NYSE$ALK

Alaska Air Group Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Alaska Air Group experienced a net loss due to the unprecedented impacts of COVID-19, while taking key actions to ensure safety, preserve financial strength, and plan for the future.

Alaska Air Group reported a GAAP net loss of $232 million, or $1.87 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2020, compared to a net income of $4 million, or $0.03 per diluted share in the first quarter of 2019. The results were significantly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, which led to a sharp decline in demand starting in February and overwhelming cancellations in March. The company is focused on ensuring the health and safety of guests and employees, preserving financial strength, and planning for the future.

  • Implemented enhanced cleaning procedures and safety measures for guests and employees.
  • Reduced capacity significantly in April and May, with further cuts expected in June.
  • Preserved financial strength by holding $2.9 billion in cash and marketable securities as of May 4, 2020, including CARES Act PSP funds.
  • Reduced cash burn rate from $400 million per month in March to $260 million in April, with a goal of reaching $200 million in June.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.64B

Previous: $1.88B-12.8%
EPS (adj)

-$0.82

Previous: $0.17-582.4%
RASM

$0.11

Previous: $0.12-11.7%
CASMex

$0.09

Previous: $0.09+1.8%
Fuel Cost per Gallon

$1.93

Previous: $2.13-9.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$119M

Previous: -$115M-3.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$351M

Previous: -$111M-216.2%
Net Income

-$232M

Previous: $4M-5900.0%
Operating Income

-$321M

Previous: $25M-1384.0%
Gross Profit

$1.04B

Previous: $1.24B-16.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$811M

Previous: $215M+277.2%
Total Assets

$13.4B

Previous: $12.6B+5.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$9M

Previous: $11M-18.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Alaska Air · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.64B

Q1 2020-12.8%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Alaska Air · $46M total across 1 segment · Q1 2020

  • Cargo and Other
    $46M

Forward guidance

Given the uncertainty, Alaska Air Group is focused on managing the crisis and has not provided specific forward guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Enhanced cleaning procedures on aircraft, including the use of high-grade, EPA-registered disinfectants and electrostatic sanitizing spray.
  • All planes are equipped with hospital-grade HEPA filters.
  • Extended elite Mileage Plan status to all members until Dec. 31, 2021.
  • Provided guests with a 'Peace of Mind' waiver, allowing changes to ticketed travel without change or cancellation fees.
  • Negotiated payment extensions or reductions with lessors, vendors and airports.

Headwinds

  • Demand remains over 90% below normal levels.
  • Capacity in April decreased more than 80% compared to the prior year, and capacity cuts in May will also be at least 80%.
  • Suspended over $500 million in capital spending.
  • Suspended stock repurchases and future dividend payments.
  • The impacts of COVID-19 on our business have been unprecedented.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

31 / 69 earnings

Positive

+8.5%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-17.6%

Q3 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.9%-4.5%-5.7%
Q4 2025+4.2%+7.2%+7.6%
Q3 2025-6.1%-10.4%-15.2%
Q2 2025+0.9%-1.7%+11.4%
Q1 2025-10.1%-5.2%+10.0%
Q4 2024-2.1%+2.3%+1.9%
Q3 2024+4.1%+2.7%+11.3%
Q2 2024-8.0%-4.4%-14.1%
Q1 2024+5.4%+5.5%+1.3%
Q4 2023+2.7%+2.4%+7.9%
Q3 2023-2.0%-2.4%+12.6%
Q2 2023-10.3%-9.8%-21.0%
Q1 2023+1.7%-2.6%+2.0%
Q4 2022-0.1%+0.6%-7.3%
Q3 2022-2.0%+3.7%+11.5%
Q2 2022-1.5%-2.3%+4.7%
Q1 2022-3.6%-8.2%-21.5%
Q4 2021-0.1%+4.8%+10.1%
Q3 2021-6.0%-5.2%-7.9%
Q2 2021+1.1%+3.0%-5.6%
Q1 2021+0.6%+0.4%-1.1%
Q4 2020-7.7%-7.7%+23.9%
Q3 2020+4.7%-5.6%+20.2%
Q2 2020-3.4%-3.6%-2.4%
Q1 2020-3.3%+4.3%+47.1%
Q4 2019+2.4%-1.1%-18.9%
Q3 2019+3.9%+1.2%-0.2%
Q2 2019-1.0%-2.4%-11.7%
Q1 2019-0.3%+1.8%-0.3%
Q4 2018-0.4%+1.3%-2.1%
Q3 2018+0.6%+3.5%+13.6%
Q2 2018+7.7%+6.3%+9.7%
Q1 2018-0.2%+1.0%-10.7%
Q4 2017-0.2%-0.8%+0.4%
Q3 2017-17.6%-16.3%-17.6%
Q2 2017+1.0%-2.2%-13.3%
Q1 2017-7.1%-7.7%-5.3%
Q4 2016+4.6%+4.2%+2.7%
Q3 2016+1.5%-1.4%+8.2%
Q2 2016+1.7%+4.8%+5.6%
Q1 2016-5.9%
Q4 2015+8.5%
Q3 2015+5.8%
Q2 2015-2.3%
Q1 2015+6.2%
Q4 2014+5.6%
Q3 2014+7.3%
Q2 2014-7.9%
Q1 2014-1.5%
Q4 2013-2.7%
Q3 2013+4.7%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013-0.4%
Q4 2012-0.1%
Q3 2012-0.2%
Q2 2012+1.8%
Q1 2012-1.3%
Q4 2011-8.2%
Q3 2011+5.2%
Q2 2011-6.0%
Q1 2010+2.6%
Q1 2011-1.5%
Q4 2010-3.1%
Q4 2008-3.1%
Q3 2009-0.3%
Q3 2010-0.3%
Q2 2009+2.7%
Q4 2009+2.7%
Q2 2010+2.7%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro