NYSE$AMCR

Amcor PLC · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Amcor's Q3 2024 financial results improved, driven by business outperformance and earnings leverage, leading to an earlier-than-expected return to earnings growth and raised adjusted EPS guidance for fiscal 2024.

Amcor's third-quarter results surpassed expectations, driven by strong business performance and improved earnings leverage. The company returned to earnings growth ahead of schedule, raised its adjusted EPS guidance for fiscal 2024, and reaffirmed its adjusted free cash flow guidance.

  • Adjusted EBIT increased by 3% on a comparable constant currency basis.
  • Adjusted EPS rose by 1% on a comparable constant currency basis.
  • Fiscal 2024 Adjusted EPS guidance was raised to 68.5-71 cents per share.
  • Adjusted Free Cash Flow outlook for fiscal 2024 was reaffirmed at $850-950 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.41B

Previous: $3.67B-7.0%
EPS

$0.13

Previous: $0.17-26.3%
Net Income

$187M

Previous: $177M+5.6%
Operating Income

$307M

Previous: $282M+8.9%
Gross Profit

$692M

Previous: $673M+2.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$457M

Previous: $564M-19.0%
Total Assets

$16.7B

Previous: $17.3B-3.6%
R&D Expense

$25M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$14M

Previous: $13M+7.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Amcor · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.41B

Q3 2024-7%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 14 quarters(36%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Amcor · $3.44B total across 2 segments · Q1 2024

  • Flexible Packaging
    $2.57B-7.6%
  • Rigid Packaging
    $875M-6.2%

Forward guidance

Amcor expects adjusted EPS of 68.5 to 71 cents per share and adjusted Free Cash Flow of approximately $850 million to $950 million for the twelve month period ending June 30, 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Comparable constant currency earnings made up of underlying business performance down low single digit % to up low single digit %
  • Benefit of approximately 2% from share repurchases
  • Benefit of up to 2% related to currency translation, assuming current rates prevail through the balance of fiscal 2024.
  • In comparable constant currency terms, the Company expects fourth quarter 2024 adjusted EPS to be up mid single digit % higher than the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023.
  • Approximately $70 million of cash to be allocated towards share repurchases as part of the program previously announced in fiscal 2023.

Headwinds

  • Negative impact of up to 6% related to higher estimated net interest and tax expense
  • Negative impact of approximately 3% related to the sale of the Company's Russian business on December 23, 2022, the impact of which was all in the first half of fiscal 2024.
  • Changes in consumer demand patterns and customer requirements
  • The loss of key customers, a reduction in production requirements of key customers
  • Challenging current and future global economic conditions, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict and inflation

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+6.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

37%

21 / 57 earnings

Positive

+356.4%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-10.9%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-0.7%-2.7%-5.2%
Q2 2026+8.1%+7.8%-3.7%
Q1 2026+1.5%+4.8%+2.9%
Q3 2025+0.0%-0.2%-1.0%
Q2 2025+0.0%+4.8%+5.8%
Q1 2025+0.0%-7.2%-3.8%
Q4 2024-10.9%+1.2%+3.1%
Q3 2024+0.0%+10.6%+9.2%
Q2 2024+1.6%-1.3%+2.2%
Q1 2024-1.7%+2.8%+7.0%
Q4 2023+1.2%-0.3%-1.4%
Q3 2023+356.4%-5.8%-12.1%
Q2 2023-5.5%-5.0%-9.1%
Q1 2023+0.1%-3.6%+6.9%
Q4 2022-2.1%-6.1%-12.3%
Q3 2022+2.3%+9.5%+15.0%
Q2 2022+1.6%-3.7%-5.5%
Q1 2022+1.2%+1.7%-3.9%
Q4 2021-1.0%+4.7%-0.7%
Q3 2021+0.0%+5.6%+1.3%
Q2 2021-0.9%+5.3%+3.5%
Q1 2021+3.8%+6.9%+4.1%
Q4 2020-2.0%-1.8%+0.1%
Q3 2020-1.6%+1.4%+9.5%
Q2 2019-3.8%-5.6%-38.0%
Q2 2020-3.8%-5.6%-38.0%
Q1 2019+3.2%-1.4%+5.0%
Q1 2020+3.2%-1.4%+5.0%
Q2 2018+2.1%+0.5%-2.7%
Q1 2018+2.1%+0.5%-2.7%
Q3 2018+2.1%+0.5%-2.7%
Q4 2017+2.1%+0.5%-2.7%
Q4 2018+2.1%+0.5%-2.7%
Q4 2019-1.4%-6.6%-3.2%
Q3 2019+0.0%+0.0%-4.6%
Q3 2017+0.0%+0.0%+0.4%
Q2 2017+0.0%+0.0%+0.0%
Q1 2017+0.0%+0.0%+0.0%
Q4 2016-0.7%-0.7%+0.6%
Q3 2016+0.0%
Q2 2016+1.3%
Q1 2016+0.0%
Q4 2015+0.0%
Q3 2015-1.8%
Q2 2015+0.0%
Q1 2015+0.0%
Q4 2014+0.0%
Q3 2014+0.0%
Q2 2014+2.4%
Q1 2014+1.5%
Q4 2013+0.7%
Q3 2013-2.0%
Q2 2012+0.0%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2012+0.0%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+0.0%

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