NYSE$AMCR

Amcor PLC · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Amcor's Q2 2024 performance was marked by solid execution amidst challenging market conditions, resulting in adjusted free cash flow exceeding the previous year and adjusted earnings per share slightly surpassing expectations.

Amcor reported solid Q2 2024 results with adjusted free cash flow ahead of last year and adjusted earnings per share modestly above expectations. The company reaffirms its fiscal year 2024 outlook, expecting adjusted EPS of 67-71 cents per share and adjusted Free Cash Flow of $850-950 million.

  • Net sales for the six months ended December 31, 2023, were $6,694 million.
  • GAAP Net income for the six months was $286 million, with GAAP diluted EPS of 19.8 cents.
  • Adjusted EPS for the six months was 31.3 cents and Adjusted EBIT was $709 million.
  • Adjusted Free Cash Flow was $113 million ahead of the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.25B

Previous: $3.64B-10.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.16

Previous: $0.19-17.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$120M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$279M

Previous: -$61M+557.4%
Net Income

$134M

Previous: $459M-70.8%
Operating Income

$242M

Previous: $559M-56.7%
Gross Profit

$621M

Previous: $662M-6.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$430M

Previous: $837M-48.6%
Total Assets

$16.7B

Previous: $17.5B-4.3%
R&D Expense

$28M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$11M

Previous: $13M-15.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Amcor · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.25B

Q2 2024-10.7%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 14 quarters(36%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Amcor · $3.44B total across 2 segments · Q1 2024

  • Flexible Packaging
    $2.57B-7.6%
  • Rigid Packaging
    $875M-6.2%

Forward guidance

Amcor reaffirms its fiscal 2024 outlook, expecting adjusted EPS of 67-71 cents per share and adjusted Free Cash Flow of $850-950 million.

Tailwinds

  • Comparable constant currency earnings made up of underlying business performance down low single digit % to up low single digit %
  • A benefit of approximately 2% from share repurchases
  • A benefit of up to 2% related to currency translation, assuming current rates prevail through the balance of fiscal 2024
  • Adjusted Free Cash Flow of approximately $850 million to $950 million, representing solid growth over fiscal 2023
  • Approximately $70 million of cash to be allocated towards share repurchases as part of the program previously announced in fiscal 2023

Headwinds

  • A negative impact of approximately 6% related to higher estimated net interest and tax expense
  • A negative impact of approximately 3% related to the sale of the Company's Russian business on December 23, 2022
  • In comparable constant currency terms, the Company expects third quarter adjusted EPS to be mid single digit % lower compared to the third quarter of fiscal 2023
  • Fourth quarter adjusted EPS to be up mid single digit % higher than the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023
  • Amcor's guidance contemplates a range of factors which create a degree of uncertainty and complexity when estimating future financial results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

+6.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

37%

21 / 57 earnings

Positive

+356.4%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-10.9%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-0.7%-2.7%-5.2%
Q2 2026+8.1%+7.8%-3.7%
Q1 2026+1.5%+4.8%+2.9%
Q3 2025+0.0%-0.2%-1.0%
Q2 2025+0.0%+4.8%+5.8%
Q1 2025+0.0%-7.2%-3.8%
Q4 2024-10.9%+1.2%+3.1%
Q3 2024+0.0%+10.6%+9.2%
Q2 2024+1.6%-1.3%+2.2%
Q1 2024-1.7%+2.8%+7.0%
Q4 2023+1.2%-0.3%-1.4%
Q3 2023+356.4%-5.8%-12.1%
Q2 2023-5.5%-5.0%-9.1%
Q1 2023+0.1%-3.6%+6.9%
Q4 2022-2.1%-6.1%-12.3%
Q3 2022+2.3%+9.5%+15.0%
Q2 2022+1.6%-3.7%-5.5%
Q1 2022+1.2%+1.7%-3.9%
Q4 2021-1.0%+4.7%-0.7%
Q3 2021+0.0%+5.6%+1.3%
Q2 2021-0.9%+5.3%+3.5%
Q1 2021+3.8%+6.9%+4.1%
Q4 2020-2.0%-1.8%+0.1%
Q3 2020-1.6%+1.4%+9.5%
Q2 2019-3.8%-5.6%-38.0%
Q2 2020-3.8%-5.6%-38.0%
Q1 2019+3.2%-1.4%+5.0%
Q1 2020+3.2%-1.4%+5.0%
Q2 2018+2.1%+0.5%-2.7%
Q1 2018+2.1%+0.5%-2.7%
Q3 2018+2.1%+0.5%-2.7%
Q4 2017+2.1%+0.5%-2.7%
Q4 2018+2.1%+0.5%-2.7%
Q4 2019-1.4%-6.6%-3.2%
Q3 2019+0.0%+0.0%-4.6%
Q3 2017+0.0%+0.0%+0.4%
Q2 2017+0.0%+0.0%+0.0%
Q1 2017+0.0%+0.0%+0.0%
Q4 2016-0.7%-0.7%+0.6%
Q3 2016+0.0%
Q2 2016+1.3%
Q1 2016+0.0%
Q4 2015+0.0%
Q3 2015-1.8%
Q2 2015+0.0%
Q1 2015+0.0%
Q4 2014+0.0%
Q3 2014+0.0%
Q2 2014+2.4%
Q1 2014+1.5%
Q4 2013+0.7%
Q3 2013-2.0%
Q2 2012+0.0%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2012+0.0%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+0.0%

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