General
    $2.7B
  • Life Insurance
    $1.21B

Forward guidance

Chubb expects 2023 to be a good year in terms of growth and earnings, with a strong start to the new year.

Tailwinds

  • Reinvesting strong operating cash flow at substantially higher rates
  • Growing investment income run rate
  • Pricing conditions in commercial P&C remain favorable
  • Vast majority of portfolio is achieving good risk-adjusted returns
  • Staying on top of loss cost inflation

Headwinds

  • Plenty of risk and uncertainty in the operating environment globally
  • Economic uncertainty
  • Geopolitical uncertainty
  • Below-average crop year impacted agriculture results
  • Unfavorable foreign currency movement negatively impacted core operating income

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

40 / 73 earnings

Positive

+7.9%

Q4 2019

Best reaction

-7.3%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.7%-1.4%-0.4%
Q4 2025+5.1%+4.1%+4.7%
Q3 2025+2.7%+4.6%+10.8%
Q2 2025+1.0%+0.5%+2.7%
Q1 2025-2.2%-2.8%-1.5%
Q4 2024+1.3%+0.6%+4.9%
Q3 2024-2.2%-4.3%+0.1%
Q2 2024-0.8%+3.1%+4.1%
Q1 2024-3.4%-2.4%+4.6%
Q4 2023+0.9%+1.6%+3.7%
Q3 2023+4.4%+1.0%+9.8%
Q2 2023+2.7%+2.7%+0.3%
Q1 2023-1.1%+0.5%-5.0%
Q4 2022-5.6%-7.2%-7.8%
Q3 2022+0.4%+5.5%+5.3%
Q2 2022-0.1%+0.8%+5.5%
Q1 2022+1.6%-0.4%+0.2%
Q4 2021+5.2%+4.7%+4.4%
Q3 2021+1.2%+3.9%+1.2%
Q2 2021-1.3%+0.4%+9.6%
Q1 2021-1.2%+3.3%+2.0%
Q4 2020+4.9%+9.8%+12.1%
Q3 2020+1.1%+3.1%+21.1%
Q2 2020-0.3%-3.9%-3.5%
Q1 2020-7.3%-9.3%-1.4%
Q4 2019+7.9%+6.2%-5.4%
Q3 2019+3.5%+1.5%+2.6%
Q2 2019+2.6%+3.5%+5.0%
Q1 2019+0.4%+1.0%+1.5%
Q4 2018-3.0%-2.7%-0.9%
Q3 2018-1.7%-2.9%+4.1%
Q2 2018+1.3%+2.9%-0.5%
Q1 2018-0.7%-0.7%-3.5%
Q4 2017+1.3%-0.6%-9.3%
Q3 2017-0.9%-2.2%-3.4%
Q2 2017-2.0%-1.0%-2.8%
Q1 2017+1.6%+0.3%+4.4%
Q4 2016-2.5%-0.3%+5.1%
Q3 2016+3.9%+4.3%+3.6%
Q2 2016-0.6%-2.1%-1.5%
Q1 2016+3.6%
Q4 2015+0.1%
Q3 2015+3.7%
Q2 2015-0.1%
Q1 2015+0.6%
Q4 2014-1.2%
Q3 2014+1.0%
Q2 2014-0.9%
Q1 2014+0.1%
Q4 2013-0.2%
Q3 2013-0.2%
Q2 2013+0.5%
Q1 2013-0.7%
Q4 2012+2.0%
Q3 2012-0.5%
Q2 2012+1.7%
Q1 2012+1.4%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011+0.3%
Q2 2011-5.5%
Q1 2011+0.8%
Q4 2010+1.0%
Q3 2010-2.7%
Q2 2010+0.9%
Q1 2010+1.8%
Q1 2009+1.8%
Q4 2007-0.7%
Q4 2009-0.7%
Q3 2008+2.0%
Q3 2009+2.0%
Q2 2008-1.3%
Q4 2008-1.3%
Q2 2009-1.3%

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