NYSE$BSM

Black Stone Minerals LP · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Black Stone Minerals reported a decline in revenue and net income for Q4 2024 due to lower commodity prices and derivative losses.

Black Stone Minerals reported total revenue of $83.7 million in Q4 2024, a decline of 56.1% year-over-year. Net income for the quarter was $46.3 million, down from $147.6 million in Q4 2023. The company saw total production of 36.1 MBoe/d, with 74% being natural gas. Average realized prices declined year-over-year, contributing to lower revenue. Despite these challenges, Black Stone maintained a stable dividend and continues to focus on mineral acquisitions and strategic partnerships to drive long-term growth.

  • Q4 revenue declined 56.1% year-over-year to $83.7 million.
  • Total production averaged 36.1 MBoe/d, with 74% natural gas.
  • Net income fell to $46.3 million, down from $147.6 million in Q4 2023.
  • Black Stone continues to invest in mineral acquisitions and strategic development partnerships.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$83.7M

Previous: $81.9M+2.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.19

Previous: $0.65-70.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.11M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$81.9M

No prior period
Net Income

$46.3M

Previous: $148M-68.6%
Operating Income

$47.5M

Previous: $148M-67.8%
Gross Profit

$78.8M

Previous: $51.2M+53.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Black Stone Minerals · Revenue · Quarterly

$83.7M

Q4 2024+2.2%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 14 quarters(43%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Black Stone Minerals · $110M total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Oil & condensate sales
    $85.7M+6.8%
  • Natural gas & NGL sales
    $48.8M-64.6%
  • Lease bonus & other income
    $2.18M-31.0%
  • Derivative gains
    -$26.9M-469.7%

Forward guidance

Black Stone Minerals expects a 2% increase in royalty production in 2025, driven by increased activity in Shelby Trough, Louisiana Haynesville, and Permian Basin. The company anticipates higher gas-weighted asset development but warns of continued volatility in commodity prices.

Tailwinds

  • Projected 2% increase in royalty production in 2025.
  • Expected development of 28 wells in Shelby Trough.
  • Increased activity in Louisiana Haynesville and Permian Basin.
  • Maintaining a strong financial position with low leverage.
  • Ongoing strategic mineral acquisitions to drive long-term growth.

Headwinds

  • Potential volatility in oil and gas prices impacting revenue.
  • Lower lease bonus and other income expected in 2025.
  • Higher general and administrative expenses due to inflationary costs.
  • Declining working interest production as farm-out agreements expire.
  • Uncertainty around regulatory changes impacting future development.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

25 / 45 earnings

Positive

+7.2%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-11.8%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.3%-6.1%-2.0%
Q4 2025+0.7%+1.6%+3.1%
Q3 2025+2.2%+1.6%+10.8%
Q2 2025+1.1%-3.2%-3.6%
Q1 2025-1.7%-3.8%-4.9%
Q4 2024+1.1%+0.1%+2.3%
Q3 2024+1.2%+0.3%+0.9%
Q2 2024+2.2%+0.4%+0.7%
Q1 2024-0.5%-4.1%-4.0%
Q4 2023+0.1%+1.2%+3.4%
Q3 2023+2.1%+3.6%-1.0%
Q2 2023-2.8%-0.5%-2.2%
Q1 2023-6.5%-5.7%-5.3%
Q4 2022+0.5%-0.4%-5.8%
Q3 2022+3.4%+5.7%+0.4%
Q2 2022-0.3%-1.7%+2.2%
Q1 2022-0.4%-3.0%+3.7%
Q4 2021+0.5%+4.8%+11.7%
Q3 2021-0.9%-2.8%-14.1%
Q2 2021+0.2%-0.2%-3.4%
Q1 2021+3.4%+3.6%-0.5%
Q4 2020-1.4%-5.5%-7.2%
Q3 2020-0.8%+8.8%+19.3%
Q2 2020+3.4%+4.6%-3.7%
Q1 2020+7.0%+17.6%+19.7%
Q4 2019-11.8%-12.5%-54.9%
Q3 2019+0.4%+1.8%-8.9%
Q2 2019-2.3%-3.2%-5.2%
Q1 2019+3.5%-2.0%-9.9%
Q4 2018-2.1%-2.8%-3.7%
Q3 2018+4.9%+0.7%-2.3%
Q2 2018+7.2%+11.1%+7.7%
Q1 2018+2.6%+5.0%+2.0%
Q4 2017-3.5%-4.1%-8.9%
Q3 2017-2.7%-1.4%-2.8%
Q2 2017+0.5%+4.0%+6.6%
Q1 2017+6.5%+6.5%+0.2%
Q4 2016-0.5%-1.0%-7.6%
Q3 2016+4.9%+3.1%+8.9%
Q2 2016-1.9%-4.2%+6.2%
Q1 2016-2.5%
Q4 2015+4.2%
Q3 2015-0.7%
Q2 2015+1.3%
Q1 2015-0.7%
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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