NYSE$BRX

Brixmor Property Group Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Brixmor Property Group reported record total and small shop leased occupancy for Q4 2022.

Brixmor Property Group reported strong Q4 and full-year 2022 results, driven by the execution of their value-added plan and portfolio transformation. Record total and small shop leased occupancy were achieved, along with significant rent spreads on new and renewal leases.

  • Executed 2.0 million square feet of new and renewal leases, with rent spreads on comparable space of 18.3%.
  • Total leased occupancy reached a record 93.8%, with anchor leased occupancy at 95.9% and small shop leased occupancy at a record 89.2%.
  • Reported an increase in same property NOI of 7.3%.
  • Stabilized $66.7 million of reinvestment projects at an average incremental NOI yield of 9%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$309M

Previous: $295M+4.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.49

Previous: $0.46+6.5%
Net Income

$107M

Previous: $81.2M+31.9%
Operating Income

$105M

Previous: $106M-0.2%
Gross Profit

$227M

Previous: $215M+5.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$16.5M

Previous: $297M-94.4%
Total Assets

$8.44B

Previous: $8.38B+0.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.99M

Previous: $6.27M+11.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Brixmor · Revenue · Quarterly

$309M

Q4 2022+4.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Brixmor · $308M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • Rental Income
    $308M+5.3%

Forward guidance

The Company expects 2023 Nareit FFO per diluted share of $1.95 - $2.03 and same property NOI growth of 1.5% - 3.5%.

Tailwinds

  • Contribution from base rent of 350 - 450 bps
  • Expectations for 2023 same property NOI growth include
  • Do not contemplate any additional tenants moving to or from a cash basis of accounting
  • Expectations for 2023 Nareit FFO
  • The Company expects 2023 Nareit FFO per diluted share of $1.95 - $2.03

Headwinds

  • Detraction from revenues deemed uncollectible of (200) bps - (150) bps
  • Revenues deemed uncollectible is expected to total 75 - 110 bps of total expected revenues in 2023
  • Do not include any additional items that impact FFO comparability, including transaction expenses, net, litigation and other non-routine legal expenses, and loss on extinguishment of debt, net or any one-time items
  • Impact of 2022 and 2023 transaction activity(0.01)(0.01)
  • Non-cash GAAP rental adjustments

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

63%

36 / 57 earnings

Positive

+8.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-4.2%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.3%-2.4%+0.9%
Q4 2025+2.5%+4.1%+5.5%
Q3 2025-4.2%-7.1%-7.2%
Q2 2025+0.3%+2.4%+6.1%
Q1 2025-4.2%-1.2%-1.5%
Q4 2024+3.9%+5.7%-3.6%
Q3 2024+0.2%-1.3%+10.6%
Q2 2024+7.4%+3.3%+12.0%
Q1 2024+1.7%+2.2%-1.3%
Q4 2023-0.4%+1.6%-1.4%
Q3 2023+4.5%+9.3%+7.2%
Q2 2023+0.7%+0.0%-1.8%
Q1 2023-1.1%+0.1%-6.1%
Q4 2022+0.3%+0.6%-8.7%
Q3 2022-1.2%+2.4%+7.8%
Q2 2022-2.9%-4.1%-7.3%
Q1 2022-0.8%-4.7%-5.9%
Q4 2021+1.0%+1.0%+1.4%
Q3 2021+4.9%+8.8%-5.1%
Q2 2021-0.2%+2.0%+3.1%
Q1 2021-1.1%+1.7%+6.6%
Q4 2020+4.7%+3.0%+13.2%
Q3 2020-1.7%+20.6%+39.6%
Q2 2020+4.3%+5.8%+7.5%
Q1 2020+8.3%-3.7%+47.9%
Q4 2019-1.0%-1.1%-25.1%
Q3 2019+1.5%+5.0%+4.5%
Q2 2019+2.3%+2.6%-0.2%
Q1 2019-0.9%+0.8%-4.8%
Q4 2018-0.6%+0.9%-0.8%
Q3 2018+4.6%+1.8%+3.7%
Q2 2018+3.6%+5.4%+7.3%
Q1 2018-1.3%-2.7%+4.3%
Q4 2017+4.4%+11.4%+7.9%
Q3 2017-2.9%-2.8%+1.3%
Q2 2017+1.5%+0.2%-4.4%
Q1 2017+2.1%-2.1%-8.7%
Q4 2016-2.0%-3.9%-9.7%
Q3 2016+0.3%-6.2%-8.3%
Q2 2016-0.8%+3.0%+2.1%
Q1 2016+1.7%
Q4 2015+0.4%
Q3 2015+1.2%
Q2 2015+1.1%
Q1 2015-1.5%
Q4 2014-0.3%
Q3 2014+1.3%
Q2 2014-0.0%
Q1 2013+2.0%
Q1 2014+2.0%
Q1 2012+1.1%
Q2 2013+1.1%
Q2 2012+1.1%
Q4 2013+1.0%
Q4 2012+0.3%
Q3 2012+0.3%
Q3 2013+0.3%

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